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Almaty vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 88-72
24-22 28-8 22-20 14-22
Position#4
Record12-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game79.4
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#2
Record17-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game74.9
KazakhstanNational League· SC Champ
Other2024-25
Meetings · Almaty v Tobol Kostanay
11 Jan 2026
ALMA105
TOBO56
10 Jan 2026
ALMA125
TOBO89
12 Oct 2025
ALMA105
TOBO60
11 Oct 2025
ALMA95
TOBO58
16 May 2025
ALMA80
TOBO89
15 May 2025
ALMA100
TOBO70
02 Mar 2025
ALMA88
TOBO72
01 Mar 2025
ALMA98
TOBO101
06 Apr 2024
ALMA98
TOBO108
15 Nov 2023
ALMA79
TOBO65
14 Nov 2023
ALMA81
TOBO95
03 Apr 2021
ALMA68
TOBO101
02 Apr 2021
ALMA77
TOBO94
24 Dec 2020
ALMA90
TOBO92
23 Dec 2020
ALMA95
TOBO79
28 Apr 2019
ALMA71
TOBO67
27 Apr 2019
ALMA87
TOBO82
08 Nov 2018
ALMA82
TOBO79
07 Nov 2018
ALMA66
TOBO73
18 Nov 2017
ALMA74
TOBO68
22 Oct 2017
ALMA60
TOBO69
16 Apr 2017
ALMA98
TOBO97
18 Mar 2017
ALMA71
TOBO80
13 Dec 2015
ALMA69
TOBO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
L
85-105
85
105
-20
82avg 79
A02/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
85-72
85
72
+13
81avg 79
H14/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 79
H15/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 79
A05/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
68-91
68
91
-23
55avg 79
A06/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
90-70
90
70
+20
85avg 79
H11/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
102-89
102
89
+13
89avg 79
H12/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
105-96
105
96
+9
107avg 79
H18/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
77avg 79
H19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
98-101
98
101
-3
88avg 79
H01/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
21-20
11-30
23-30
22-19
23-8
11-13
29-32
28-20
25-17
17-23
26-17
16-24
18-15
19-17
21-16
17-22
16-29
18-20
17-20
20-18
22-17
21-15
27-20
31-27
29-21
25-21
17-20
25-26
23-21
25-28
32-21
16-17
16-22
26-13
23-16
24-23
21-35
31-21
22-22
172.5Avg total
88.4Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.579.4162.9+4.167%
Season at home (10)86.378.2164.5+8.180%
Season away (8)80.081.0161.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)88.484.1172.5+4.370%
Last 5 (5)95.284.8180.0+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.891.4171.2-11.515%
vs Similar (12)81.879.2161.0+2.767%
vs Weaker (5)94.473.0167.4+21.4100%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
75avg 91
H15/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
75avg 91
A23/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
84avg 91
A24/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
92avg 91
H05/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
89avg 91
H06/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
75-63
75
63
+12
74avg 91
A13/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
71-55
71
55
+16
73avg 91
A14/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
114-70
114
70
+44
123avg 91
H24/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
112-73
112
73
+39
121avg 91
H25/01
National League
Almaty
#4
W
101-98
101
98
+3
97avg 91
A01/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
20-18
23-26
20-15
26-16
16-19
16-20
20-15
16-18
25-18
15-15
22-22
19-16
21-20
27-6
20-27
16-21
30-21
23-22
20-11
23-20
12-15
18-15
22-13
19-12
20-15
19-13
13-15
32-18
21-15
35-18
26-19
23-16
40-21
31-16
18-20
23-24
35-21
21-31
22-22
160.5Avg total
88.3Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.774.9163.6+13.889%
Season at home (10)90.977.1168.0+13.880%
Season away (9)86.372.4158.8+13.9100%
Last 10 (10)88.372.2160.5+16.1100%
Last 5 (5)94.671.8166.4+22.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)83.385.4168.8-2.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.876.5167.2+14.390%
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
AlmatyTobol Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A02/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H14/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H15/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A05/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A06/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H12/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H18/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H01/03
National League
86.9Avg total
44.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.242.585.7+0.855%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.342.286.5+2.157%-
Last 30 away (15)42.342.785.0-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.686.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.490.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)44.850.295.0-5.325%-
vs Similar (12)40.837.878.5+3.067%-
vs Weaker (5)45.435.480.8+10.0100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H15/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A23/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A24/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H05/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A13/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A14/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H24/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
63-37
63
37
+26
H25/01
National League
Almaty
#4
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A01/03
National League
81.3Avg total
45.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.640.486.0+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.540.986.5+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)45.739.985.6+5.960%-
Last 10 (10)45.236.181.3+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)49.635.485.0+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)42.842.385.1+0.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.939.686.4+7.376%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Almaty wins
9
Tobol Kostanay wins
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HTobol Kostanay98-101
19/01/25HAtyrau81-68
18/01/25HAtyrau105-96
12/01/25HPavlodar102-89
11/01/25HPavlodar90-70
06/01/25AKaspiy Aktau68-91
05/01/25AKaspiy Aktau74-72
15/12/24HAstana 296-77
14/12/24HAstana 285-72
02/12/24AAtyrau85-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AAlmaty101-98
25/01/25HAstana 2112-73
24/01/25HAstana 2114-70
14/01/25AKaspiy Aktau71-55
13/01/25AKaspiy Aktau75-63
06/01/25HPavlodar89-75
05/01/25HPavlodar87-69
24/12/24AAktobe78-73
23/12/24AAktobe78-70
15/12/24HAtyrau78-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game83.586.380.0
Allowed / game79.478.281.0
Point differential+4.1+8.1-1.0
Avg total162.9164.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tobol Kostanay
National League 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %89%80%100%
Points / game88.790.986.3
Allowed / game74.977.172.4
Point differential+13.8+13.8+13.9
Avg total163.6168.0158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay1917289%88.774.9+13.8
2 Irbis Almaty1713476%80.968.9+12.0
3 Almaty1812667%83.579.4+4.1
4 Atyrau2112957%80.175.6+4.5
5 Kaspiy Aktau2081240%72.175.1-3.0
6 Astana 22391439%74.580.8-6.3
7 Aktobe1431121%77.183.6-6.4
8 Pavlodar2231914%70.485.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Almaty2428221488
Tobol Kostanay228202272
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