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Saga vs Osaka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:35
Final 81-85
25-24 22-20 22-25 12-16
Position#18
Record17-32
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Osaka 🏆
Japan
Position#13
Record25-24
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game83.1
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Osaka
03 Jan 2027
SAGA v OSAK
upcoming
02 Jan 2027
SAGA v OSAK
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
SAGA81
OSAK83
08 Nov 2025
SAGA87
OSAK82
27 Apr 2025
SAGA106
OSAK82
26 Apr 2025
SAGA90
OSAK79
09 Apr 2025
SAGA81
OSAK85
10 Apr 2024
SAGA86
OSAK74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
L
86-92
86
92
-6
78avg 68
H05/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 68
A12/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
103-65
103
65
+38
105avg 68
H19/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
69-87
69
87
-18
64avg 68
A22/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
93-82
93
82
+11
94avg 68
A23/03
B League
Shimane
#8
W
87-73
87
73
+14
62avg 68
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
69-82
69
82
-13
55avg 68
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 68
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 68
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 68
A06/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
21-22
19-15
21-20
19-24
25-17
10-21
17-23
26-24
35-13
19-12
23-16
14-18
18-30
18-19
19-20
34-16
20-29
18-19
21-18
19-22
16-16
25-28
27-7
14-26
15-12
20-23
20-21
25-10
27-27
11-16
24-25
15-27
28-19
17-19
20-14
15-18
20-19
23-23
24-17
162.7Avg total
82.7Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)75.578.8154.3-3.335%
Season at home (23)77.981.6159.4-3.722%
Season away (26)73.476.3149.7-2.946%
Last 10 (10)82.780.0162.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)81.077.8158.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.884.8157.5-12.015%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.583.1159.6-6.610%
vs Weaker (7)84.669.7154.3+14.9100%
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
107-81
107
81
+26
109avg 77
A05/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
70-83
70
83
-13
65avg 77
H12/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
93-80
93
80
+13
94avg 77
H19/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
92-99
92
99
-7
89avg 77
A22/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
85-78
85
78
+7
83avg 77
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
96-99
96
99
-3
101avg 77
H26/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
73-78
73
78
-5
64avg 77
A29/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
73-95
73
95
-22
68avg 77
A30/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
97-95
97
95
+2
95avg 77
H05/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
95-94
95
94
+1
89avg 77
H06/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
21-24
21-22
33-18
22-15
12-22
17-27
19-19
19-21
22-15
25-22
27-22
33-28
19-20
20-22
20-29
20-26
22-13
21-14
22-25
27-16
21-27
25-31
23-25
16-20
17-17
15-28
25-13
14-27
16-25
19-24
24-19
32-26
22-24
18-19
25-26
25-15
21-29
23-22
26-28
176.3Avg total
88.1Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)82.983.1166.1-0.251%
Season at home (26)81.380.7162.0+0.654%
Season away (23)84.885.9170.7-1.148%
Last 10 (10)88.188.2176.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)86.892.2179.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.186.8166.9-6.727%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.484.5169.9+0.960%
vs Weaker (5)88.281.0169.2+7.280%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
SagaOsaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H05/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
61-37
61
37
+24
H19/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A22/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A23/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A06/04
B League
85.5Avg total
43.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.581.9-1.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.142.684.7-0.631%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.278.8-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.485.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.278.0-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.241.479.6-3.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.543.284.7-1.730%-
vs Weaker (7)43.039.382.3+3.729%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A05/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A22/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H26/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A29/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A30/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H05/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/04
B League
86.0Avg total
43.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.783.9-1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.741.181.8-0.462%-
Last 30 away (14)41.944.686.4-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.786.0+0.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.287.4-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.244.483.6-5.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.940.582.4+1.460%-
vs Weaker (5)46.042.088.0+4.080%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.4
51.4%
51.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.4
34.2%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.212.9
67.2%
72.7%12.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.024.7
56.1%
51.2%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.6
33.3%
33.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.515.8
70.2%
72.7%15.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WWWLWWLWLL
Osaka
WWLLLWLWLW
#18
League position
#13
+3.9
Net rating
+1.0
110.6
Offensive rating
114.2
106.6
Defensive rating
113.1
51.3%
Effective FG%
54.0%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.2%
3-point %
33.3%
62.4%
Assist %
76.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 114.2Defence106.6 · 113.1Shooting51.3% · 54.0%3-point %34.2% · 33.3%Ball care14.2% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.9% · 34.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Osaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Saga wins
1
Osaka wins
DateGameScore
18/12/24Osaka v Saga77-68
10/04/24Saga v Osaka86-74 OT
17/01/24Osaka v Saga69-91
03/12/23Osaka v Saga45-79
02/12/23Osaka v Saga79-84
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25AShiga82-77
05/04/25AShiga80-79
30/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya87-78
29/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya69-82
26/03/25HShimane87-73
23/03/25AYokohama93-82
22/03/25AYokohama69-87
19/03/25HShiga103-65
12/03/25AChiba71-85
05/03/25HNagasaki86-92
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HKyoto95-94
05/04/25HKyoto97-95
30/03/25AShimane73-95
29/03/25AShimane73-78
26/03/25HYokohama96-99
23/03/25ABrave Thunders85-78
22/03/25ABrave Thunders92-99
19/03/25HHiroshima D.93-80
12/03/25HNagasaki70-83
05/03/25AShiga107-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW35%
HomeLWWLW22%
AwayLLWWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492326
Win %35%22%46%
Points / game75.577.973.4
Allowed / game78.881.676.3
Point differential-3.3-3.7-2.9
Avg total154.3159.4149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)0% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osaka
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW51%
HomeLWLWW54%
AwayWLWLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492623
Win %51%54%48%
Points / game82.981.384.8
Allowed / game83.180.785.9
Point differential-0.2+0.6-1.1
Avg total166.1162.0170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)50% (6)55% (11)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4942786%92.679.4+13.2
2 Utsunomiya Brex5041982%85.275.6+9.7
3 Ryukyu49361373%84.476.8+7.7
4 Alvark50361472%76.671.7+4.9
5 SeaHorses Mikawa50331766%81.375.0+6.3
6 Gunma50331766%77.672.1+5.5
7 Chiba50331766%82.277.5+4.7
8 Shimane50321864%79.974.2+5.7
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya50272354%74.371.2+3.1
10 Diamond Dolphins50272354%81.681.0+0.5
11 Kyoto50262452%81.880.1+1.7
12 Osaka49252451%82.983.1-0.2
13 Akita50242648%73.674.4-0.9
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles50242648%77.879.3-1.5
15 Hiroshima D.50232746%79.282.5-3.3
16 Nagasaki50222844%75.777.8-2.1
17 Yokohama50222844%76.179.3-3.1
18 Hokkaido50183236%75.279.4-4.3
19 Saga49173235%75.578.8-3.3
20 Koshigaya Alphas50163432%76.180.5-4.3
21 Brave Thunders50143628%78.486.8-8.4
22 Ibaraki Robots50104020%72.780.7-8.1
23 Sendai5094118%72.883.4-10.7
24 Shiga4874115%77.190.1-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2522221281
Osaka2420251685
← all games of the day
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