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Aleman vs Brisas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-70
23-15 13-22 22-20 16-13
Position#3
Record10-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game71.0
Aleman 🏆
Chile
vs
Brisas
Chile
Position#11
Record4-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game70.5
ChileLNB 2· Polideportivo Aleman
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aleman winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H04/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 63
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
76-64
76
64
+12
69avg 63
H18/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
69-63
69
63
+6
58avg 63
H19/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
48avg 63
A25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
80avg 63
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 63
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
68-58
68
58
+10
56avg 63
A15/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
77-68
77
68
+9
61avg 63
H20/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
71avg 63
A23/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
15-24
15-27
24-23
29-21
23-15
25-16
16-16
12-17
12-21
23-15
17-13
17-14
21-20
15-20
19-11
12-18
27-24
21-22
21-30
22-17
14-16
21-19
9-22
28-20
21-14
19-15
12-24
16-5
15-13
22-21
25-14
15-20
17-19
24-17
19-17
20-19
148.8Avg total
76.3Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.571.0145.5+3.559%
Season at home (9)74.268.1142.3+6.167%
Season away (8)74.974.2149.1+0.650%
Last 10 (10)76.372.5148.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)77.673.6151.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)58.985.9144.7-27.014%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.473.8147.2-0.344%
vs Weaker (7)74.764.0138.7+10.786%
This opponent (Brisas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrisasChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrisas
Date
Competition
Aleman
#3
L
87-88
87
88
-1
72avg 56
H28/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
60-66
60
66
-6
46avg 56
A04/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
59-61
59
61
-2
48avg 56
H12/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
76-62
76
62
+14
66avg 56
A19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 56
H20/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
70-58
70
58
+12
68avg 56
A26/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
72-77
72
77
-5
63avg 56
H02/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
47-68
47
68
-21
27avg 56
H16/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
81-49
81
49
+32
75avg 56
A20/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
72-60
72
60
+12
70avg 56
H23/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
9-26
30-19
23-21
13-19
12-14
17-11
18-22
21-9
16-21
12-24
10-7
28-19
19-11
13-14
16-18
16-14
16-22
27-28
12-21
25-17
15-11
19-19
11-11
14-25
15-15
18-23
25-14
9-19
14-21
12-4
12-24
16-19
15-11
22-14
28-5
18-20
25-8
16-16
13-16
136.9Avg total
69.5Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.170.5137.6-3.425%
Season at home (9)64.871.4136.2-6.711%
Season away (7)70.069.3139.3+0.743%
Last 10 (10)69.567.4136.9+2.140%
Last 5 (5)68.462.4130.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)56.672.2128.8-15.711%
vs Similar ◀ (7)70.076.9146.9-6.914%
vs Weaker (5)66.859.8126.6+7.060%
This opponent (Aleman) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
AlemanBrisas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H18/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A15/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A23/06
LNB 2
76.4Avg total
38.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.639.574.0-4.939%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.939.474.3-4.533%-
Last 30 away (13)34.239.573.8-5.346%-
Last 10 (9)38.937.676.4+1.356%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.076.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)28.645.474.0-16.88%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.334.672.9+3.867%-
vs Weaker (6)41.834.075.8+7.867%-
This opponent (Brisas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aleman
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H28/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A04/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H20/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A26/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H02/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H16/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A20/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H23/06
LNB 2
68.4Avg total
34.1Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)31.236.067.2-4.832%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.236.767.9-5.518%-
Last 30 away (8)31.135.066.1-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.368.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.233.266.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.035.765.7-5.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)30.139.169.3-9.014%-
vs Weaker (5)34.232.066.2+2.260%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.3
46.2%
44.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.17.5
25.8%
28.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.012.7
66.8%
63.6%12.7
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisas: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.615.7
44.1%
44.9%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.2
28.5%
28.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.7
72.2%
63.6%12.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aleman
WWWLLLWWLW
Brisas
WWLLWLWLLL
#3
League position
#11
+1.5
Net rating
+3.3
94.4
Offensive rating
90.0
92.8
Defensive rating
86.7
43.1%
Effective FG%
43.5%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.3%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
25.8%
3-point %
28.5%
53.0%
Assist %
58.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.4 · 90.0Defence92.8 · 86.7Shooting43.1% · 43.5%3-point %25.8% · 28.5%Ball care18.6% · 16.3%Off. rebounds34.5% · 21.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Aleman   ■ Brisas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aleman wins
0
Brisas wins
DateGameScore
28/04/24Brisas v Aleman87-88
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/24AArturo Prat San Felipe80-72
20/06/24HTruenos De Talca77-68
15/06/24AStadio Italiano68-58
08/06/24HBoston C. C.72-77
01/06/24HSergio Ceppi91-93
25/05/24AMunicipal Chillan67-69
19/05/24HQuilpue Basquetbol69-63
18/05/24HArabe Valparaiso76-64
12/05/24AColo Colo83-95
04/05/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-66
Brisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/24HSergio Ceppi72-60
20/06/24AArabe Valparaiso81-49
16/06/24HColo Colo47-68
02/06/24HQuilpue Basquetbol72-77
26/05/24ALuis Matte Larrain70-58
20/05/24HBoston C. C.71-85
19/05/24AArturo Prat San Felipe76-62
12/05/24HTruenos De Talca59-61
04/05/24AStadio Italiano60-66
28/04/24HAleman87-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aleman
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%67%50%
Points / game74.574.274.9
Allowed / game71.068.174.2
Point differential+3.5+6.1+0.6
Avg total145.5142.3149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisas
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW25%
HomeLLLLW11%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %25%11%43%
Points / game67.164.870.0
Allowed / game70.571.469.3
Point differential-3.4-6.7+0.7
Avg total137.6136.2139.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%11%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo17170100%84.962.5+22.4
2 Sergio Ceppi1811761%73.873.3+0.4
3 Truenos De Talca1710759%72.267.7+4.5
4 Aleman1710759%74.571.0+3.5
5 Boston C. C.1710759%71.268.6+2.6
6 Stadio Italiano169756%67.165.1+2.0
7 Arabe Valparaiso167944%65.771.4-5.8
8 Municipal Chillan1771041%62.467.6-5.2
9 Quilpue Basquetbol1771041%65.671.1-5.4
10 Luis Matte Larrain156940%68.772.8-4.1
11 Brisas1641225%67.170.5-3.4
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe1721512%71.784.3-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aleman2313221674
Brisas1522201370
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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