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Alvark vs Kobe Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 16 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Projected 94-79
Projected total 173.0
Scheduled
Position#4
Record14-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game82.3
Alvark
Japan
Vs
92%
■ ALVA 92%■ KOBE 8%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Kobe
Japan
Position#23
Record4-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game87.3
JapanB League· Toyota Arena Tokyo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alvark v Kobe
16 Nov 2026
ALVA v KOBE
upcoming
15 Mar 2015
ALVA81
KOBE76
14 Mar 2015
ALVA93
KOBE59
26 Jan 2014
ALVA90
KOBE75
25 Jan 2014
ALVA113
KOBE57
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Alvark host Kobe on 16 November 2026 in the B League, with the model designating Alvark as the clear favourite thanks to their 14-4 record, 92.9 points per game and 82.3 allowed per game, placing them fourth, while Kobe sit 23rd with 4-12, 79.9 points per game and 87.3 allowed per game; the model assigns a 92% probability to Alvark and 8% to Kobe, projecting a 94-79 score for a total of 173 points and a 2% chance of overtime; Alvark's home form is 8-3 with 87.4 points scored and 77.3 allowed, and they have won three of their last five, including victories over Hiroshima D., Nagasaki and NeoPhoenix, whereas Kobe's road record is 1-7 with 77.2 points scored and 87.9 allowed, and they have won two of their last five, with a recent win over Yokohama but losses to Levanga Hokkaido and Tokyo Sunrockers; in the ten meetings between the clubs, Alvark have won every encounter, most recently defeating Kobe 79-51 on 18 March 2018.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark win
91.7%fair 1.09
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kobe win
8.3%fair 11.99
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 15:19 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
66-69
66
69
-3
60avg 83
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 83
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
112-88
112
88
+24
116avg 83
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
W
100-90
100
90
+10
99avg 83
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
W
106-71
106
71
+35
102avg 83
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
99-83
99
83
+16
no box
H14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-21
14-15
11-14
19-23
18-21
18-15
27-32
33-13
28-17
21-30
30-28
25-20
19-26
31-18
25-26
26-15
25-10
24-31
31-15
17-15
23-17
28-27
17-31
10-24
22-19
19-22
18-31
20-16
23-17
23-14
22-20
22-24
11-16
23-20
26-13
27-17
20-24
26-22
26-20
170.7Avg total
88.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.982.3175.3+10.678%
Season at home (11)87.477.3164.6+10.173%
Season away (7)101.790.3192.0+11.486%
Last 10 (10)88.981.8170.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)84.681.8166.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.094.5161.5-27.50%
vs Similar (6)92.892.8185.7+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.679.0170.5+12.681%
This opponent (Kobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobeJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKobe
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#21
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 70
A12/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
71-80
71
80
-9
66avg 70
A19/10
B League
Shiga
#16
L
80-92
80
92
-12
74avg 70
A21/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 70
H24/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
87-97
87
97
-10
76avg 70
A26/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
71-81
71
81
-10
56avg 70
H31/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
90-87
90
87
+3
80avg 70
H01/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
87-70
87
70
+17
no box
A07/11
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
87-108
87
108
-21
no box
H10/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
79-100
79
100
-21
no box
A13/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
13-20
26-23
17-23
17-23
9-16
16-28
29-13
26-18
17-22
14-23
23-29
21-22
16-25
28-27
24-17
19-24
17-25
24-24
27-24
19-11
19-22
19-25
14-23
24-17
17-22
22-34
27-14
27-23
15-17
21-15
24-15
19-37
18-31
24-20
26-20
22-21
21-28
13-24
23-27
170.1Avg total
81.0Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.987.3167.2-7.425%
Season at home (8)82.686.8169.4-4.138%
Season away (8)77.287.9165.1-10.612%
Last 10 (10)81.089.1170.1-8.120%
Last 5 (5)82.889.2172.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.690.0173.6-6.425%
vs Similar (11)80.577.9158.5+2.655%
vs Weaker (7)84.178.9163.0+5.371%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
67.5%
Under 165.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5
Over 170.5
55.8%
Under 170.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 175.5
Over 175.5
43.5%
Under 175.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Alvark total 82
Over 82
90.3%
Under 82
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alvark total 86
Over 86
81.3%
Under 86
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alvark total 90
Over 90
68.2%
Under 90
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kobe total 80.5
Over 80.5
41.6%
Under 80.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kobe total 84.5
Over 84.5
27.2%
Under 84.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kobe total 88.5
Over 88.5
16.1%
Under 88.5
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Alvark -3
ALVA -3
88.4%
KOBE +3
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
ALVA
No market prices yet.
