Alvark vs Brave Thunders Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 06:05

Postponed

Position#1

Record32-9

FormWWWWW

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game69.4

Alvark

Brave Thunders

Position#3

Record31-9

FormWLWWW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game74.5

B League

Other2019-20

Meetings · Alvark v Brave Thunders

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Brave Thunders win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Toyama

#12

77-64

+13

H26/01

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

64-74

-10

A29/01

B League

Brave Thunders

76-86

-10

A31/01

B League

Brave Thunders

72-68

A01/02

B League

Yokohama

#16

94-70

+24

H08/02

B League

Yokohama

#16

95-60

+35

H09/02

B League

Niigata

#15

69-41

+28

A15/02

B League

Niigata

#15

75-70

A16/02

B League

Shiga

82-65

+17

A14/03

B League

Shiga

85-60

+25

A15/03

B League

19-12

17-11

19-25

22-16

15-18

12-21

19-16

18-19

18-14

19-21

15-27

24-24

19-21

27-17

7-16

19-14

24-21

21-11

28-14

21-24

16-11

26-21

29-15

24-13

24-11

15-7

12-16

18-7

17-13

19-16

15-17

24-24

29-12

18-12

16-26

19-15

24-14

16-17

21-17

24-12

144.7Avg total

78.9Scored

65.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (41)	79.0	69.4	148.4	+9.6	78%
Season at home (21)	83.1	71.9	155.0	+11.2	81%
Season away (20)	74.7	66.8	141.4	+8.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	65.8	144.7	+13.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	59.2	140.4	+22.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	71.6	74.1	145.7	-2.6	44%
vs Weaker (21)	80.6	64.7	145.2	+15.9	95%

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave Thunders Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kyoto

78-82

-4

H24/01

B League

Kyoto

94-51

+43

H25/01

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

#11

85-89

-4

A29/01

B League

Alvark

86-76

+10

H31/01

B League

Alvark

68-72

-4

H01/02

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

74-72

A08/02

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

67-76

-9

A09/02

B League

Shimane

#17

85-76

H15/02

B League

Shimane

#17

106-74

106

+32

H16/02

B League

Hokkaido

#14

97-71

+26

H15/03

B League

19-21

15-18

29-25

27-15

24-10

24-9

19-17

18-26

25-23

18-19

24-21

14-18

21-19

27-15

24-24

21-19

17-27

16-7

14-19

20-20

19-12

17-17

18-23

23-22

21-12

12-20

11-22

24-21

22-19

23-17

16-19

21-15

30-21

31-25

24-13

22-12

20-27

29-11

26-21

157.9Avg total

84.0Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	83.0	74.5	157.6	+8.5	78%
Season at home (20)	85.1	74.3	159.4	+10.8	80%
Season away (20)	81.0	74.7	155.7	+6.2	75%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	73.9	157.9	+10.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	73.8	159.6	+12.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	80.5	76.3	156.8	+4.2	67%
vs Weaker (24)	85.4	74.2	159.6	+11.2	79%

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvarkBrave Thunders

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	16.0	34.6	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	16.6	34.3	+1.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	15.4	34.8	+3.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	14.7	35.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	12.2	34.2	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.1	18.7	35.8	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.2	14.9	34.0	+4.3	76%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	18.1	40.2	+4.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (24)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	16.9	35.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	17.5	37.4	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	16.4	33.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	15.4	34.4	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	14.6	33.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (21)	18.4	16.0	34.4	+2.3	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.9	40.8	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	15.8	36.6	+5.0	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (24)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	67%	-

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Toyama

#12

36-23

+13

H26/01

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

27-39

-12

A29/01

B League

Brave Thunders

37-35

A31/01

B League

Brave Thunders

46-38

A01/02

B League

Yokohama

#16

45-32

+13

H08/02

B League

Yokohama

#16

42-32

+10

H09/02

B League

Niigata

#15

39-18

+21

A15/02

B League

Niigata

#15

36-29

A16/02

B League

Shiga

47-24

+23

A14/03

B League

Shiga

40-31

A15/03

B League

69.6Avg total

39.5Scored

30.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	32.9	70.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.5	34.1	71.6	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.7	31.8	68.5	+4.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	30.1	69.6	+9.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	26.8	67.6	+14.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	35.9	37.6	73.4	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (21)	37.6	30.9	68.5	+6.7	67%	-

