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Keflavik vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 87-89
23-22 20-21 20-30 24-16
Position#10
Record6-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game95.1
vs
Position#6
Record4-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game92.7
IcelandPremier leagueRound 12· Blue-hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Keflavik v Alftanes
21 Jan 2027
KEFL v ALFT
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
KEFL101
ALFT90
02 Jan 2025
KEFL87
ALFT89
19 Apr 2024
KEFL88
ALFT84
11 Apr 2024
KEFL99
ALFT92
17 Nov 2023
KEFL97
ALFT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
71avg 87
H18/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
80-104
80
104
-24
64avg 87
A24/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 87
H01/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
91-79
91
79
+12
89avg 87
A08/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
117-85
117
85
+32
111avg 87
H14/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
96-104
96
104
-8
56avg 87
H29/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
120-93
120
93
+27
126avg 87
H06/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
78avg 87
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
78avg 87
A12/12
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
105-86
105
86
+19
96avg 87
H19/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
22-17
24-23
12-24
21-25
21-19
25-27
13-33
31-29
18-22
27-10
18-27
32-22
27-21
21-19
11-17
26-23
31-19
34-22
26-21
24-26
23-34
32-18
17-26
28-20
31-30
32-19
29-24
23-24
27-21
16-17
15-8
28-20
22-30
17-22
26-25
31-31
30-19
20-19
24-17
186.0Avg total
96.5Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)100.695.1195.7+5.555%
Season at home (6)103.390.8194.2+12.567%
Season away (5)97.4100.2197.6-2.840%
Last 10 (10)96.589.5186.0+7.060%
Last 5 (5)99.090.0189.0+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.393.0193.3+7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (19)91.994.3186.2-2.358%
vs Weaker (7)108.490.1198.6+18.386%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
95avg 78
H17/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
84-72
84
72
+12
85avg 78
A24/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
94avg 78
H31/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
91-86
91
86
+5
87avg 78
A08/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 78
H14/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
99-109
99
109
-10
94avg 78
A29/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
38avg 78
H06/12
Premier league
Snaefell
#16
W
106-66
106
66
+40
106avg 78
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
68avg 78
A13/12
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
89-92
89
92
-3
83avg 78
H19/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
21-17
27-19
21-32
24-17
19-24
21-22
20-9
26-20
26-30
19-28
22-9
25-28
26-16
17-27
23-15
30-20
24-25
19-23
17-20
21-29
38-26
20-32
20-22
20-23
23-30
17-29
17-15
25-11
33-16
24-18
24-21
17-27
21-16
24-22
16-24
28-8
26-34
19-23
16-27
179.6Avg total
90.7Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.392.7182.0-3.536%
Season at home (6)91.795.8187.5-4.233%
Season away (5)86.489.0175.4-2.640%
Last 10 (10)90.788.9179.6+1.850%
Last 5 (5)89.890.6180.4-0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.992.7174.6-10.914%
vs Similar ◀ (17)84.787.0171.7-2.341%
vs Weaker (5)97.687.2184.8+10.480%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
KeflavikAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H18/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A24/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H01/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A08/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H14/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H29/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H06/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#2
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A12/12
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H19/12
Premier league
100.3Avg total
52.6Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.146.396.4+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.245.796.9+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)49.146.995.9+2.240%-
Last 10 (10)52.647.7100.3+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)53.451.0104.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.747.3101.0+6.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)47.746.594.3+1.247%-
vs Weaker (7)55.145.3100.4+9.971%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A24/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H31/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A08/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H14/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A29/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/12
Premier league
Snaefell
#16
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A13/12
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H19/12
Premier league
92.9Avg total
49.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.788.8+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.344.190.5+2.267%-
Last 30 away (15)43.843.387.1+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)49.243.792.9+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)50.444.094.4+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)46.648.194.7-1.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.543.585.0-2.147%-
vs Weaker (5)52.641.694.2+11.0100%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.5
53.4%
53.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.913.7
35.2%
34.4%41.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.8
77.5%
75.6%15.8
They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.625.0
54.8%
53.7%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.7
29.9%
34.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.617.0
75.2%
75.6%17.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
WLWWLWWWLL
Alftanes
LLWLLWWWWL
#10
League position
#6
+9.3
Net rating
+0.8
114.5
Offensive rating
109.3
105.1
Defensive rating
108.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.2%
3-point %
29.9%
56.0%
Assist %
62.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 109.3Defence105.1 · 108.5Shooting53.1% · 51.5%3-point %35.2% · 29.9%Ball care14.7% · 15.2%Off. rebounds29.4% · 28.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Keflavik   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Keflavik wins
1
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
03/10/24Alftanes v Keflavik101-108 OT
23/04/24Alftanes v Keflavik85-114
19/04/24Keflavik v Alftanes88-84
15/04/24Alftanes v Keflavik77-56
11/04/24Keflavik v Alftanes99-92
16/02/24Alftanes v Keflavik109-114 OT
17/11/23Keflavik v Alftanes97-78
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24HThorl105-86
12/12/24AStjarnan93-97
09/12/24HTindastoll81-70
06/12/24HTindastoll120-93
29/11/24HGrindavik96-104
14/11/24HHaukar117-85
08/11/24AIR Reykjavik91-79
01/11/24HKR Basket94-88
24/10/24AValur80-104
18/10/24HNjardvik88-89
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24HHottur89-92
13/12/24AThorl78-89
09/12/24HSnaefell106-66
06/12/24HStjarnan77-97
29/11/24ATindastoll99-109
14/11/24HGrindavik90-88
08/11/24AHaukar91-86
31/10/24HIR Reykjavik93-87
24/10/24AKR Basket84-72
17/10/24HValur100-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game100.6103.397.4
Allowed / game95.190.8100.2
Point differential+5.5+12.5-2.8
Avg total195.7194.2197.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %18%0%40%
Alftanes
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game89.391.786.4
Allowed / game92.795.889.0
Point differential-3.5-4.2-2.6
Avg total182.0187.5175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %18%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan1110191%100.886.7+14.1
2 Tindastoll118373%95.086.5+8.5
3 Grindavik116555%98.291.1+7.1
4 Keflavik116555%100.695.1+5.5
5 Njardvik116555%89.988.5+1.5
6 KR Basket116555%92.591.4+1.1
7 Thorl116555%87.092.7-5.7
8 Valur114736%90.992.1-1.2
9 Alftanes114736%89.392.7-3.5
10 Hottur114736%86.492.7-6.4
11 IR Reykjavik114736%86.193.4-7.3
12 Haukar112918%85.499.1-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik2320202487
Alftanes2221301689
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