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Alvark vs Brave Thunders Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record14-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#22
Record5-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game83.9
JapanB League· Toyota Arena Tokyo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alvark v Brave Thunders
14 Mar 2027
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
13 Mar 2027
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
27 Apr 2025
ALVA84
BRAV80
26 Apr 2025
ALVA80
BRAV67
07 Jan 2024
ALVA99
BRAV76
06 Jan 2024
ALVA94
BRAV79
08 Jan 2023
ALVA88
BRAV73
07 Jan 2023
ALVA75
BRAV64
05 Dec 2021
ALVA96
BRAV90
04 Dec 2021
ALVA66
BRAV85
14 Apr 2021
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
03 Oct 2020
ALVA52
BRAV55
02 Oct 2020
ALVA85
BRAV79
22 Mar 2020
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
21 Mar 2020
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
21 Oct 2018
ALVA66
BRAV46
20 Oct 2018
ALVA89
BRAV67
11 Feb 2018
ALVA86
BRAV54
10 Feb 2018
ALVA65
BRAV94
25 Oct 2017
ALVA99
BRAV91
16 Nov 2014
ALVA53
BRAV69
15 Nov 2014
ALVA103
BRAV78
10 Nov 2013
ALVA84
BRAV91
09 Nov 2013
ALVA65
BRAV73
26 Feb 2012
ALVA79
BRAV67
25 Feb 2012
ALVA71
BRAV78
22 Oct 2011
ALVA81
BRAV61
21 Oct 2011
ALVA81
BRAV61
12 Dec 2010
ALVA62
BRAV65
11 Dec 2010
ALVA72
BRAV54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
66-69
66
69
-3
60avg 82
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 82
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
112-88
112
88
+24
116avg 82
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
100-90
100
90
+10
99avg 82
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
106-71
106
71
+35
102avg 82
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
99-83
99
83
+16
no box
H14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-21
14-15
11-14
19-23
18-21
18-15
27-32
33-13
28-17
21-30
30-28
25-20
19-26
31-18
25-26
26-15
25-10
24-31
31-15
17-15
23-17
28-27
17-31
10-24
22-19
19-22
18-31
20-16
23-17
23-14
22-20
22-24
11-16
23-20
26-13
27-17
20-24
26-22
26-20
170.7Avg total
88.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.982.3175.3+10.678%
Season at home (11)87.477.3164.6+10.173%
Season away (7)101.790.3192.0+11.486%
Last 10 (10)88.981.8170.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)84.681.8166.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.094.5161.5-27.50%
vs Similar (6)92.892.8185.7+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.679.0170.5+12.681%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Shimane
#15
L
69-80
69
80
-11
61avg 73
A19/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
101-67
101
67
+34
108avg 73
H21/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
82-93
82
93
-11
77avg 73
H24/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
92-89
92
89
+3
93avg 73
A26/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
65-75
65
75
-10
59avg 73
H31/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
66-77
66
77
-11
62avg 73
H01/11
B League
Shiga
#16
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A06/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H09/11
B League
Shimane
#15
L
74-95
74
95
-21
no box
H11/11
B League
Saga
#25
W
90-72
90
72
+18
no box
H13/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
15-23
10-19
18-20
35-13
21-18
20-18
25-18
19-21
26-26
19-22
18-24
17-26
24-20
22-25
29-18
16-24
16-12
15-28
18-11
12-20
21-19
16-20
17-18
17-25
20-13
16-15
22-28
18-16
21-24
19-22
18-23
14-26
24-24
19-27
17-18
24-26
26-14
27-19
13-13
160.4Avg total
79.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.283.9163.1-4.829%
Season at home (11)77.483.9161.3-6.518%
Season away (6)82.584.0166.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)79.081.4160.4-2.430%
Last 5 (5)76.282.0158.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.287.7162.9-12.417%
vs Similar (10)79.684.0163.6-4.430%
vs Weaker (2)95.569.5165.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
AlvarkBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
61-30
61
30
+31
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/11
B League
80.3Avg total
42.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.584.3+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.337.982.2+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.186.5+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.480.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.876.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.575.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (6)44.349.894.2-5.517%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.438.583.0+5.962%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#15
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H21/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H24/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A26/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H31/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H01/11
B League
Shiga
#16
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A06/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H09/11
B League
Shimane
#15
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H11/11
B League
Saga
#25
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/11
B League
82.0Avg total
41.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.983.1-2.720%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.741.580.3-2.820%-
Last 30 away (15)41.644.385.9-2.720%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.882.0+0.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.480.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.844.883.7-6.011%-
vs Similar (10)40.040.980.9-0.920%-
vs Weaker (2)53.035.588.5+17.5100%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.6
59.0%
53.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.0
37.9%
32.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
73.8%17.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.2
51.6%
53.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.6
31.5%
32.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.413.1
75.3%
73.8%13.1
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWLLWWWLL
Brave Thunders
WLLLLLWLWL
#4
League position
#22
+16.2
Net rating
-1.0
109.0
Offensive rating
93.6
92.8
Defensive rating
94.6
58.0%
Effective FG%
50.1%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
11.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.9%
3-point %
31.5%
60.7%
Assist %
70.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 93.6Defence92.8 · 94.6Shooting58.0% · 50.1%3-point %37.9% · 31.5%Ball care11.1% · 15.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Alvark   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Alvark wins
0
Brave Thunders wins
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HHiroshima D.99-83
11/11/26HNagasaki82-73
08/11/26HNeoPhoenix88-67
06/11/26ASendai69-96
04/11/26ATainan TSG GhostHawks85-90
01/11/26HUtsunomiya Brex106-71
31/10/26HUtsunomiya Brex100-90
26/10/26ASaga112-88
24/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa82-91
22/10/26HIbaraki Robots66-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSaga90-72
11/11/26HShimane74-95
09/11/26HAltiri Chiba76-85
06/11/26AShiga75-81
01/11/26HYokohama66-77
31/10/26HYokohama65-75
26/10/26AUtsunomiya Brex92-89
24/10/26HSendai82-93
21/10/26HOsaka101-67
19/10/26AShimane69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %78%73%86%
Points / game92.987.4101.7
Allowed / game82.377.390.3
Point differential+10.6+10.1+11.4
Avg total175.3164.6192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%14%
Brave Thunders
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLLLW18%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %29%18%50%
Points / game79.277.482.5
Allowed / game83.983.984.0
Point differential-4.8-6.5-1.5
Avg total163.1161.3166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1312192%92.676.7+15.9
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1711665%89.980.3+9.6
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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