Estela vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 59-83

19-24 14-13 13-25 13-21

Position#14

Record5-11

FormWWLLL

Points / game73.2

Allowed / game82.6

Estela

Palencia 🏆

Position#6

Record11-5

FormWWWLW

Points / game86.8

Allowed / game78.6

Primera FEBRound 17

Other2024-25

Meetings · Estela v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstela

Date

Competition

Alicante

#12

75-60

+15

74avg 65

A08/11

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

85-81

73avg 65

H15/11

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

54-93

-39

37avg 65

A01/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

67-75

-8

55avg 65

H07/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

70-95

-25

61avg 65

A10/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

83-80

70avg 65

H15/12

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

89-71

+18

80avg 65

H21/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

60-83

-23

41avg 65

A29/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

75-92

-17

65avg 65

H04/01

Primera FEB

Cartagena

78-87

-9

67avg 65

A12/01

Primera FEB

20-14

13-22

21-13

21-11

26-27

17-21

19-13

23-20

16-25

14-21

8-26

16-21

21-16

24-17

13-21

9-21

15-21

15-23

21-29

19-22

16-18

20-15

24-20

23-27

16-24

29-11

23-13

21-23

16-24

15-22

13-13

16-24

17-23

21-26

17-20

20-23

24-13

14-27

22-26

18-21

155.3Avg total

73.6Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	73.2	82.6	155.8	-9.4	31%
Season at home (8)	79.2	79.4	158.6	-0.1	50%
Season away (8)	67.1	85.8	152.9	-18.6	12%
Last 10 (10)	73.6	81.7	155.3	-8.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	82.6	159.6	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	70.2	85.5	155.7	-15.3	13%
vs Similar (12)	79.0	80.5	159.5	-1.5	42%
vs Weaker (3)	80.7	83.7	164.3	-3.0	67%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPalencia

Date

Competition

Cartagena

100-67

100

+33

96avg 76

A08/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

107-76

107

+31

102avg 76

H15/11

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

91-86

81avg 76

A01/12

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

91-83

81avg 76

H05/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

73-82

-9

64avg 76

A11/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

114-81

114

+33

113avg 76

H14/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

91-71

+20

90avg 76

A20/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

90-75

+15

90avg 76

H28/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

78-84

-6

63avg 76

A04/01

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

79-75

68avg 76

H10/01

Primera FEB

23-16

27-16

28-25

22-10

33-22

22-11

29-22

23-21

24-17

17-28

23-12

27-29

17-14

24-25

24-24

26-20

15-23

27-22

9-22

22-15

31-14

30-21

26-21

27-25

25-17

19-24

27-10

20-20

24-10

14-25

30-19

22-21

24-18

20-26

18-22

16-18

24-27

18-19

24-18

13-11

169.4Avg total

91.4Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	86.8	78.6	165.4	+8.1	69%
Season at home (8)	89.9	76.2	166.1	+13.6	88%
Season away (8)	83.6	81.0	164.6	+2.6	50%
Last 10 (10)	91.4	78.0	169.4	+13.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	77.2	167.6	+13.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	80.6	86.4	167.0	-5.8	23%
vs Similar (6)	78.7	86.2	164.8	-7.5	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	90.8	75.7	166.5	+15.1	91%

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstelaPalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	21.2	40.3	-2.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.1	22.1	40.2	-4.1	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	24.0	44.3	-3.7	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.7	40.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.9	40.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	17.8	41.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	17.2	42.8	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.2	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.0	21.7	39.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	24.2	17.5	41.6	+6.7	91%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	20.0	37.1	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.8	20.6	36.4	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.5	38.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.8	20.5	37.3	-3.7	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.5	19.4	36.9	-1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	19.3	36.3	-2.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.5	39.5	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	21.9	43.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.7	43.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.7	77%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.2	22.7	42.8	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	45%	-

EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

#12

33-36

-3

A08/11

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

43-48

-5

H15/11

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

30-46

-16

A01/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

45-33

+12

H07/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

30-44

-14

A10/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

36-33

H15/12

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

45-35

+10

H21/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

31-46

-15

A29/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

38-49

-11

H04/01

Primera FEB

Cartagena

38-40

-2

A12/01

Primera FEB

77.9Avg total

36.9Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	40.8	76.8	-4.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	40.4	78.1	-2.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.7	41.1	75.8	-6.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	41.0	77.9	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	40.6	78.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	34.9	42.7	77.5	-7.8	13%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.2	37.8	75.0	-0.5	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	37.3	43.3	80.7	-6.0	0%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cartagena