KOBE
No market prices yet.
Spread Alvark 0
ALVA 0
91.7%
KOBE 0
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
ALVA
No market prices yet.
KOBE
No market prices yet.
Spread Alvark +3
ALVA +3
94.5%
KOBE -3
5.5%
Best 5 market prices
ALVA
No market prices yet.
KOBE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
AlvarkKobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
61-30
61
30
+31
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/11
B League
80.3Avg total
42.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.584.3+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.337.982.2+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.186.5+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.480.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.876.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.575.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (6)44.349.894.2-5.517%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.438.583.0+5.962%-
This opponent (Kobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#21
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A12/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A19/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H24/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A26/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H31/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A07/11
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
37-68
37
68
-31
H10/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A13/11
B League
81.2Avg total
36.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.480.2-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.142.283.3-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)36.340.476.7-4.143%-
Last 10 (10)36.944.381.2-7.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.886.0-5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.844.783.4-5.925%-
vs Similar (11)36.238.574.7-2.455%-
vs Weaker (7)43.140.383.4+2.957%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.6
59.0%
53.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.0
37.9%
32.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
73.8%17.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kobe: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.022.6
49.1%
53.6%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.711.1
62.7%
73.8%11.1
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWLLWWWLL
Kobe
LLWWLLLLLL
#4
League position
#23
+16.2
Net rating
-7.0
109.0
Offensive rating
89.0
92.8
Defensive rating
96.0
58.0%
Effective FG%
47.2%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
11.1%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.9%
3-point %
29.3%
60.7%
Assist %
64.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 89.0Defence92.8 · 96.0Shooting58.0% · 47.2%3-point %37.9% · 29.3%Ball care11.1% · 13.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Alvark   ■ Kobe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Alvark wins
0
Kobe wins
DateGameScore
18/03/18Kobe v Alvark51-79
17/03/18Kobe v Alvark72-96
15/03/15Alvark v Kobe81-76
14/03/15Alvark v Kobe93-59
26/10/14Kobe v Alvark74-81
25/10/14Kobe v Alvark66-94
09/03/14Kobe v Alvark73-95
08/03/14Kobe v Alvark57-89
26/01/14Alvark v Kobe90-75
25/01/14Alvark v Kobe113-57
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HHiroshima D.99-83
11/11/26HNagasaki82-73
08/11/26HNeoPhoenix88-67
06/11/26ASendai69-96
04/11/26ATainan TSG GhostHawks85-90
01/11/26HUtsunomiya Brex106-71
31/10/26HUtsunomiya Brex100-90
26/10/26ASaga112-88
24/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa82-91
22/10/26HIbaraki Robots66-69
Kobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido79-100
10/11/26HTokyo Sunrockers87-108
07/11/26AYokohama87-70
01/11/26HNagasaki90-87
31/10/26HNagasaki71-81
26/10/26AShinshu87-97
24/10/26HNeoPhoenix89-91
21/10/26AShiga80-92
19/10/26ASendai71-80
12/10/26ANagasaki69-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %78%73%86%
Points / game92.987.4101.7
Allowed / game82.377.390.3
Point differential+10.6+10.1+11.4
Avg total175.3164.6192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%14%
Kobe
B League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL25%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%38%12%
Points / game79.982.677.2
Allowed / game87.386.887.9
Point differential-7.4-4.1-10.6
Avg total167.2169.4165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1312192%92.676.7+15.9
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1711665%89.980.3+9.6
9 Levanga Hokkaido1610662%96.794.6+2.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Utsunomiya Brex157847%81.983.6-1.7
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
18 Shimane156940%83.581.9+1.6
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
24 Akita1741324%83.491.5-8.2
25 Saga151147%77.894.9-17.1
26 Osaka161156%70.190.9-20.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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