Almaty vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2017

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 98-97

29-21 21-26 27-32 21-18

Position#5

Record16-14

FormWLWWL

Points / game85.7

Allowed / game79.3

Almaty 🏆

Tobol Kostanay

Position#1

Record26-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.0

Allowed / game71.5

Premier LeaguePremier League - Final

Other2016-17

Meetings · Almaty v Tobol Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Almaty

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

69-105

105

-36

A19/02

Premier League

Kazygurt

98-92

A16/03

Premier League

Kapshagay

74-96

-22

A17/03

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

71-80

-9

H18/03

Premier League

Kazygurt

72-79

-7

H03/04

Premier League

Kapshagay

77-56

+21

H04/04

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

84-93

-9

A05/04

Premier League

Kapshagay

96-95

A12/04

Premier League

Kapshagay

92-85

H13/04

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

89-100

100

-11

A15/04

Premier League

15-24

11-30

28-26

15-25

17-19

26-24

26-28

29-21

26-23

16-27

18-24

14-22

23-24

16-18

19-17

13-21

22-19

9-17

16-17

25-26

24-19

24-11

18-11

11-15

22-26

27-26

18-26

17-15

29-24

31-25

17-22

19-24

26-25

26-30

17-21

23-9

19-25

22-23

21-23

27-29

170.3Avg total

82.2Scored

88.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	85.7	79.3	165.0	+6.3	53%
Season at home (15)	87.3	76.0	163.3	+11.3	67%
Season away (15)	84.1	82.7	166.7	+1.4	40%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	88.1	170.3	-5.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	85.8	173.4	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	76.1	89.2	165.3	-13.1	11%
vs Similar (10)	84.6	81.7	166.3	+2.9	70%
vs Weaker (11)	94.5	69.1	163.5	+25.4	73%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Almaty

105-69

105

+36

H19/02

Premier League

Kapshagay

97-103

103

-6

H16/03

Premier League

Kazygurt

89-88

H17/03

Premier League

Almaty

80-71

A18/03

Premier League

Kapshagay

94-59

+35

A03/04

Premier League

Kazygurt

96-80

+16

A04/04

Premier League

Almaty

93-84

H05/04

Premier League

Kazygurt

101-89

101

+12

H12/04

Premier League

Kazygurt

79-63

+16

A13/04

Premier League

Almaty

100-89

100

+11

H15/04

Premier League

24-15

30-11

26-28

25-15

24-30

20-23

18-27

35-23

18-22

27-16

29-22

15-28

24-23

18-16

17-19

21-13

22-11

28-14

28-25

16-9

21-20

26-11

24-19

25-30

26-22

26-27

26-18

15-17

21-23

30-22

24-20

26-24

25-16

22-23

15-11

17-13

25-19

23-22

23-21

29-27

172.9Avg total

93.4Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	88.0	71.5	159.6	+16.5	87%
Season at home (16)	91.1	71.5	162.6	+19.6	94%
Season away (14)	84.6	71.6	156.1	+13.0	79%
Last 10 (10)	93.4	79.5	172.9	+13.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	93.8	81.0	174.8	+12.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	76.0	66.0	142.0	+10.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	88.4	71.7	160.2	+16.7	86%

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlmatyTobol Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.9	20.1	43.0	+2.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.3	19.7	43.0	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.8	45.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.8	47.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.9	23.2	44.1	-2.3	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.4	21.2	44.7	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.0	16.7	40.7	+7.3	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.7	18.4	42.1	+5.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.9	39.4	-0.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.1	43.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.0	43.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	22.0	25.0	47.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	20.6	41.0	-0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	23.1	43.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	23.0	49.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.6	24.7	41.2	-8.1	11%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.1	20.0	43.1	+3.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.5	17.6	39.2	+3.9	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	16.5	40.4	+7.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	17.0	40.8	+6.8	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	18.5	43.5	+6.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	21.0	46.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	25.0	19.0	44.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	23.8	16.4	40.3	+7.4	76%	-

AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

26-54

-28

A19/02

Premier League

Kazygurt

43-43

A16/03

Premier League

Kapshagay

42-50

-8

A17/03

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

39-42

-3

H18/03

Premier League

Kazygurt

31-36

-5

H03/04

Premier League

Kapshagay

48-30

+18

H04/04

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

49-52

-3

A05/04

Premier League

Kapshagay

60-49

+11

A12/04

Premier League

Kapshagay

52-55

-3

H13/04

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

41-48

-7

A15/04

Premier League

89.0Avg total

43.1Scored

45.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.3	40.7	84.0	+2.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	38.8	82.9	+5.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	42.5	85.1	+0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	45.9	89.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	46.8	96.8	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	37.4	47.9	85.3	-10.4	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	46.6	41.2	87.8	+5.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	45.5	34.4	79.9	+11.2	55%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Almaty

