Alicante vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 95-96

28-22 20-20 21-23 26-31

Position#12

Record4-14

FormLWLWL

Points / game73.8

Allowed / game77.8

Alicante

Palencia 🏆

Position#6

Record13-5

FormWLWWW

Points / game86.7

Allowed / game78.1

Primera FEBRound 19

Other2024-25

Meetings · Alicante v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alicante winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alicante

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlicante

Date

Competition

Zamora

#13

68-70

-2

58avg 66

H01/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

65-72

-7

48avg 66

A07/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

95-82

+13

93avg 66

H11/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

70-85

-15

58avg 66

A15/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

104-89

104

+15

101avg 66

H21/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

71-73

-2

58avg 66

A29/12

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

90-85

80avg 66

H04/01

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

73-83

-10

56avg 66

A12/01

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

86-74

+12

86avg 66

H18/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

68-79

-11

56avg 66

A31/01

Primera FEB

13-20

16-19

14-15

25-16

12-9

27-20

11-16

15-27

24-21

28-22

21-21

22-18

12-14

22-24

18-25

18-22

26-33

29-13

28-21

21-22

18-21

26-20

16-17

11-15

22-31

22-16

19-20

27-18

11-30

17-23

22-16

23-14

22-17

28-16

23-19

13-22

18-21

12-19

24-21

14-18

158.2Avg total

79.0Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	73.8	77.8	151.6	-4.0	22%
Season at home (9)	77.0	77.0	154.0	+0.0	44%
Season away (9)	70.6	78.6	149.1	-8.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	79.2	158.2	-0.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	78.8	156.4	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	70.8	80.6	151.4	-9.9	14%
vs Similar (9)	80.4	81.0	161.4	-0.6	22%
vs Weaker (7)	72.4	75.6	148.0	-3.1	29%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPalencia

Date

Competition

Moron

#18

91-86

81avg 77

A01/12

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

91-83

81avg 77

H05/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

73-82

-9

64avg 77

A11/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

114-81

114

+33

113avg 77

H14/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

91-71

+20

90avg 77

A20/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

90-75

+15

90avg 77

H28/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

78-84

-6

63avg 77

A04/01

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

79-75

68avg 77

H10/01

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

83-59

+24

83avg 77

A18/01

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

89-88

79avg 77

H01/02

Primera FEB

24-17

17-28

23-12

27-29

17-14

24-25

24-24

26-20

15-23

27-22

9-22

22-15

31-14

30-21

26-21

27-25

25-17

19-24

27-10

20-20

24-10

14-25

30-19

22-21

24-18

20-26

18-22

16-18

24-27

18-19

24-18

13-11

24-19

13-14

25-13

21-13

19-20

26-20

22-19

22-29

166.3Avg total

87.9Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	86.7	78.1	164.7	+8.6	72%
Season at home (9)	89.8	77.6	167.3	+12.2	89%
Season away (9)	83.6	78.6	162.1	+5.0	56%
Last 10 (10)	87.9	78.4	166.3	+9.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	76.2	160.0	+7.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	80.5	88.8	169.2	-8.2	17%
vs Similar (6)	80.7	86.0	166.7	-5.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	90.2	74.3	164.5	+15.8	92%

This opponent (Alicante) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlicantePalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	22.1	38.5	-5.7	13%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	22.2	39.3	-5.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.8	22.0	37.8	-6.2	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.7	39.5	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.0	42.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	15.3	20.9	36.2	-5.6	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.2	24.1	42.3	-5.9	11%	-
vs Weaker (7)	16.1	21.9	38.0	-5.7	14%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.9	40.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	17.9	40.6	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.8	41.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.3	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.2	21.8	39.0	-4.7	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	24.2	17.6	41.8	+6.6	92%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.5	39.0	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	16.7	38.5	+5.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.1	39.4	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.2	41.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.3	41.3	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.6	19.8	41.3	+1.8	75%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.8	22.8	44.7	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	42%	-

AlicanteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zamora

#13

29-39

-10

H01/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

39-29

+10

A07/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

52-43

H11/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

34-38

-4

A15/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

55-46

H21/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

44-41

A29/12

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

44-47

-3

H04/01

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

28-53

-25

A12/01

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

50-33

+17

H18/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

30-40

-10

A31/01

Primera FEB

81.4Avg total

40.5Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	40.6	77.4	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	38.9	77.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.0	42.1	77.1	-7.1	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	40.9	81.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	42.8	82.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.4	39.8	74.2	-5.4	21%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.2	42.6	82.8	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	37.1	39.9	77.0	-2.7	43%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Moron

#18

41-45

-4

A01/12

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

41-39

H05/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

42-45

-3

A11/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

61-35

+26

H14/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

44-41

A20/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

38-35

H28/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

44-44

A04/01

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

42-46

-4

H10/01

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

37-33

A18/01

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

45-40

H01/02

Primera FEB

83.8Avg total

43.5Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	39.9	81.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	38.4	80.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	41.5	82.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	40.3	83.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	39.6	80.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	39.9	40.4	80.3	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.0	44.7	83.7	-5.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	44.3	37.1	81.4	+7.2	75%	-

