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Alftanes vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 88-100
24-27 22-26 17-28 25-19
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLWLL
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game66.0
Alftanes
Iceland
vs
Stjarnan 🏆
Iceland
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game81.0
IcelandIcelandic CupIcelandic Cup - Quarter-finals· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alftanes v Stjarnan
28 Dec 2026
ALFT v STJA
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
ALFT124
STJA115
19 Jan 2025
ALFT88
STJA100
06 Dec 2024
ALFT77
STJA97
14 Mar 2024
ALFT86
STJA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
W
91-86
91
86
+5
87avg 77
A08/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 77
H14/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
99-109
99
109
-10
94avg 77
A29/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
38avg 77
H06/12
Premier league
Snaefell
#16
W
106-66
106
66
+40
106avg 77
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
68avg 77
A13/12
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
89-92
89
92
-3
83avg 77
H19/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
80avg 77
A02/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
60avg 77
H09/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
66avg 77
A16/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
26-16
17-27
23-15
30-20
24-25
19-23
17-20
21-29
38-26
20-32
20-22
20-23
23-30
17-29
17-15
25-11
33-16
24-18
24-21
17-27
21-16
24-22
16-24
28-8
26-34
19-23
16-27
22-23
21-20
30-20
16-24
20-17
20-19
16-20
19-25
23-25
23-21
18-17
17-24
175.7Avg total
87.5Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)106.066.0172.0+40.0100%
Season at home (1)106.066.0172.0+40.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.588.2175.7-0.740%
Last 5 (5)82.487.2169.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.691.9172.4-11.314%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.788.6174.4-2.941%
vs Weaker (5)97.687.2184.8+10.480%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 86
A03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
77avg 86
H14/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
124-82
124
82
+42
124avg 86
H30/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
97-77
97
77
+20
63avg 86
A06/12
Premier league
Thorl
#13
W
108-81
108
81
+27
106avg 86
A09/12
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
W
97-93
97
93
+4
103avg 86
H12/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
100-90
100
90
+10
90avg 86
A19/12
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 86
A05/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
86avg 86
H10/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
101-103 OT
101
103
-2
88avg 86
A16/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
21-27
28-19
14-18
21-25
19-13
29-16
18-26
31-25
40-15
23-15
30-27
23-20
30-23
29-17
15-17
27-22
27-26
24-23
30-10
20-28
30-22
22-17
25-26
22-23
29-23
26-24
23-20
18-19
31-23
13-23
17-18
20-17
30-24
18-19
26-26
24-22
26-16
14-32
24-18
184.1Avg total
97.4Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)108.081.0189.0+27.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)108.081.0189.0+27.0100%
Last 10 (10)97.486.7184.1+10.770%
Last 5 (5)94.291.0185.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.591.8179.2-4.250%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.590.2177.8-2.825%
vs Weaker (16)98.385.8184.1+12.581%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
AlftanesStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A08/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H14/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A29/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/12
Premier league
Snaefell
#16
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A13/12
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H19/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H09/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/01
Premier league
92.0Avg total
48.6Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.888.9+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.943.689.6+2.369%-
Last 30 away (14)44.144.088.1+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)48.643.492.0+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.086.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.947.393.1-1.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.844.085.8-2.241%-
vs Weaker (5)52.641.694.2+11.0100%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
71-40
71
40
+31
H30/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A06/12
Premier league
Thorl
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A09/12
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H12/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A19/12
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A05/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H10/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A16/01
Premier league
95.4Avg total
51.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.844.093.7+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.543.192.7+6.460%-
Last 30 away (15)50.044.894.8+5.273%-
Last 10 (10)51.344.195.4+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)50.043.493.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.546.891.2-2.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)47.449.997.2-2.538%-
vs Weaker (16)52.240.993.2+11.388%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
45%
39%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.723.3
52.1%
53.1%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.1
31.8%
33.8%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.215.8
71.2%
73.1%15.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
45%
39%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.921.9
49.9%
53.1%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.7
38.9%
33.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws20.715.9
76.8%
73.1%15.9
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
LLWLLWLLWW
Stjarnan
LWLWWWWWWL
#5
League position
#3
-2.7
Net rating
+14.5
107.3
Offensive rating
117.2
110.0
Defensive rating
102.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.8%
3-point %
38.9%
58.9%
Assist %
64.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 117.2Defence110.0 · 102.7Shooting50.7% · 53.3%3-point %31.8% · 38.9%Ball care15.0% · 15.0%Off. rebounds28.6% · 33.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Alftanes   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alftanes wins
1
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
06/12/24Alftanes v Stjarnan77-97
14/03/24Alftanes v Stjarnan86-77
01/12/23Stjarnan v Alftanes84-90 OT
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25AValur81-87
09/01/25HNjardvik75-81
02/01/25AKeflavik89-87
19/12/24HHottur89-92
13/12/24AThorl78-89
09/12/24HSnaefell106-66
06/12/24HStjarnan77-97
29/11/24ATindastoll99-109
14/11/24HGrindavik90-88
08/11/24AHaukar91-86
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25AIR Reykjavik101-103 OT
10/01/25HKR Basket94-86
05/01/25AValur79-83
19/12/24ANjardvik100-90
12/12/24HKeflavik97-93
09/12/24AThorl108-81
06/12/24AAlftanes97-77
30/11/24HThorl124-82
14/11/24HHottur87-80
03/11/24ATindastoll87-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Icelandic Cup 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game106.0106.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+40.0+40.0-
Avg total172.0172.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Stjarnan
Icelandic Cup 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game108.0-108.0
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential+27.0-+27.0
Avg total189.0-189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alftanes110100%106.066.0+40.0
2 Njardvik110100%121.087.0+34.0
3 Haukar110100%109.079.0+30.0
4 Stjarnan110100%108.081.0+27.0
5 Keflavik110100%81.070.0+11.0
6 Valur110100%88.077.0+11.0
7 Sindri110100%87.077.0+10.0
8 KR Basket110100%73.072.0+1.0
9 Hottur1010%72.073.0-1.0
10 KV mfl.kk.1010%77.087.0-10.0
11 Grindavik1010%77.088.0-11.0
12 Tindastoll1010%70.081.0-11.0
13 Thorl1010%81.0108.0-27.0
14 Breidablik1010%79.0109.0-30.0
15 Selfoss1010%87.0121.0-34.0
16 Snaefell1010%66.0106.0-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes2422172588
Stjarnan27262819100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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