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Atyrau vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 80-66
18-16 20-16 26-20 16-14
Position#5
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game79.6
Atyrau 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#8
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game93.8
KazakhstanNational League· AiRom Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Atyrau v Pavlodar
02 Nov 2024
ATYR80
PAVL66
01 Nov 2024
ATYR80
PAVL65
11 Nov 2015
ATYR83
PAVL56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtyrau
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
79avg 82
H06/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 82
A13/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
90avg 82
A14/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
48-69
48
69
-21
36avg 82
H18/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
66avg 82
H19/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
72avg 82
H11/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
74-67
74
67
+7
74avg 82
H12/10
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
89-84
89
84
+5
94avg 82
A19/10
National League
Aktobe
#7
L
94-101
94
101
-7
99avg 82
A20/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
80avg 82
H01/11
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
22-12
20-21
12-13
19-30
16-21
19-12
20-19
17-16
34-32
11-23
20-11
13-13
13-14
13-27
9-15
17-26
21-21
20-19
13-18
22-31
22-14
21-16
10-20
30-14
9-23
18-12
17-18
19-20
25-22
27-15
18-27
21-32
30-17
21-26
22-26
30-18
14-18
17-19
19-10
156.2Avg total
77.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.479.6162.0+2.860%
Season at home (3)76.371.0147.3+5.367%
Season away (2)91.592.5184.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)77.079.2156.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)82.479.6162.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.177.8148.9-6.625%
vs Similar (7)77.977.4155.3+0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.969.3152.2+13.787%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
74-108
74
108
-34
60avg 60
H10/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
74-106
74
106
-32
61avg 60
H11/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
60avg 60
A25/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
59-88
59
88
-29
52avg 60
A26/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
54-93
54
93
-39
40avg 60
H27/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
68-89
68
89
-21
54avg 60
H08/10
National League
Almaty
#4
L
69-82
69
82
-13
57avg 60
H09/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
74-107
74
107
-33
71avg 60
H22/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
72-111
72
111
-39
55avg 60
H23/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
58avg 60
A01/11
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
19-27
12-28
23-20
16-34
18-25
23-32
17-15
15-27
14-20
15-31
21-16
19-32
6-21
12-19
22-16
15-26
18-27
14-25
7-15
12-19
17-17
19-32
20-21
15-19
17-17
16-28
21-18
24-33
20-24
22-21
8-29
11-38
26-31
21-23
14-19
18-30
18-14
19-17
10-19
163.2Avg total
67.4Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.693.8163.4-24.20%
Season at home (4)70.897.2168.0-26.50%
Season away (1)65.080.0145.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)67.495.8163.2-28.40%
Last 5 (5)69.693.8163.4-24.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.794.2166.9-21.44%
vs Similar (4)77.088.2165.2-11.20%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -12.6-12.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -8.3-8.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -12.6-12.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -8.3-8.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
AtyrauPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H06/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A13/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A14/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H18/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H19/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/10
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A19/10
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A20/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H01/11
National League
83.4Avg total
41.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.039.681.6+2.462%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.438.278.6+2.156%-
Last 30 away (13)43.941.285.2+2.769%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.983.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.886.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.441.679.0-4.225%-
vs Similar (7)40.640.080.6+0.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.338.283.5+7.186%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
39-60
39
60
-21
H10/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H11/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A25/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
25-53
25
53
-28
A26/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H27/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H08/10
National League
Almaty
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H09/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H22/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
37-69
37
69
-32
H23/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A01/11
National League
85.2Avg total
33.8Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.248.485.6-11.310%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.949.687.5-11.711%-
Last 30 away (11)35.946.482.3-10.59%-
Last 10 (10)33.851.485.2-17.60%-
Last 5 (5)35.648.484.0-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.649.486.0-12.84%-
vs Similar (4)41.042.283.2-1.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Atyrau wins
0
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
01/11/24Atyrau v Pavlodar80-65
03/02/24Pavlodar v Atyrau67-77
02/02/24Pavlodar v Atyrau69-92
06/11/23Pavlodar v Atyrau73-82
05/11/23Pavlodar v Atyrau83-86
11/11/15Atyrau v Pavlodar83-56
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24HPavlodar80-65
20/10/24AAktobe94-101
19/10/24AAktobe89-84
12/10/24HIrbis Almaty74-67
11/10/24HIrbis Almaty75-81
19/05/24HIrbis Almaty71-84
18/05/24HIrbis Almaty48-69
14/05/24AIrbis Almaty90-88 OT
13/05/24AIrbis Almaty74-82
06/05/24HTobol Kostanay75-71
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24AAtyrau65-80
23/10/24HTobol Kostanay72-111
22/10/24HTobol Kostanay74-107
09/10/24HAlmaty69-82
08/10/24HAlmaty68-89
27/03/24HIrbis Almaty54-93
26/03/24AIrbis Almaty59-88
25/03/24AIrbis Almaty65-94
11/03/24HIrbis Almaty74-106
10/03/24HIrbis Almaty74-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau
National League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game82.476.391.5
Allowed / game79.671.092.5
Point differential+2.8+5.3-1.0
Avg total162.0147.3184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pavlodar
National League 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.670.865.0
Allowed / game93.897.280.0
Point differential-24.2-26.5-15.0
Avg total163.4168.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Almaty65183%80.271.0+9.2
2 Tobol Kostanay64267%88.276.7+11.5
3 Irbis Almaty64267%73.369.0+4.3
4 Atyrau53260%82.479.6+2.8
5 Kaspiy Aktau84450%71.072.1-1.1
6 Aktobe42250%82.084.0-2.0
7 Astana 261517%74.578.8-4.3
8 Pavlodar5050%69.693.8-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atyrau1820261680
Pavlodar1616201466
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