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kyoto

34-39

-5

H24/01

B League

Kyoto

51-25

+26

H25/01

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

#11

43-49

-6

A29/01

B League

Alvark

35-37

-2

H31/01

B League

Alvark

38-46

-8

H01/02

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

39-32

A08/02

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

44-34

+10

A09/02

B League

Shimane

#17

46-40

H15/02

B League

Shimane

#17

51-36

+15

H16/02

B League

Hokkaido

#14

42-39

H15/03

B League

80.0Avg total

42.3Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	36.7	78.8	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.0	38.0	81.0	+5.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	35.2	76.3	+5.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	37.7	80.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	36.2	80.6	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	42.2	36.8	79.0	+5.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (24)	42.1	36.7	78.8	+5.4	67%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	16.9	39.3	+5.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	17.4	35.7	+0.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	16.2	20.1	36.3	-3.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.9	15.9	37.8	+6.0	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	17.7	39.1	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	15.8	37.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (24)	21.6	18.8	40.3	+2.8	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.1	38.6	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	16.8	37.6	+3.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	16.8	38.1	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	14.2	36.0	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.4	16.4	35.9	+3.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.2	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	18.9	40.5	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (24)	20.6	18.0	38.7	+2.6	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	34.6	75.4	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.8	35.1	77.9	+7.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	34.2	73.2	+4.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	35.7	75.1	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	32.4	72.8	+8.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	35.7	36.6	72.2	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (21)	43.0	33.8	76.8	+9.2	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	37.3	78.8	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	36.6	79.6	+6.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	38.2	77.8	+1.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	36.2	77.9	+5.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.6	79.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	38.3	39.5	77.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (24)	42.2	36.8	79.0	+5.4	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvark wins

Brave Thunders wins

Date	Game	Score
01/02/20	Brave Thunders v Alvark	68-72
31/01/20	Brave Thunders v Alvark	86-76
11/11/18	Brave Thunders v Alvark	70-87
10/11/18	Brave Thunders v Alvark	79-66
21/10/18	Alvark v Brave Thunders	66-46
20/10/18	Alvark v Brave Thunders	89-67
31/03/18	Brave Thunders v Alvark	89-73
30/03/18	Brave Thunders v Alvark	71-80
11/02/18	Alvark v Brave Thunders	86-54
10/02/18	Alvark v Brave Thunders	65-94

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/20	A	Shiga	85-60
14/03/20	A	Shiga	82-65
16/02/20	A	Niigata	75-70
15/02/20	A	Niigata	69-41
09/02/20	H	Yokohama	95-60
08/02/20	H	Yokohama	94-70
01/02/20	A	Brave Thunders	72-68
31/01/20	A	Brave Thunders	76-86
29/01/20	A	Utsunomiya Brex	64-74
26/01/20	H	Toyama	77-64

Brave Thunderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/20	H	Hokkaido	97-71
16/02/20	H	Shimane	106-74
15/02/20	H	Shimane	85-76
09/02/20	A	Utsunomiya Brex	67-76
08/02/20	A	Utsunomiya Brex	74-72
01/02/20	H	Alvark	68-72
31/01/20	H	Alvark	86-76
29/01/20	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	85-89
25/01/20	H	Kyoto	94-51
24/01/20	H	Kyoto	78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark

B League 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	78%
Home	WWWWW	81%
Away	WWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	41	21	20
Win %	78%	81%	75%
Points / game	79.0	83.1	74.7
Allowed / game	69.4	71.9	66.8
Point differential	+9.6	+11.2	+8.0
Avg total	148.4	155.0	141.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	51%	62%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	89% (9)	100% (2)	86% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Brave Thunders

B League 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	78%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	WLLWL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	20	20
Win %	78%	80%	75%
Points / game	83.0	85.1	81.0
Allowed / game	74.5	74.3	74.7
Point differential	+8.5	+10.8	+6.2
Avg total	157.6	159.4	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	45%	35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	50% (6)	50% (6)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Alvark	41	32	9	78%	79.0	69.4	+9.6
2	Utsunomiya Brex	40	31	9	78%	81.7	72.7	+9.0
3	Brave Thunders	40	31	9	78%	83.0	74.5	+8.5
4	Chiba	40	28	12	70%	83.8	74.8	+9.0
5	Sun Rockers	41	27	14	66%	85.4	79.7	+5.7
6	Ryukyu	41	27	14	66%	78.7	74.0	+4.6
7	Osaka	41	26	15	63%	78.1	76.0	+2.0
8	Shiga	41	21	20	51%	75.8	74.9	+1.0
9	Kyoto	41	20	21	49%	75.9	80.2	-4.3
10	Akita	41	19	22	46%	75.5	73.9	+1.6
11	SeaHorses Mikawa	41	18	23	44%	82.3	83.0	-0.7
12	Toyama	41	17	24	41%	76.0	78.0	-2.0
13	Diamond Dolphins	41	17	24	41%	73.3	76.3	-3.0
14	Hokkaido	40	13	27	32%	75.6	80.9	-5.3
15	Niigata	41	13	28	32%	70.3	76.6	-6.3
16	Yokohama	41	11	30	27%	74.1	81.5	-7.4
17	Shimane	41	11	30	27%	71.3	80.1	-8.8
18	NeoPhoenix	41	5	36	12%	69.2	82.0	-12.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Alvark vs Brave Thunders Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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