50-32

+18

A08/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

55-33

+22

H15/11

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

41-45

-4

A01/12

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

41-39

H05/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

42-45

-3

A11/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

61-35

+26

H14/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

44-41

A20/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

38-35

H28/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

44-44

A04/01

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

42-46

-4

H10/01

Primera FEB

85.3Avg total

45.8Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	39.8	81.4	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	37.9	79.7	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	41.8	83.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	39.5	85.3	+6.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	40.2	86.0	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	40.3	39.8	80.1	+0.5	54%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.2	44.3	82.5	-6.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	45.0	37.5	82.5	+7.5	73%	-

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	18.5	36.1	-0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	21.6	39.7	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.1	20.1	36.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-0.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	19.5	43.3	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	18.0	43.0	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.2	22.2	42.3	-2.0	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	24.9	18.8	43.7	+6.1	82%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	20.9	40.6	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.6	43.2	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.3	21.1	39.5	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.4	43.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.2	24.5	44.6	-4.3	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.3	20.3	41.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.5	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	41.2	78.8	-3.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.3	39.4	76.7	-2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.0	42.7	80.7	-4.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	40.7	77.4	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	42.0	81.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	34.5	41.3	75.7	-6.8	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.2	41.2	81.5	-1.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	40.3	83.7	+3.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	42.6	85.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	41.2	84.4	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	44.0	85.5	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	38.5	84.1	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	37.0	81.6	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	40.3	46.6	86.9	-6.3	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.5	41.8	82.3	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	45.8	38.3	84.1	+7.5	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.1	52.2%	51.8%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	8.4	34.1%	33.7%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.4%	73.6%	13.8

They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	17.8	55.6%	51.8%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	11.0	36.4%	33.7%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.8	19.3	84.6%	73.6%	19.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.0	52.5%	51.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.7	34.3%	33.7%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.6	74.4%	73.6%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.7	53.7%	51.8%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.5%	33.7%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.8	78.9%	73.6%	16.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estela wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
24/03/23	Palencia v Estela	94-72
26/11/22	Estela v Palencia	67-77

Estelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/25	A	Cartagena	78-87
04/01/25	H	Estudiantes	75-92
29/12/24	A	Gipuzkoa	60-83
21/12/24	H	Zamora	89-71
15/12/24	H	Tizona Burgos	83-80
10/12/24	A	Oviedo	70-95
07/12/24	H	Fuenlabrada	67-75
01/12/24	A	Obradoiro CAB	54-93
15/11/24	H	Moron	85-81
08/11/24	A	Alicante	75-60

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/25	H	Zamora	79-75
04/01/25	A	Hestia Menorca	78-84
28/12/24	H	Real Valladolid	90-75
20/12/24	A	Oviedo	91-71
14/12/24	H	Ourense	114-81
11/12/24	A	Fuenlabrada	73-82
05/12/24	H	Obradoiro CAB	91-83
01/12/24	A	Moron	91-86
15/11/24	H	Castello	107-76
08/11/24	A	Cartagena	100-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	31%
Home	WLWWL	50%
Away	WLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	31%	50%	12%
Points / game	73.2	79.2	67.1
Allowed / game	82.6	79.4	85.8
Point differential	-9.4	-0.1	-18.6
Avg total	155.8	158.6	152.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	12%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	60% (5)	-
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	69%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	WWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	69%	88%	50%
Points / game	86.8	89.9	83.6
Allowed / game	78.6	76.2	81.0
Point differential	+8.1	+13.6	+2.6
Avg total	165.4	166.1	164.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	16	15	1	94%	89.2	75.0	+14.2
2	Fuenlabrada	17	15	2	88%	84.2	72.8	+11.4
3	Estudiantes	17	15	2	88%	88.8	79.1	+9.8
4	Real Betis	17	12	5	71%	83.2	74.4	+8.8
5	Palencia	16	11	5	69%	86.8	78.6	+8.1
6	Ourense	16	10	6	62%	85.6	80.2	+5.3
7	Tizona Burgos	17	9	8	53%	89.6	89.7	-0.1
8	Obradoiro CAB	16	8	8	50%	79.1	74.9	+4.2
9	Cartagena	17	8	9	47%	79.2	86.2	-7.1
10	Castello	16	7	9	44%	81.4	86.7	-5.3
11	Zamora	17	7	10	41%	79.4	81.8	-2.4
12	Hestia Menorca	16	6	10	38%	72.9	77.0	-4.1
13	Gipuzkoa	17	6	11	35%	74.6	78.1	-3.5
14	Real Valladolid	16	5	11	31%	73.8	82.6	-8.8
15	Estela	16	5	11	31%	73.2	82.6	-9.4
16	Oviedo	17	5	12	29%	75.8	82.0	-6.2
17	Alicante	16	3	13	19%	73.4	77.9	-4.6
18	Moron	16	1	15	6%	72.9	84.2	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estela	19	14	13	13	59
Palencia	24	13	25	21	83

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Estela vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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