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Almaty vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 May 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 68-85
16-16 19-21 20-22 13-26
Position#3
Record19-19
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Atyrau 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#4
Record19-20
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game81.5
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - 3rd place
Other2025-26
Meetings · Almaty v Atyrau
24 May 2026
ALMA85
ATYR76
23 May 2026
ALMA68
ATYR85
15 Mar 2026
ALMA74
ATYR72
14 Mar 2026
ALMA72
ATYR69
14 Dec 2025
ALMA73
ATYR83
13 Dec 2025
ALMA88
ATYR92
19 Jan 2025
ALMA81
ATYR68
18 Jan 2025
ALMA105
ATYR96
30 Jan 2024
ALMA83
ATYR89
29 Jan 2024
ALMA0
ATYR20
20 Dec 2020
ALMA72
ATYR84
19 Dec 2020
ALMA81
ATYR85
18 May 2019
ALMA67
ATYR78
24 Jan 2019
ALMA82
ATYR89
23 Jan 2019
ALMA89
ATYR70
25 Mar 2016
ALMA60
ATYR91
24 Mar 2016
ALMA70
ATYR82
14 Nov 2015
ALMA83
ATYR84
15 Feb 2014
ALMA62
ATYR94
03 Nov 2013
ALMA46
ATYR92
02 Nov 2013
ALMA47
ATYR108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atyrau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#4
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H14/03
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H15/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H21/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
54-81
54
81
-27
H22/03
National League
Turan
#6
W
95-65
95
65
+30
H07/05
National League
Turan
#6
W
89-56
89
56
+33
A08/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A11/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A12/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H16/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
80-101
80
101
-21
H17/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
17-15
17-14
9-18
22-12
23-18
14-18
15-24
17-16
15-18
15-24
21-24
17-18
14-24
15-21
8-18
22-12
24-17
19-10
30-26
22-10
20-14
18-17
29-15
22-25
12-13
19-29
20-21
19-24
17-12
20-22
14-23
15-19
23-20
20-15
19-15
18-27
22-19
17-31
23-24
151.6Avg total
75.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)81.579.0160.5+2.550%
Season at home (19)80.578.5159.0+1.947%
Season away (19)82.579.5162.1+3.053%
Last 10 (10)75.276.4151.6-1.250%
Last 5 (5)77.879.0156.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.080.2151.2-9.233%
vs Similar ◀ (16)75.482.9158.2-7.525%
vs Weaker (8)97.467.8165.1+29.688%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
106-66
106
66
+40
H24/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H29/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H30/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H22/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
115-84
115
84
+31
A23/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
79-102
79
102
-23
A10/05
National League
Astana
#1
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A11/05
National League
Astana
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H15/05
National League
Astana
#1
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H16/05
National League
Astana
#1
L
87-88
87
88
-1
A19/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-13
26-18
32-18
18-17
16-21
20-19
29-20
21-19
16-29
16-18
21-22
28-17
27-22
22-9
23-17
17-14
42-19
31-28
18-16
24-21
21-31
15-25
22-23
21-23
27-26
25-7
21-30
17-13
29-22
24-17
19-21
11-28
22-18
23-23
12-24
22-13
18-30
23-20
23-25
23-13
170.4Avg total
89.5Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)81.981.5163.5+0.449%
Season at home (19)81.282.8164.0-1.647%
Season away (20)82.680.3162.9+2.250%
Last 10 (10)89.580.9170.4+8.660%
Last 5 (5)83.686.4170.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.386.1161.4-10.825%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.776.8157.5+3.867%
vs Weaker (8)97.875.8173.5+22.088%
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
AlmatyAtyrau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H14/03
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H15/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H22/03
National League
Turan
#6
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H07/05
National League
Turan
#6
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A08/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A11/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A12/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H16/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H17/05
National League
74.5Avg total
39.0Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.480.2+1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.939.780.5+1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.179.9+1.633%-
Last 10 (10)39.035.574.5+3.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.674.6+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.339.875.2-4.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.842.180.9-3.331%-
vs Weaker (8)48.933.682.5+15.275%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H24/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H29/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H30/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H22/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
73-47
73
47
+26
A23/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A10/05
National League
Astana
#1
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A11/05
National League
Astana
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H15/05
National League
Astana
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H16/05
National League
Astana
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A19/05
National League
88.8Avg total
47.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.085.1-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.983.3+1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)41.745.286.9-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)47.341.588.8+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.443.889.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.045.083.0-7.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.042.382.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker (8)51.839.691.4+12.188%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Almatytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Almaty: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.8
50.1%
50.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.5
26.6%
30.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.113.3
66.2%
69.6%13.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atyrautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.5
50.9%
50.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.912.1
41.9%
30.4%36.3
🏀 Free throws15.412.2
79.2%
69.6%12.2
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Almaty
LWLLWWLLWW
Atyrau
LWLWLWWLWW
#3
League position
#4
+1.6
Net rating
+11.2
98.5
Offensive rating
116.9
96.9
Defensive rating
105.7
46.4%
Effective FG%
55.9%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
26.6%
3-point %
41.9%
66.7%
Assist %
72.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 116.9Defence96.9 · 105.7Shooting46.4% · 55.9%3-point %26.6% · 41.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Almaty   ■ Atyrau
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Almaty wins
4
Atyrau wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Almaty v Atyrau74-72
14/03/26Almaty v Atyrau72-69
04/02/26Atyrau v Almaty78-75
03/02/26Atyrau v Almaty90-79
14/12/25Almaty v Atyrau73-83
13/12/25Almaty v Atyrau88-92
30/10/25Atyrau v Almaty83-89
29/10/25Atyrau v Almaty112-113 OT
19/01/25Almaty v Atyrau81-68
18/01/25Almaty v Atyrau105-96
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/26HKaspiy Aktau80-101
16/05/26HKaspiy Aktau77-69
12/05/26AKaspiy Aktau70-81
11/05/26AKaspiy Aktau73-88
08/05/26ATuran89-56
07/05/26HTuran95-65
22/03/26HAstana54-81
21/03/26HAstana68-82
15/03/26HAtyrau74-72
14/03/26HAtyrau72-69
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/26AAstana87-88
16/05/26HAstana79-78
15/05/26HAstana83-88
11/05/26AAstana90-76
10/05/26AAstana79-102
23/04/26ATobol Kostanay115-84
22/04/26HTobol Kostanay89-62
30/03/26HKaspiy Aktau81-86
29/03/26HKaspiy Aktau86-79
24/03/26HTobol Kostanay106-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty
National League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLLWWL47%
AwayWWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %50%47%53%
Points / game81.580.582.5
Allowed / game79.078.579.5
Point differential+2.5+1.9+3.0
Avg total160.5159.0162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%26%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Atyrau
National League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL49%
HomeWLWLW47%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %49%47%50%
Points / game81.981.282.6
Allowed / game81.582.880.3
Point differential+0.4-1.6+2.2
Avg total163.5164.0162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%32%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana3831782%87.268.4+18.8
2 Kaspiy Aktau37221559%81.576.2+5.3
3 Almaty38191950%81.579.0+2.5
4 Atyrau39192049%81.981.5+0.4
5 Tobol Kostanay343319%68.296.4-28.1
6 Turan2020%60.592.0-31.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Almaty1619201368
Atyrau1621222685
← all games of the day
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