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Almaty vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 80-74
12-26 21-9 15-19 32-20
Position#4
Record16-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game72.2
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#6
Record13-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game75.5
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - Quarter-finals
Other2024-25
Meetings · Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau
17 May 2026
ALMA80
KASP101
16 May 2026
ALMA77
KASP69
22 Feb 2026
ALMA71
KASP83
21 Feb 2026
ALMA79
KASP95
23 Nov 2025
ALMA75
KASP69
22 Nov 2025
ALMA67
KASP70
15 Apr 2025
ALMA80
KASP74
07 Apr 2025
ALMA89
KASP74
27 Oct 2024
ALMA70
KASP68
26 Oct 2024
ALMA76
KASP58
12 Jan 2024
ALMA91
KASP79
11 Jan 2024
ALMA81
KASP84
06 Nov 2020
ALMA72
KASP73
05 Nov 2020
ALMA83
KASP64
02 Mar 2019
ALMA100
KASP78
01 Mar 2019
ALMA89
KASP76
21 Oct 2017
ALMA63
KASP72
16 Jan 2016
ALMA52
KASP63
15 Jan 2016
ALMA66
KASP62
15 Dec 2015
ALMA70
KASP82
09 Feb 2015
ALMA58
KASP75
08 Feb 2015
ALMA81
KASP89
07 Nov 2014
ALMA88
KASP77
25 Feb 2014
ALMA66
KASP81
24 Feb 2014
ALMA69
KASP112
30 Oct 2013
ALMA70
KASP97
29 Oct 2013
ALMA59
KASP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kaspiy Aktau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
88-72
88
72
+16
79avg 75
H02/03
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H08/03
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H09/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
54avg 75
A09/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
62avg 75
A10/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 75
H10/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
69avg 75
A24/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A25/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
89-74
89
74
+15
80avg 75
H07/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 75
A11/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
28-8
22-20
14-22
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
19-23
15-24
25-15
11-26
16-19
21-23
14-31
24-11
25-14
18-17
21-19
13-28
17-26
19-20
30-25
15-21
–
–
–
–
30-18
19-15
18-22
22-19
18-25
15-19
22-25
25-15
119.2Avg total
60.0Scored
59.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.172.2147.3+2.957%
Season at home (15)77.167.1144.2+10.180%
Season away (13)72.878.2150.9-5.431%
Last 10 (10)60.059.2119.2+0.840%
Last 5 (5)65.469.6135.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.283.8157.0-10.610%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.279.1161.4+3.164%
vs Weaker (6)67.249.3116.5+17.8100%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktau
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
63-75
63
75
-12
58avg 74
H13/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
55-71
55
71
-16
46avg 74
H14/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
81-94
81
94
-13
83avg 74
H03/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
61-74
61
74
-13
59avg 74
H04/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
81avg 74
H08/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
99avg 74
H09/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
71-62
71
62
+9
73avg 74
A14/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
85-60
85
60
+25
96avg 74
A15/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
59avg 74
A07/04
National League
Almaty
#4
W
84-80
84
80
+4
90avg 74
H11/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
15-12
15-18
13-22
12-19
15-20
13-19
15-13
18-20
17-33
26-21
20-20
16-22
13-12
17-21
15-19
22-25
26-11
12-21
14-17
29-21
16-16
29-17
22-21
22-15
14-17
21-16
14-14
32-18
14-18
20-15
19-9
18-30
15-19
22-18
19-22
25-18
19-15
25-22
15-25
151.1Avg total
75.2Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.175.5149.7-1.446%
Season at home (15)77.575.4152.9+2.153%
Season away (13)70.375.7146.0-5.438%
Last 10 (10)75.275.9151.1-0.750%
Last 5 (5)82.073.2155.2+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.579.2148.7-9.720%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.976.0149.9-2.143%
vs Weaker (6)82.073.8155.8+8.283%
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
AlmatyKaspiy Aktau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H02/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A09/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A10/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H10/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A24/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H07/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A11/04
National League
79.6Avg total
40.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)41.839.981.6+1.959%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.838.683.4+6.271%-
Last 30 away (13)38.541.279.8-2.746%-
Last 10 (7)40.639.079.6+1.643%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.278.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.644.787.2-2.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.837.978.6+2.964%-
vs Weaker (4)43.536.079.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H13/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H14/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H03/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H04/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H08/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H09/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A14/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A15/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A07/04
National League
Almaty
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H11/04
National League
76.2Avg total
37.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.074.1-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.636.874.4+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)34.439.473.7-5.036%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.476.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.478.2+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.939.472.3-6.510%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.238.976.1-1.757%-
vs Weaker (6)38.733.572.2+5.267%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Almaty wins
4
Kaspiy Aktau wins
DateGameScore
11/04/25Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty84-80
07/04/25Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau89-74
06/01/25Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty91-68
05/01/25Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty72-74
27/10/24Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau70-68
26/10/24Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau76-58
12/01/24Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau91-79
11/01/24Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau81-84
07/11/23Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty84-82
06/11/23Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty75-86
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25AKaspiy Aktau80-84
07/04/25HKaspiy Aktau89-74
25/03/25ATobol Kostanay0-20
24/03/25ATobol Kostanay81-92
10/03/25HIrbis Almaty77-78
10/03/25AIrbis Almaty75-84
09/03/25AIrbis Almaty70-88
09/03/25HAktobe20-0
08/03/25HAktobe20-0
02/03/25HTobol Kostanay88-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25HAlmaty84-80
07/04/25AAlmaty74-89
15/03/25AAtyrau85-60
14/03/25AAtyrau71-62
09/03/25HPavlodar96-75
08/03/25HPavlodar82-79 OT
04/03/25HIrbis Almaty61-74
03/03/25HIrbis Almaty81-94
14/01/25HTobol Kostanay55-71
13/01/25HTobol Kostanay63-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL57%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %57%80%31%
Points / game75.177.172.8
Allowed / game72.267.178.2
Point differential+2.9+10.1-5.4
Avg total147.3144.2150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kaspiy Aktau
National League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW46%
HomeLLWWW53%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %46%53%38%
Points / game74.177.570.3
Allowed / game75.575.475.7
Point differential-1.4+2.1-5.4
Avg total149.7152.9146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay2823582%86.074.9+11.1
2 Irbis Almaty2419579%81.170.9+10.2
3 Almaty28161257%75.172.2+2.9
4 Atyrau27141352%79.076.4+2.6
5 Kaspiy Aktau28131546%74.175.5-1.4
6 Astana 227111641%74.779.3-4.6
7 Aktobe1631319%67.575.6-8.1
8 Pavlodar2842414%71.886.6-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Almaty1221153280
Kaspiy Aktau269192074
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