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Vermont vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-74
39-34 42-40
Position#17
Record21-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game58.9
Vermont 🏆
USA
vs
UMBC Retrievers
USA
Position#244
Record12-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Vermont v UMBC Retrievers
29 Jan 2026
VERM64
UMBC55
25 Jan 2025
VERM63
UMBC80
11 Jan 2024
VERM77
UMBC72
28 Jan 2023
VERM74
UMBC68
12 Mar 2022
VERM82
UMBC43
19 Feb 2022
VERM86
UMBC59
10 Mar 2020
VERM81
UMBC74
22 Feb 2020
VERM64
UMBC66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albany
#247
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A02/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H06/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A09/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
74-50
74
50
+24
H13/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#293
W
76-48
76
48
+28
H15/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A21/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#244
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H23/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
W
94-77
94
77
+17
A29/02
NCAA
Albany
#247
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H04/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-45
39-30
33-22
44-30
28-26
41-42
34-28
40-22
39-26
37-22
31-27
32-27
33-36
31-30
57-37
37-40
39-22
46-40
35-26
26-24
135.1Avg total
74.9Scored
60.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.858.9131.7+13.978%
Season at home (15)74.056.7130.7+17.373%
Season away (12)71.361.8133.1+9.683%
Last 10 (10)74.960.2135.1+14.790%
Last 5 (5)73.461.8135.2+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)62.075.5137.5-13.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)72.859.1131.9+13.881%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#120
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H06/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A08/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Albany
#247
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A21/02
NCAA
Vermont
#17
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A23/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#293
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
L
48-74
48
74
-26
A29/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H04/03
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
25-30
38-44
28-24
42-35
25-27
35-23
37-24
28-35
35-22
34-28
36-33
30-31
36-34
38-42
24-35
24-39
36-35
39-32
32-31
41-36
130.3Avg total
66.3Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)66.468.0134.4-1.644%
Season at home (14)69.466.2135.6+3.157%
Season away (13)63.270.0133.2-6.831%
Last 10 (10)66.364.0130.3+2.370%
Last 5 (5)67.269.6136.8-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)66.872.2139.0-5.430%
vs Similar (17)67.966.8134.7+1.253%
vs Weaker (3)66.068.7134.7-2.767%
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +0.4+0.4
VermontUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albany
#247
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H06/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A09/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H13/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#293
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A21/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#244
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H23/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A29/02
NCAA
Albany
#247
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H04/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H08/03
NCAA
67.1Avg total
37.6Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.328.765.0+7.680%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.726.163.7+11.693%-
Last 30 away (15)34.931.366.2+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)37.629.567.1+8.190%-
Last 5 (5)39.029.668.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)30.033.063.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)36.328.564.8+7.888%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#120
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A02/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H06/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A08/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Albany
#247
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A21/02
NCAA
Vermont
#17
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A23/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#293
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H27/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A29/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H04/03
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H07/03
NCAA
60.9Avg total
31.4Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.231.562.7-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.529.563.1+4.071%-
Last 30 away (13)28.234.162.2-5.923%-
Last 10 (10)31.429.560.9+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.666.4-0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.434.466.8-2.050%-
vs Similar (17)30.229.259.5+1.053%-
vs Weaker (3)32.734.767.3-2.033%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vermont wins
1
UMBC Retrievers wins
DateGameScore
23/02/20Vermont v UMBC Retrievers64-66
11/01/20UMBC Retrievers v Vermont50-74
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20HMaine Black Bears61-50
04/03/20HAlbany85-62
29/02/20AUMass Lowell94-77
23/02/20HUMBC Retrievers64-66
21/02/20AStony Brook63-54
15/02/20HBinghamton76-48
13/02/20HNew Hampshire74-50
09/02/20AHartford69-68
06/02/20HMaine Black Bears77-52
02/02/20AAlbany86-75
UMBC Retrieverslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HNew Hampshire73-67
04/03/20HStony Brook75-67
29/02/20AMaine Black Bears48-74
27/02/20HBinghamton74-76
23/02/20AVermont66-64
21/02/20AAlbany69-50
15/02/20HNew Hampshire65-59
08/02/20AUMass Lowell60-50
06/02/20HHartford70-59
02/02/20AStony Brook63-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %78%73%83%
Points / game72.874.071.3
Allowed / game58.956.761.8
Point differential+13.9+17.3+9.6
Avg total131.7130.7133.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%73%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW44%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayLWWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%57%31%
Points / game66.469.463.2
Allowed / game68.066.270.0
Point differential-1.6+3.1-6.8
Avg total134.4135.6133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%29%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont2721678%72.858.9+13.9
2 New Hampshire25121348%67.366.3+1.0
3 UMBC Retrievers27121544%66.468.0-1.6
4 Bryant University25111444%68.669.5-0.9
5 UMass Lowell25111444%75.377.6-2.3
6 Albany28121643%65.969.6-3.8
7 Binghamton2481633%70.375.6-5.3
8 Maine Black Bears2781930%61.468.0-6.5
9 NJIT2571828%62.466.8-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vermont394281
UMBC Retrievers344074
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