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Alftanes vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 89-92
28-8 26-34 19-23 16-27
Position#6
Record4-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Hottur 🏆
Iceland
Position#11
Record3-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game93.1
IcelandPremier leagueRound 11· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alftanes v Hottur
08 Oct 2026
ALFT111
HOTT77
19 Dec 2024
ALFT89
HOTT92
04 Apr 2024
ALFT63
HOTT54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 78
A12/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
95avg 78
H17/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
84-72
84
72
+12
85avg 78
A24/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
94avg 78
H31/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
91-86
91
86
+5
87avg 78
A08/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 78
H14/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
99-109
99
109
-10
94avg 78
A29/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
38avg 78
H06/12
Premier league
Snaefell
#16
W
106-66
106
66
+40
106avg 78
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
68avg 78
A13/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
19-21
16-23
20-21
19-20
21-17
27-19
21-32
24-17
19-24
21-22
20-9
26-20
26-30
19-28
22-9
25-28
26-16
17-27
23-15
30-20
24-25
19-23
17-20
21-29
38-26
20-32
20-22
20-23
23-30
17-29
17-15
25-11
33-16
24-18
24-21
17-27
21-16
24-22
16-24
178.4Avg total
89.8Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.392.8182.1-3.540%
Season at home (5)92.296.6188.8-4.440%
Season away (5)86.489.0175.4-2.640%
Last 10 (10)89.888.6178.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)90.089.8179.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.992.7174.6-10.914%
vs Similar (17)84.787.0171.7-2.341%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)99.886.0185.8+13.8100%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#10
W
120-115 OT
120
115
+5
114avg 72
H10/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
84-113
84
113
-29
61avg 72
A17/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
62avg 72
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
59-99
59
99
-40
38avg 72
A31/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
83-70
83
70
+13
76avg 72
H08/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 72
A14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
73avg 72
H29/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
84-106
84
106
-22
70avg 72
A05/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
58avg 72
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 72
H12/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-27
20-31
20-21
31-24
9-31
24-25
20-25
31-32
12-26
26-21
18-24
20-20
17-29
13-26
15-24
14-20
30-11
15-32
22-14
16-13
25-21
13-19
16-29
26-18
19-25
16-17
25-23
25-23
20-29
28-24
15-29
21-24
23-13
15-22
23-13
11-25
15-13
19-24
25-28
20-17
174.6Avg total
82.2Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.893.1178.9-7.330%
Season at home (5)88.689.2177.8-0.640%
Season away (5)83.097.0180.0-14.020%
Last 10 (10)82.292.4174.6-10.220%
Last 5 (5)80.087.2167.2-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)82.595.1177.6-12.619%
vs Similar (9)80.082.0162.0-2.044%
vs Weaker (3)95.779.3175.0+16.3100%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
AlftanesHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A24/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H31/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A08/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H14/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A29/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/12
Premier league
Snaefell
#16
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A13/12
Premier league
92.2Avg total
48.2Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.943.688.5+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.043.889.8+2.267%-
Last 30 away (15)43.843.387.1+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)48.244.092.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)50.444.695.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)46.648.194.7-1.643%-
vs Similar (17)41.543.585.0-2.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)52.241.593.8+10.8100%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#10
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H10/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A17/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A31/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H08/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H29/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A05/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/12
Premier league
85.7Avg total
39.1Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.784.5-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.043.484.4-2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)40.544.184.6-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)39.146.685.7-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.480.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.848.688.3-8.819%-
vs Similar (9)40.340.680.9-0.244%-
vs Weaker (3)48.332.080.3+16.3100%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.6
55.0%
53.7%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.9
30.0%
34.4%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.516.1
74.9%
75.6%16.1
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.318.3
44.3%
53.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.0
31.4%
34.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
75.6%15.0
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
LWLLWWWWLL
Hottur
LLLLLWLLLW
#6
League position
#11
-0.5
Net rating
-11.6
108.2
Offensive rating
98.2
108.7
Defensive rating
109.8
51.6%
Effective FG%
45.6%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.5%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.0%
3-point %
31.4%
61.3%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 98.2Defence108.7 · 109.8Shooting51.6% · 45.6%3-point %30.0% · 31.4%Ball care15.3% · 16.5%Off. rebounds27.2% · 27.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Alftanes   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alftanes wins
1
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
04/04/24Alftanes v Hottur63-54
14/12/23Hottur v Alftanes78-73
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24AThorl78-89
09/12/24HSnaefell106-66
06/12/24HStjarnan77-97
29/11/24ATindastoll99-109
14/11/24HGrindavik90-88
08/11/24AHaukar91-86
31/10/24HIR Reykjavik93-87
24/10/24AKR Basket84-72
17/10/24HValur100-103 OT
12/10/24ANjardvik80-89
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24HIR Reykjavik79-82
08/12/24HKR Basket72-73
05/12/24AThorl84-106
29/11/24HKR Basket85-88
14/11/24AStjarnan80-87
08/11/24HValur83-70
31/10/24ATindastoll59-99
24/10/24HNjardvik76-91
17/10/24AGrindavik84-113
10/10/24HKeflavik120-115 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game89.392.286.4
Allowed / game92.896.689.0
Point differential-3.5-4.4-2.6
Avg total182.1188.8175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %20%40%0%
Hottur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game85.888.683.0
Allowed / game93.189.297.0
Point differential-7.3-0.6-14.0
Avg total178.9177.8180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan109190%100.986.4+14.5
2 Tindastoll108280%96.586.3+10.2
3 Grindavik106460%96.888.2+8.6
4 Njardvik106460%89.987.3+2.6
5 Thorl106460%87.191.5-4.4
6 Keflavik105550%100.296.0+4.2
7 KR Basket105550%89.789.3+0.4
8 Alftanes104640%89.392.8-3.5
9 IR Reykjavik114736%86.193.4-7.3
10 Valur103730%91.193.3-2.2
11 Hottur103730%85.893.1-7.3
12 Haukar112918%85.499.1-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes2826191689
Hottur834232792
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