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Valur vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 87-81
25-23 21-23 17-18 24-17
Position#5
Record5-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game91.2
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#6
Record5-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game91.4
IcelandPremier leagueRound 14· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valur v Alftanes
12 Nov 2026
VALU v ALFT
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
VALU92
ALFT80
16 Jan 2025
VALU87
ALFT81
07 Mar 2024
VALU89
ALFT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
L
94-101
94
101
-7
85avg 79
A31/10
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
70-83
70
83
-13
55avg 79
A08/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
101-94
101
94
+7
92avg 79
H14/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
74avg 79
A29/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
97-104
97
104
-7
91avg 79
H05/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 79
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#4
L
90-97
90
97
-7
85avg 79
A13/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 79
H20/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
70avg 79
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
69-94
69
94
-25
60avg 79
A10/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
13-28
28-25
33-21
11-30
32-15
14-22
13-16
20-27
23-17
31-16
27-34
22-19
14-27
28-13
19-25
31-17
21-35
23-23
22-29
21-29
20-15
18-13
29-20
26-30
25-18
15-31
24-18
18-20
31-16
24-20
16-24
19-18
23-31
23-13
18-17
10-23
17-24
17-26
25-21
175.7Avg total
86.4Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.691.2179.8-2.638%
Season at home (6)93.788.7182.3+5.067%
Season away (7)84.393.4177.7-9.114%
Last 10 (10)86.489.3175.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)83.885.4169.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.384.7169.0-0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (16)89.186.2175.2+2.962%
vs Weaker (10)88.188.4176.5-0.340%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
94avg 77
H31/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
91-86
91
86
+5
87avg 77
A08/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 77
H14/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
99-109
99
109
-10
94avg 77
A29/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
38avg 77
H06/12
Premier league
Snaefell
#16
W
106-66
106
66
+40
106avg 77
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
68avg 77
A13/12
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
89-92
89
92
-3
83avg 77
H19/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
80avg 77
A02/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
60avg 77
H09/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
26-30
19-28
22-9
25-28
26-16
17-27
23-15
30-20
24-25
19-23
17-20
21-29
38-26
20-32
20-22
20-23
23-30
17-29
17-15
25-11
33-16
24-18
24-21
17-27
21-16
24-22
16-24
28-8
26-34
19-23
16-27
22-23
21-20
30-20
16-24
20-17
20-19
16-20
19-25
176.9Avg total
88.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.291.4179.5-3.238%
Season at home (7)89.393.7183.0-4.429%
Season away (6)86.888.7175.5-1.850%
Last 10 (10)88.788.2176.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)87.483.0170.4+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.091.2172.2-10.212%
vs Similar ◀ (16)86.088.8174.8-2.844%
vs Weaker (5)97.687.2184.8+10.480%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
ValurAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A31/10
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A08/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H14/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A29/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H05/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A13/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A10/01
Premier league
88.3Avg total
41.7Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.843.886.6-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.643.286.9+0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)41.944.486.4-2.543%-
Last 10 (10)41.746.688.3-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.886.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.741.783.3+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.643.987.6-0.350%-
vs Weaker (10)42.144.286.3-2.140%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H31/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A08/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H14/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A29/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/12
Premier league
Snaefell
#16
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A13/12
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H19/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H09/01
Premier league
93.0Avg total
49.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.043.788.7+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.943.689.6+2.369%-
Last 30 away (14)44.043.787.7+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)49.243.893.0+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.638.284.8+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)45.846.692.4-0.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.543.985.4-2.444%-
vs Weaker (5)52.641.694.2+11.0100%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.9
52.0%
53.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.211.6
33.0%
34.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.714.8
71.5%
75.6%14.8
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.424.0
54.1%
53.7%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.8
31.6%
34.4%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.816.7
73.2%
75.6%16.7
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
LWWLWLLWLL
Alftanes
LWLLWLLWWW
#5
League position
#6
-3.8
Net rating
-0.9
104.2
Offensive rating
109.0
108.0
Defensive rating
109.9
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.0%
3-point %
31.6%
62.7%
Assist %
58.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 109.0Defence108.0 · 109.9Shooting50.7% · 51.9%3-point %33.0% · 31.6%Ball care14.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds22.1% · 29.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Valur   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valur wins
1
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
17/10/24Alftanes v Valur100-103 OT
07/03/24Valur v Alftanes89-71
23/11/23Alftanes v Valur73-67
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25AThorl69-94
05/01/25HStjarnan83-79
20/12/24HTindastoll89-80
13/12/24AGrindavik90-97
08/12/24HGrindavik88-77
05/12/24HHaukar97-104
29/11/24AIR Reykjavik83-84
14/11/24HKR Basket101-94
08/11/24AHottur70-83
31/10/24ANjardvik94-101
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HNjardvik75-81
02/01/25AKeflavik89-87
19/12/24HHottur89-92
13/12/24AThorl78-89
09/12/24HSnaefell106-66
06/12/24HStjarnan77-97
29/11/24ATindastoll99-109
14/11/24HGrindavik90-88
08/11/24AHaukar91-86
31/10/24HIR Reykjavik93-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%67%14%
Points / game88.693.784.3
Allowed / game91.288.793.4
Point differential-2.6+5.0-9.1
Avg total179.8182.3177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %15%17%14%
Alftanes
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeWWLLL29%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%29%50%
Points / game88.289.386.8
Allowed / game91.493.788.7
Point differential-3.2-4.4-1.8
Avg total179.5183.0175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %15%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan1411379%98.887.6+11.2
2 Tindastoll1310377%96.887.3+9.5
3 Njardvik138562%90.588.6+1.8
4 Grindavik137654%96.190.1+6.0
5 Keflavik137654%100.594.8+5.6
6 Thorl137654%88.891.9-3.1
7 KR Basket136746%92.293.5-1.3
8 IR Reykjavik146843%88.394.0-5.7
9 Valur135838%88.691.2-2.6
10 Alftanes135838%88.291.4-3.2
11 Hottur134931%87.293.9-6.7
12 Haukar1331023%84.596.5-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur2521172487
Alftanes2323181781
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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