54-26

+28

H19/02

Premier League

Kapshagay

44-53

-9

H16/03

Premier League

Kazygurt

45-38

H17/03

Premier League

Almaty

42-39

A18/03

Premier League

Kapshagay

50-25

+25

A03/04

Premier League

Kazygurt

47-31

+16

A04/04

Premier League

Almaty

52-49

H05/04

Premier League

Kazygurt

51-45

H12/04

Premier League

Kazygurt

47-39

A13/04

Premier League

Almaty

48-41

H15/04

Premier League

86.6Avg total

48.0Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	35.6	81.3	+10.0	87%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.4	35.4	82.9	+12.0	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	35.9	79.4	+7.7	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.0	38.6	86.6	+9.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	41.0	90.0	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	47.0	44.0	91.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	45.6	35.3	80.9	+10.2	86%	-

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	18.7	40.6	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.5	41.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.7	21.6	42.2	-0.9	56%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.4	20.3	37.8	-2.9	22%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.8	17.2	41.0	+6.6	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	18.4	40.6	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	18.5	41.3	+4.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.3	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.8	40.2	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	15.0	10.0	25.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	22.5	18.7	41.2	+3.8	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.5	16.9	40.4	+6.5	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.5	37.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	17.4	36.9	+2.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.9	42.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.2	44.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	14.0	12.0	26.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	20.4	17.7	38.1	+2.7	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.3	38.2	79.6	+3.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	36.1	77.4	+5.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.4	40.2	81.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	42.2	81.3	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	39.0	76.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	38.7	41.3	80.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.8	40.1	76.9	-3.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.3	34.1	81.4	+13.2	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	35.9	78.3	+6.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	36.1	79.7	+7.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.0	35.7	76.7	+5.3	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	40.9	86.3	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	40.0	84.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	29.0	22.0	51.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	42.9	36.4	79.2	+6.5	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Almaty wins

Tobol Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
15/04/17	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	100-89
05/04/17	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	93-84
18/03/17	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	71-80
19/02/17	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	105-69
25/01/17	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	97-81
25/12/16	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	97-87
11/12/16	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	93-64
28/10/16	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	70-69
13/12/15	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	69-83

Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/17	A	Tobol Kostanay	89-100
13/04/17	H	Kapshagay	92-85
12/04/17	A	Kapshagay	96-95
05/04/17	A	Tobol Kostanay	84-93
04/04/17	H	Kapshagay	77-56
03/04/17	H	Kazygurt	72-79
18/03/17	H	Tobol Kostanay	71-80
17/03/17	A	Kapshagay	74-96
16/03/17	A	Kazygurt	98-92
19/02/17	A	Tobol Kostanay	69-105

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/17	H	Almaty	100-89
13/04/17	A	Kazygurt	79-63
12/04/17	H	Kazygurt	101-89
05/04/17	H	Almaty	93-84
04/04/17	A	Kazygurt	96-80
03/04/17	A	Kapshagay	94-59
18/03/17	A	Almaty	80-71
17/03/17	H	Kazygurt	89-88
16/03/17	H	Kapshagay	97-103
19/02/17	H	Almaty	105-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty

Premier League 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	53%
Home	LLLWW	67%
Away	WLLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	53%	67%	40%
Points / game	85.7	87.3	84.1
Allowed / game	79.3	76.0	82.7
Point differential	+6.3	+11.3	+1.4
Avg total	165.0	163.3	166.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	53%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	33% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

Tobol Kostanay

Premier League 2016-17

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	87%
Home	LWWWW	94%
Away	WWWWW	79%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	16	14
Win %	87%	94%	79%
Points / game	88.0	91.1	84.6
Allowed / game	71.5	71.5	71.6
Point differential	+16.5	+19.6	+13.0
Avg total	159.6	162.6	156.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	70%	75%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tobol Kostanay	30	26	4	87%	88.0	71.5	+16.5
2	Bars Petropavlovsk	23	17	6	74%	78.1	65.7	+12.4
3	Kapshagay	31	20	11	65%	80.4	73.8	+6.6
4	Kokshetay	24	14	10	58%	76.9	70.2	+6.7
5	Almaty	30	16	14	53%	85.7	79.3	+6.3
6	Astana 2	24	11	13	46%	68.2	69.7	-1.5
7	Atyrau 2	23	10	13	43%	73.7	73.4	+0.2
8	Kazygurt	31	10	21	32%	75.7	83.2	-7.5
9	Pavlodar	22	6	16	27%	63.6	70.3	-6.7
10	Kaspiy Aktau 2	22	0	22	0%	48.9	90.8	-42.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Almaty	29	21	27	21	98
Tobol Kostanay	21	26	32	18	97

← all games of the day

Almaty vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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