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Almaty vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 20-0
Position#4
Record14-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game75.1
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#7
Record3-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game79.3
KazakhstanNational League· SC Champ
Other2024-25
Meetings · Almaty v Aktobe
09 Mar 2025
ALMA20
AKTO0
08 Mar 2025
ALMA20
AKTO0
24 Dec 2023
ALMA67
AKTO84
23 Dec 2023
ALMA83
AKTO77
07 Apr 2021
ALMA71
AKTO109
06 Apr 2021
ALMA49
AKTO85
14 Feb 2021
ALMA69
AKTO94
13 Feb 2021
ALMA87
AKTO96
20 Feb 2018
ALMA99
AKTO48
20 Dec 2017
ALMA74
AKTO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#3
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 79
H15/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 79
A05/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
68-91
68
91
-23
55avg 79
A06/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
90-70
90
70
+20
85avg 79
H11/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
102-89
102
89
+13
89avg 79
H12/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
105-96
105
96
+9
107avg 79
H18/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
77avg 79
H19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
98-101
98
101
-3
88avg 79
H01/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
88-72
88
72
+16
79avg 79
H02/03
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H08/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
25-17
17-23
26-17
16-24
18-15
19-17
21-16
17-22
16-29
18-20
17-20
20-18
22-17
21-15
27-20
31-27
29-21
25-21
17-20
25-26
23-21
25-28
32-21
16-17
16-22
26-13
23-16
24-23
21-35
31-21
22-22
24-22
28-8
22-20
14-22
–
–
–
–
155.8Avg total
82.2Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.575.1155.6+5.570%
Season at home (12)80.971.2152.1+9.883%
Season away (8)80.081.0161.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)82.273.6155.8+8.680%
Last 5 (5)78.467.4145.8+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)86.695.4182.0-8.823%
vs Similar (12)81.879.2161.0+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)76.659.2135.8+17.4100%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
71avg 74
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
95avg 74
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
71-92
71
92
-21
59avg 74
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 74
A04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 74
H08/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
63-67
63
67
-4
60avg 74
H09/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 74
H23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 74
H24/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A08/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
16-23
20-22
20-19
26-15
18-22
19-22
13-22
17-15
20-21
30-16
27-16
18-22
10-17
18-26
25-27
20-18
16-16
16-24
18-25
14-15
13-28
19-25
26-25
19-8
23-16
14-24
7-19
16-26
19-16
20-16
15-20
18-16
18-25
15-15
22-22
–
–
–
–
141.6Avg total
67.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.079.3151.3-7.320%
Season at home (10)77.680.1157.7-2.530%
Season away (5)60.877.8138.6-17.00%
Last 10 (10)67.174.5141.6-7.410%
Last 5 (5)55.667.2122.8-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.880.0154.8-5.228%
vs Similar (10)86.082.6168.6+3.470%
vs Weaker (2)67.580.0147.5-12.50%
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
AlmatyAktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#3
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H15/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A05/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A06/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H12/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H18/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H01/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H02/03
National League
87.0Avg total
44.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.242.485.6+0.855%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.841.486.2+3.460%-
Last 30 away (14)41.543.484.9-1.950%-
Last 10 (9)44.342.787.0+1.756%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.491.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)45.448.694.0-3.231%-
vs Similar (12)40.837.878.5+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.536.079.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H08/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H09/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/12
National League
74.1Avg total
36.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.141.381.4-1.138%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.740.780.3-1.039%-
Last 30 away (11)40.942.383.2-1.436%-
Last 10 (9)36.337.874.1-1.444%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.872.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.241.781.9-1.529%-
vs Similar (10)41.242.183.3-0.950%-
vs Weaker (2)34.533.568.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Almaty wins
6
Aktobe wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Almaty v Aktobe20-0
06/02/24Aktobe v Almaty85-90
05/02/24Aktobe v Almaty100-91
24/12/23Almaty v Aktobe67-84
23/12/23Almaty v Aktobe83-77
07/04/21Almaty v Aktobe71-109
06/04/21Almaty v Aktobe49-85
14/02/21Almaty v Aktobe69-94
13/02/21Almaty v Aktobe87-96
26/11/20Aktobe v Almaty70-73
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HAktobe20-0
02/03/25HTobol Kostanay88-72
01/03/25HTobol Kostanay98-101
19/01/25HAtyrau81-68
18/01/25HAtyrau105-96
12/01/25HPavlodar102-89
11/01/25HPavlodar90-70
06/01/25AKaspiy Aktau68-91
05/01/25AKaspiy Aktau74-72
15/12/24HAstana 296-77
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AAlmaty0-20
24/12/24HTobol Kostanay73-78
23/12/24HTobol Kostanay70-78
09/12/24HPavlodar63-67
08/12/24HPavlodar72-93
04/12/24AKaspiy Aktau70-83
03/12/24AKaspiy Aktau71-92
10/11/24HAstana 294-68
09/11/24HAstana 276-81
06/11/24ATobol Kostanay82-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game80.580.980.0
Allowed / game75.171.281.0
Point differential+5.5+9.8-1.0
Avg total155.7152.1161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aktobe
National League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %20%30%0%
Points / game72.077.660.8
Allowed / game79.380.177.8
Point differential-7.3-2.5-17.0
Avg total151.3157.7138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay2118386%87.775.5+12.2
2 Irbis Almaty1915479%81.269.1+12.1
3 Almaty2014670%80.575.1+5.5
4 Atyrau23131057%80.376.1+4.2
5 Kaspiy Aktau2391439%72.476.0-3.6
6 Astana 22491538%74.781.2-6.5
7 Aktobe1531220%72.079.3-7.3
8 Pavlodar2332013%70.885.7-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No period scores for this game.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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