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Alftanes vs Tindastoll Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 102-89
27-13 20-34 29-27 26-15
Position#6
Record9-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game90.7
vs
Position#1
Record14-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game87.6
IcelandPremier leagueRound 19· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alftanes v Tindastoll
28 Jan 2027
ALFT v TIND
upcoming
12 Dec 2025
ALFT78
TIND137
03 May 2025
ALFT90
TIND105
25 Apr 2025
ALFT94
TIND92
28 Feb 2025
ALFT102
TIND89
19 Mar 2024
ALFT72
TIND90
08 Oct 2023
ALFT65
TIND70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tindastoll winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Thorl
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
68avg 79
A13/12
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
89-92
89
92
-3
83avg 79
H19/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
80avg 79
A02/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
60avg 79
H09/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
66avg 79
A16/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
76avg 79
H19/01
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#8
W
111-100
111
100
+11
109avg 79
H23/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
94-75
94
75
+19
84avg 79
A30/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
107-90
107
90
+17
101avg 79
H06/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 79
A12/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
21-16
24-22
16-24
28-8
26-34
19-23
16-27
22-23
21-20
30-20
16-24
20-17
20-19
16-20
19-25
23-25
23-21
18-17
17-24
24-27
22-26
17-28
25-19
36-30
18-22
27-16
30-32
23-14
26-19
20-28
25-14
23-22
27-29
27-22
30-17
30-20
24-26
16-18
24-28
179.9Avg total
90.6Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)90.790.7181.4+0.150%
Season at home (9)93.794.0187.7-0.344%
Season away (9)87.887.3175.1+0.456%
Last 10 (10)90.689.3179.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)98.891.4190.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.291.9174.1-9.625%
vs Similar (17)89.188.8177.9+0.347%
vs Weaker (4)96.289.8186.0+6.575%
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TindastollIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTindastoll
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#4
L
70-81
70
81
-11
53avg 86
A09/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#3
W
94-76
94
76
+18
86avg 86
H12/12
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
80-89
80
89
-9
66avg 86
A20/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
116-95
116
95
+21
117avg 86
A03/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
98-88
98
88
+10
81avg 86
H09/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
99-100
99
100
-1
70avg 86
A17/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
97-79
97
79
+18
93avg 86
H23/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
97-85
97
85
+12
88avg 86
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
78avg 86
A02/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
109-96
109
96
+13
108avg 86
H13/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
21-27
17-16
8-15
28-16
19-17
23-20
24-23
20-18
16-31
20-24
24-16
29-21
31-22
31-31
25-21
20-22
27-16
30-21
21-29
24-29
28-27
25-23
22-21
29-21
17-19
23-14
28-25
23-26
28-22
29-17
17-20
21-20
25-17
24-20
20-25
34-15
28-30
18-28
29-23
182.1Avg total
95.0Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)97.387.6184.9+9.778%
Season at home (9)98.884.0182.8+14.889%
Season away (9)95.891.2187.0+4.667%
Last 10 (10)95.087.1182.1+7.970%
Last 5 (5)98.488.4186.8+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.492.4174.8-10.00%
vs Similar (6)85.581.7167.2+3.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)98.988.3187.2+10.678%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
AlftanesTindastoll
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A13/12
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H19/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H09/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/01
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#8
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H23/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A30/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H06/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A12/02
Premier league
91.9Avg total
47.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.044.690.6+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.944.690.5+1.259%-
Last 30 away (13)46.244.590.7+1.646%-
Last 10 (10)47.444.591.9+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)50.647.097.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)46.947.194.0-0.250%-
vs Similar (17)43.644.488.1-0.847%-
vs Weaker (4)51.244.896.0+6.575%-
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TindastollLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A09/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#3
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H12/12
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A03/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A17/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H23/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A02/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H13/02
Premier league
93.1Avg total
49.2Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.444.591.9+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.642.389.9+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)47.246.593.8+0.856%-
Last 10 (10)49.243.993.1+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)51.445.296.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.048.289.2-7.240%-
vs Similar (6)44.337.581.8+6.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)50.345.695.9+4.861%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.7
52.3%
53.7%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.4
37.2%
34.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.017.0
68.0%
75.6%17.0
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tindastolltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tindastoll: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.2
52.9%
53.7%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.312.5
36.4%
34.4%37.5
🏀 Free throws22.115.9
71.9%
75.6%15.9
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
WWWWLLLWLL
Tindastoll
WWWWLWWLWL
#6
League position
#1
+1.6
Net rating
+9.1
113.7
Offensive rating
114.0
112.0
Defensive rating
104.9
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.7%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.0%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.2%
3-point %
36.4%
55.5%
Assist %
64.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 114.0Defence112.0 · 104.9Shooting53.5% · 53.7%3-point %37.2% · 36.4%Ball care14.0% · 13.0%Off. rebounds29.9% · 25.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Alftanes   ■ Tindastoll
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alftanes wins
3
Tindastoll wins
DateGameScore
29/11/24Tindastoll v Alftanes109-99
19/03/24Alftanes v Tindastoll72-90
05/01/24Tindastoll v Alftanes68-80
08/10/23Alftanes v Tindastoll65-70
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25AGrindavik94-92
06/02/25HHaukar107-90
30/01/25AIR Reykjavik94-75
23/01/25HKR Basket111-100
19/01/25HStjarnan88-100
16/01/25AValur81-87
09/01/25HNjardvik75-81
02/01/25AKeflavik89-87
19/12/24HHottur89-92
13/12/24AThorl78-89
Tindastolllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25HThorl109-96
02/02/25AStjarnan90-82
30/01/25AHottur97-85
23/01/25HGrindavik97-79
17/01/25AHaukar99-100
09/01/25HIR Reykjavik98-88
03/01/25AKR Basket116-95
20/12/24AValur80-89
12/12/24HNjardvik94-76
09/12/24AKeflavik70-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeLLLWW44%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%44%56%
Points / game90.793.787.8
Allowed / game90.794.087.3
Point differential+0.1-0.3+0.4
Avg total181.4187.7175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%22%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %11%22%0%
Tindastoll
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%89%67%
Points / game97.398.895.8
Allowed / game87.684.091.2
Point differential+9.7+14.8+4.6
Avg total184.9182.8187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%78%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan1814478%97.786.7+10.9
2 Tindastoll1814478%97.387.6+9.7
3 Njardvik1812667%92.689.4+3.2
4 Valur1810856%88.786.7+2.0
5 Grindavik189950%93.190.4+2.6
6 Alftanes189950%90.790.7+0.1
7 Keflavik1881044%97.394.6+2.7
8 KR Basket1881044%92.595.4-2.9
9 Thorl1881044%91.194.7-3.6
10 IR Reykjavik1881044%88.293.3-5.2
11 Hottur1841422%84.792.8-8.1
12 Haukar1841422%86.698.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes27202926102
Tindastoll1334271589
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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