This opponent (Alicante) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	20.1	39.1	-1.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	21%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.1	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.7	42.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	20.5	43.6	+2.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.0	40.8	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.2	42.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.1	23.1	43.2	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	24.9	18.3	43.2	+6.6	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.3	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	16.1	16.4	32.6	-0.3	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.8	42.7	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.5	25.2	45.8	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	38.5	75.5	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.7	38.4	76.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	38.6	75.0	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	38.3	76.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.0	74.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.4	40.9	77.2	-4.5	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.3	37.1	76.4	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	35.3	35.7	71.0	-0.4	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	42.5	85.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	42.7	86.3	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	42.3	84.5	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	38.1	82.5	+6.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	36.6	79.2	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	40.6	48.3	88.9	-7.8	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.7	41.3	83.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	45.8	37.2	83.1	+8.6	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Alicantetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.1	52.2%	51.8%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	8.4	34.1%	33.7%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.4%	73.6%	13.8

They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	17.8	55.6%	51.8%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	11.0	36.4%	33.7%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.8	19.3	84.6%	73.6%	19.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.0	52.5%	51.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.7	34.3%	33.7%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.6	74.4%	73.6%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.7	53.7%	51.8%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.5%	33.7%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.8	78.9%	73.6%	16.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alicante wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
01/11/24	Palencia v Alicante	80-64
02/06/23	Alicante v Palencia	60-63
28/05/23	Palencia v Alicante	75-68
26/05/23	Palencia v Alicante	88-57
17/02/23	Palencia v Alicante	87-79
21/10/22	Alicante v Palencia	54-82
13/05/22	Palencia v Alicante	83-89
09/02/22	Alicante v Palencia	71-72
16/05/21	Palencia v Alicante	76-66
09/04/21	Alicante v Palencia	84-73

Alicantelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/01/25	A	Real Betis	68-79
18/01/25	H	Moron	86-74
12/01/25	A	Castello	73-83
04/01/25	H	Obradoiro CAB	90-85
29/12/24	A	Hestia Menorca	71-73
21/12/24	H	Tizona Burgos	104-89
15/12/24	A	Estudiantes	70-85
11/12/24	H	Gipuzkoa	95-82
07/12/24	A	San Pablo Burgos	65-72
01/12/24	H	Zamora	68-70

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/25	H	Fuenlabrada	89-88
18/01/25	A	Estela	83-59
10/01/25	H	Zamora	79-75
04/01/25	A	Hestia Menorca	78-84
28/12/24	H	Real Valladolid	90-75
20/12/24	A	Oviedo	91-71
14/12/24	H	Ourense	114-81
11/12/24	A	Fuenlabrada	73-82
05/12/24	H	Obradoiro CAB	91-83
01/12/24	A	Moron	91-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alicante

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	22%
Home	LWWWW	44%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	22%	44%	0%
Points / game	73.8	77.0	70.6
Allowed / game	77.8	77.0	78.6
Point differential	-4.0	+0.0	-8.0
Avg total	151.6	154.0	149.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	50% (2)	0% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	72%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WLWLW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	72%	89%	56%
Points / game	86.7	89.8	83.6
Allowed / game	78.1	77.6	78.6
Point differential	+8.6	+12.2	+5.0
Avg total	164.7	167.3	162.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	44%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	18	17	1	94%	90.2	75.1	+15.1
2	Fuenlabrada	18	15	3	83%	84.4	73.7	+10.7
3	Estudiantes	18	15	3	83%	88.1	79.2	+8.9
4	Real Betis	18	13	5	72%	82.9	74.0	+8.9
5	Palencia	18	13	5	72%	86.7	78.1	+8.6
6	Obradoiro CAB	18	10	8	56%	79.9	75.2	+4.7
7	Ourense	18	10	8	56%	84.8	81.7	+3.1
8	Tizona Burgos	18	10	8	56%	89.7	89.6	+0.1
9	Cartagena	18	9	9	50%	78.8	85.3	-6.5
10	Zamora	18	7	11	39%	78.9	81.3	-2.4
11	Gipuzkoa	18	7	11	39%	74.9	77.8	-2.9
12	Hestia Menorca	18	7	11	39%	73.6	77.2	-3.7
13	Castello	18	7	11	39%	80.6	87.7	-7.1
14	Oviedo	18	6	12	33%	76.1	81.7	-5.6
15	Real Valladolid	18	6	12	33%	75.6	82.7	-7.2
16	Estela	18	5	13	28%	73.2	83.0	-9.8
17	Alicante	18	4	14	22%	73.8	77.8	-4.0
18	Moron	18	1	17	6%	73.1	84.1	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alicante	28	20	21	26	95
Palencia	22	20	23	31	96

← all games of the day

Alicante vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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