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Chiba vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 85-71
24-19 17-25 21-10 23-17
Position#5
Record26-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game77.7
Chiba 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#18
Record11-29
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game78.8
JapanB League· Funabashi Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Chiba v Saga
12 Mar 2025
CHIB85
SAGA71
12 Nov 2023
CHIB78
SAGA72
11 Nov 2023
CHIB76
SAGA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
105-99 OT
105
99
+6
100avg 74
A25/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
87-77
87
77
+10
86avg 74
A26/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
73-91
73
91
-18
63avg 74
A29/01
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
66-67
66
67
-1
63avg 74
H01/02
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 74
H02/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
92-82
92
82
+10
86avg 74
A08/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
104-86
104
86
+18
109avg 74
A09/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
98-96
98
96
+2
99avg 74
A01/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
65avg 74
A02/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
75-68
75
68
+7
61avg 74
H05/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
21-26
27-18
16-27
19-24
24-21
25-15
19-17
18-18
15-21
28-26
12-26
13-23
20-15
19-11
14-18
20-23
19-15
15-15
22-18
25-22
22-23
21-15
24-22
24-19
32-19
28-18
20-30
26-26
23-27
27-20
22-23
29-25
21-18
11-20
7-22
34-17
17-16
11-17
13-18
166.6Avg total
84.4Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)81.377.7158.9+3.665%
Season at home (19)78.673.2151.8+5.468%
Season away (21)83.781.7165.4+2.062%
Last 10 (10)84.482.2166.6+2.270%
Last 5 (5)87.483.4170.8+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.593.0174.5-11.50%
vs Similar (12)82.180.5162.6+1.658%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)79.977.4157.4+2.562%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 67
H25/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
75-90
75
90
-15
66avg 67
H26/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 67
H29/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 67
A01/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
68-86
68
86
-18
58avg 67
A02/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
73avg 67
H08/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
83-102
83
102
-19
75avg 67
H09/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
62-79
62
79
-17
52avg 67
A01/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
65-81
65
81
-16
52avg 67
A02/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
86-92
86
92
-6
78avg 67
H05/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
23-18
17-16
15-24
17-24
24-21
18-19
16-26
20-15
22-18
20-21
16-27
15-18
21-14
16-27
11-22
18-24
9-15
18-21
23-26
19-23
23-30
20-28
20-14
27-25
19-29
18-23
19-25
22-27
18-18
13-17
9-17
17-24
12-13
15-24
21-20
25-35
21-22
19-15
21-20
160.5Avg total
73.6Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)74.078.8152.8-4.828%
Season at home (19)76.183.1159.1-7.011%
Season away (21)72.075.0147.0-2.943%
Last 10 (10)73.686.9160.5-13.30%
Last 5 (5)75.689.8165.4-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)69.385.4154.7-16.10%
vs Similar (10)76.180.6156.7-4.510%
vs Weaker (6)81.070.8151.8+10.283%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -5.0-5.0
ChibaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A25/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A26/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/01
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H01/02
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H02/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A08/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A09/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A01/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A02/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H05/03
B League
86.9Avg total
45.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.182.1-0.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.938.177.1+0.833%-
Last 30 away (15)43.144.087.1-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)45.041.986.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)50.642.493.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.554.094.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (12)41.240.081.2+1.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.940.281.2+0.738%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H26/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A02/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H09/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A01/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A02/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H05/03
B League
82.8Avg total
39.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.179.5-2.827%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.842.982.8-3.124%-
Last 30 away (13)36.538.875.2-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)39.143.782.8-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)40.649.289.8-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.141.978.1-5.821%-
vs Similar (10)40.740.781.4+0.030%-
vs Weaker (6)39.740.079.7-0.333%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.3
52.3%
51.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.9
36.9%
33.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.7
77.4%
72.7%13.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.318.8
44.4%
51.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.3
31.4%
33.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.010.3
68.7%
72.7%10.3
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiba
WLWWWWLLWW
Saga
LLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#18
+1.9
Net rating
-17.7
110.5
Offensive rating
98.4
108.6
Defensive rating
116.1
53.7%
Effective FG%
45.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.9%
3-point %
31.4%
68.2%
Assist %
68.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 98.4Defence108.6 · 116.1Shooting53.7% · 45.5%3-point %36.9% · 31.4%Ball care16.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds26.0% · 35.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Chiba   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Chiba wins
1
Saga wins
DateGameScore
23/10/24Saga v Chiba74-79
12/11/23Chiba v Saga78-72
11/11/23Chiba v Saga76-95
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HIbaraki Robots75-68
02/03/25ASeaHorses Mikawa68-85
01/03/25ASeaHorses Mikawa98-96
09/02/25AHiroshima D.104-86
08/02/25AHiroshima D.92-82
02/02/25HYokohama76-71
01/02/25HYokohama66-67
29/01/25AUtsunomiya Brex73-91
26/01/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles87-77
25/01/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles105-99 OT
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HNagasaki86-92
02/03/25ADiamond Dolphins65-81
01/03/25ADiamond Dolphins62-79
09/02/25HNeoPhoenix83-102
08/02/25HNeoPhoenix82-95
02/02/25ASeaHorses Mikawa68-86
01/02/25ASeaHorses Mikawa63-81
29/01/25HKyoto78-81
26/01/25HKoshigaya Alphas75-90
25/01/25HKoshigaya Alphas74-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWLLWW68%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %65%68%62%
Points / game81.378.683.7
Allowed / game77.773.281.7
Point differential+3.6+5.4+2.0
Avg total158.9151.8165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%32%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)33% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %10%11%10%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %28%11%43%
Points / game74.076.172.0
Allowed / game78.883.175.0
Point differential-4.8-7.0-2.9
Avg total152.8159.1147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%11%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3935490%92.978.7+14.3
2 Utsunomiya Brex4033782%86.275.8+10.4
3 Gunma40291172%78.671.6+7.0
4 Alvark40291172%76.770.5+6.2
5 SeaHorses Mikawa40281270%82.775.0+7.6
6 Ryukyu40281270%83.876.7+7.2
7 Shimane40261465%80.374.4+5.9
8 Chiba40261465%81.377.7+3.6
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya40221855%74.871.1+3.6
10 Diamond Dolphins40221855%82.081.2+0.8
11 Osaka40211952%82.281.8+0.4
12 Kyoto40202050%80.579.6+0.9
13 Akita40192148%73.674.1-0.5
14 Nagasaki40182245%75.878.2-2.4
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles40182245%78.080.8-2.8
16 Hiroshima D.40182245%78.682.2-3.6
17 Yokohama40162440%75.379.5-4.2
18 Hokkaido40142635%73.779.3-5.5
19 Koshigaya Alphas40132732%77.281.0-3.8
20 Brave Thunders40132732%77.485.5-8.1
21 Saga40112928%74.078.8-4.8
22 Ibaraki Robots4083220%72.981.5-8.6
23 Sendai4083220%72.782.7-10.1
24 Shiga3943510%76.189.7-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiba2417212385
Saga1925101771
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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