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Osaka vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 70-83
22-15 12-22 17-27 19-19
Position#13
Record21-19
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#16
Record18-22
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game78.2
JapanB League· Osaka Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Osaka v Nagasaki
31 Jan 2027
OSAK v NAGA
upcoming
30 Jan 2027
OSAK v NAGA
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
OSAK71
NAGA80
04 May 2025
OSAK76
NAGA85
03 May 2025
OSAK72
NAGA89
12 Mar 2025
OSAK70
NAGA83
24 Dec 2023
OSAK90
NAGA72
23 Dec 2023
OSAK97
NAGA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
96avg 77
A25/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
94-102
94
102
-8
87avg 77
A26/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
97-95
97
95
+2
97avg 77
A29/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
83avg 77
H01/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
70-99
70
99
-29
55avg 77
H02/02
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
78avg 77
H08/02
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
77-70
77
70
+7
70avg 77
H09/02
B League
Shimane
#8
L
68-85
68
85
-17
54avg 77
H28/02
B League
Shimane
#8
W
74-60
74
60
+14
71avg 77
H01/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
107-81
107
81
+26
109avg 77
A05/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
26-21
20-23
32-21
23-30
25-19
20-24
26-29
29-30
19-24
27-20
22-21
28-26
23-18
18-24
14-23
21-21
18-17
12-24
19-37
15-24
21-19
24-20
20-14
14-25
33-14
15-12
15-19
18-29
12-17
18-25
20-14
15-12
20-16
22-17
17-15
32-17
21-24
21-22
33-18
173.0Avg total
86.1Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)82.281.8164.1+0.452%
Season at home (21)79.278.5157.7+0.752%
Season away (19)85.685.5171.2+0.153%
Last 10 (10)86.186.9173.0-0.860%
Last 5 (5)81.274.6155.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)81.487.4168.9-6.029%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.679.1159.7+1.456%
vs Weaker (7)85.077.1162.1+7.986%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#21
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 69
H25/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
78-83
78
83
-5
71avg 69
H26/01
B League
Shiga
#24
W
101-89
101
89
+12
101avg 69
A29/01
B League
Shimane
#8
L
69-78
69
78
-9
62avg 69
H01/02
B League
Shimane
#8
W
96-74
96
74
+22
92avg 69
H02/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
89-85
89
85
+4
88avg 69
A08/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
65-96
65
96
-31
55avg 69
A09/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
57avg 69
H01/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 69
H02/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
92-86
92
86
+6
93avg 69
A05/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
28-18
17-17
15-21
24-27
19-15
13-16
22-25
34-22
15-27
26-20
26-20
23-15
12-13
15-22
19-28
28-21
22-19
24-20
22-14
24-21
25-21
21-26
19-17
18-20
20-27
13-27
14-22
21-29
14-20
16-24
23-20
23-24
16-28
18-14
32-19
35-25
22-21
15-19
20-21
167.8Avg total
82.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)75.878.2154.1-2.445%
Season at home (22)73.677.4151.0-3.836%
Season away (18)78.679.3157.9-0.756%
Last 10 (10)82.984.9167.8-2.050%
Last 5 (5)81.889.0170.8-7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.582.2158.8-5.838%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.680.6153.2-8.023%
vs Weaker (9)84.378.4162.8+5.967%
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
OsakaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A25/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A26/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A29/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H01/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H02/02
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/02
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/02
B League
Shimane
#8
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H28/02
B League
Shimane
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H01/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A05/03
B League
86.7Avg total
43.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.282.4-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.441.079.4-2.644%-
Last 30 away (14)42.443.585.9-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.586.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.479.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.244.784.9-4.543%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.937.975.8+0.044%-
vs Weaker (7)43.442.686.0+0.943%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#21
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H25/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H26/01
B League
Shiga
#24
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A29/01
B League
Shimane
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H01/02
B League
Shimane
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A08/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H01/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H02/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A05/03
B League
87.6Avg total
43.9Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.680.3-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.040.078.0-2.056%-
Last 30 away (14)41.741.282.9+0.543%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.787.6+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.647.290.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.242.579.8-5.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.839.479.2+0.546%-
vs Weaker (9)41.840.682.3+1.267%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.4
54.8%
51.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.4
30.8%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
72.7%12.5
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.7
52.8%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.7
37.3%
33.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
72.7%12.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
WWLWWLLWLW
Nagasaki
WWLLWWLWLL
#13
League position
#16
-0.5
Net rating
-2.1
110.9
Offensive rating
107.4
111.4
Defensive rating
109.5
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
18.8%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.8%
3-point %
37.3%
68.6%
Assist %
66.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 107.4Defence111.4 · 109.5Shooting51.1% · 54.2%3-point %30.8% · 37.3%Ball care15.7% · 18.8%Off. rebounds35.0% · 29.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Osaka   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Osaka wins
2
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
23/10/24Nagasaki v Osaka81-79
28/04/24Nagasaki v Osaka84-66
27/04/24Nagasaki v Osaka85-87
24/12/23Osaka v Nagasaki90-72
23/12/23Osaka v Nagasaki97-95
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25AShiga107-81
01/03/25HShimane74-60
28/02/25HShimane68-85
09/02/25HKoshigaya Alphas77-70
08/02/25HKoshigaya Alphas80-77
02/02/25HNeoPhoenix70-99
01/02/25HNeoPhoenix83-91
29/01/25ARyukyu97-95
26/01/25ADiamond Dolphins94-102
25/01/25ADiamond Dolphins111-109 OT
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25ASaga92-86
02/03/25HRyukyu89-85
01/03/25HRyukyu74-93
09/02/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles65-96
08/02/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles89-85
02/02/25HShimane96-74
01/02/25HShimane69-78
29/01/25AShiga101-89
26/01/25HBrave Thunders78-83
25/01/25HBrave Thunders76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW52%
HomeLWWLW52%
AwayWWLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %52%52%53%
Points / game82.279.285.6
Allowed / game81.878.585.5
Point differential+0.4+0.7+0.1
Avg total164.1157.7171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%29%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)33% (3)60% (10)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeLLWLW36%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402218
Win %45%36%56%
Points / game75.873.678.6
Allowed / game78.277.479.3
Point differential-2.4-3.8-0.7
Avg total154.1151.0157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)33% (12)100% (1)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3935490%92.978.7+14.3
2 Utsunomiya Brex4033782%86.275.8+10.4
3 Gunma40291172%78.671.6+7.0
4 Alvark40291172%76.770.5+6.2
5 SeaHorses Mikawa40281270%82.775.0+7.6
6 Ryukyu40281270%83.876.7+7.2
7 Shimane40261465%80.374.4+5.9
8 Chiba40261465%81.377.7+3.6
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya40221855%74.871.1+3.6
10 Diamond Dolphins40221855%82.081.2+0.8
11 Osaka40211952%82.281.8+0.4
12 Kyoto40202050%80.579.6+0.9
13 Akita40192148%73.674.1-0.5
14 Nagasaki40182245%75.878.2-2.4
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles40182245%78.080.8-2.8
16 Hiroshima D.40182245%78.682.2-3.6
17 Yokohama40162440%75.379.5-4.2
18 Hokkaido40142635%73.779.3-5.5
19 Koshigaya Alphas40132732%77.281.0-3.8
20 Brave Thunders40132732%77.485.5-8.1
21 Saga40112928%74.078.8-4.8
22 Ibaraki Robots4083220%72.981.5-8.6
23 Sendai4083220%72.782.7-10.1
24 Shiga3943510%76.189.7-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka2212171970
Nagasaki1522271983
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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