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Alvark vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 90-80
24-15 25-25 17-15 24-25
Position#2
Record32-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game68.8
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#12
Record23-17
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game78.4
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Gymnasium (Tokyo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alvark v Shimane
03 Apr 2027
ALVA v SHIM
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
ALVA70
SHIM68
11 Apr 2026
ALVA65
SHIM52
15 Dec 2024
ALVA63
SHIM74
14 Dec 2024
ALVA78
SHIM74
03 Mar 2024
ALVA90
SHIM80
02 Mar 2024
ALVA79
SHIM87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#23
W
81-63
81
63
+18
76avg 77
A21/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
77-68
77
68
+9
64avg 77
H27/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
83-81
83
81
+2
74avg 77
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#9
L
74-75
74
75
-1
72avg 77
A31/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
91-80 OT
91
80
+11
no box
H03/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
74-76
74
76
-2
68avg 77
H04/02
B League
Akita
#14
W
77-68
77
68
+9
65avg 77
A07/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 77
A10/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
94-72
94
72
+22
93avg 77
A11/02
B League
Shimane
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
73avg 77
H02/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
19-21
22-16
28-14
21-20
18-18
20-16
18-14
19-18
18-20
23-15
23-28
19-24
18-17
14-13
23-21
28-16
18-24
6-14
19-17
12-27
14-20
25-18
23-11
19-23
20-10
14-19
24-16
14-25
17-21
26-25
17-22
23-20
17-14
25-18
29-20
24-20
18-28
13-21
24-18
156.7Avg total
80.4Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)81.768.8150.6+12.980%
Season at home (20)81.072.2153.1+8.870%
Season away (20)82.565.5148.1+17.090%
Last 10 (10)80.476.3156.7+4.160%
Last 5 (5)79.679.2158.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)84.082.5166.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)82.470.8153.2+11.579%
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
85-98
85
98
-13
68avg 75
H21/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
98-86
98
86
+12
92avg 75
A27/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
94-73
94
73
+21
89avg 75
A28/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
72-75
72
75
-3
60avg 75
H31/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
71-103
71
103
-32
58avg 75
A03/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
67avg 75
A04/02
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
92-99
92
99
-7
82avg 75
H07/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
63-68
63
68
-5
54avg 75
H10/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
66-60
66
60
+6
60avg 75
H11/02
B League
Alvark
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 75
A02/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
17-24
20-24
30-26
31-22
26-21
23-17
18-26
30-23
31-12
19-20
14-18
22-15
24-14
4-20
22-26
17-18
19-35
19-29
16-21
15-25
20-21
20-15
27-24
21-18
26-29
17-24
28-28
18-15
15-18
15-11
15-24
12-9
12-19
19-14
23-18
20-24
28-18
21-13
18-24
163.6Avg total
81.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)83.478.4161.8+5.057%
Season at home (22)83.075.9158.8+7.164%
Season away (18)84.081.4165.4+2.650%
Last 10 (10)81.082.6163.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)78.078.2156.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.882.0158.8-5.240%
vs Similar (10)78.975.1154.0+3.840%
vs Weaker (15)91.181.0172.1+10.167%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
AlvarkShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#23
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A21/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/01
B League
Osaka
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A31/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H03/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H04/02
B League
Akita
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A07/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A11/02
B League
Shimane
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H02/03
B League
76.6Avg total
36.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.078.1+4.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.939.481.3+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)40.134.274.4+5.979%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.876.6-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.677.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.540.075.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.536.878.2+4.775%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A27/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
61-35
61
35
+26
A28/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H31/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A03/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/02
B League
Nagasaki
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H07/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H11/02
B League
Alvark
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A02/03
B League
82.6Avg total
42.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.838.882.6+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.235.579.7+8.767%-
Last 30 away (15)43.342.185.4+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.482.6+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.276.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.643.080.6-5.440%-
vs Similar (10)39.835.675.4+4.250%-
vs Weaker (15)48.539.588.0+8.973%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.322.7
49.0%
50.9%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.9
35.0%
33.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.313.3
68.9%
72.0%13.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.2
51.1%
50.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.7
33.2%
33.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.912.7
75.1%
72.0%12.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
LWLWLWLWWW
Shimane
WWLLLLLWWL
#2
League position
#12
+8.9
Net rating
-2.0
114.2
Offensive rating
111.9
105.3
Defensive rating
113.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.9%
38.7%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.0%
3-point %
33.2%
64.9%
Assist %
51.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 111.9Defence105.3 · 113.9Shooting50.1% · 50.5%3-point %35.0% · 33.2%Ball care14.6% · 12.9%Off. rebounds38.7% · 31.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Alvark   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alvark wins
6
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Alvark v Shimane79-87
15/05/23Shimane v Alvark82-83
13/05/23Shimane v Alvark72-82
12/05/23Shimane v Alvark86-71
12/02/23Shimane v Alvark66-59
11/02/23Shimane v Alvark77-67
16/05/22Shimane v Alvark80-62
15/05/22Shimane v Alvark57-91
14/05/22Shimane v Alvark80-63
14/11/21Shimane v Alvark61-64
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HShimane79-87
11/02/24ANeoPhoenix94-72
10/02/24ANeoPhoenix74-93
07/02/24AAkita77-68
04/02/24HRyukyu74-76
03/02/24HRyukyu91-80 OT
31/01/24AChiba74-75
28/01/24HOsaka83-81
27/01/24HOsaka77-68
21/01/24AShinshu81-63
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AAlvark87-79
11/02/24HSun Rockers Shibuya66-60
10/02/24HSun Rockers Shibuya63-68
07/02/24HNagasaki92-99
04/02/24ANeoPhoenix82-85
03/02/24ANeoPhoenix71-103
31/01/24HKyoto72-75
28/01/24AYokohama94-73
27/01/24AYokohama98-86
21/01/24HIbaraki Robots85-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL80%
HomeWWWLL70%
AwayWLWLW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %80%70%90%
Points / game81.781.082.5
Allowed / game68.872.265.5
Point differential+12.9+8.8+16.9
Avg total150.6153.1148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%60%65%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Shimane
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeLLLLW64%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402218
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game83.483.084.0
Allowed / game78.475.981.4
Point differential+5.0+7.1+2.6
Avg total161.8158.8165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%32%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)43% (7)0% (4)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4034685%90.278.0+12.2
2 Utsunomiya Brex4033782%79.268.1+11.1
3 Alvark4032880%81.768.8+12.9
4 Ryukyu40281270%81.276.7+4.5
5 Diamond Dolphins40271368%82.178.2+3.9
6 Chiba41271466%85.781.7+4.0
7 SeaHorses Mikawa41261563%81.876.6+5.2
8 Shimane40231757%83.478.4+5.0
9 Gunma41231856%79.080.2-1.2
10 Brave Thunders40221855%80.577.1+3.4
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya40211952%75.774.5+1.1
12 Akita40211952%74.074.1-0.1
13 Hiroshima D.41212051%78.774.3+4.4
14 Saga40202050%74.974.8+0.1
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles40192148%73.575.5-1.9
16 Sendai41182344%78.979.7-0.8
17 Yokohama40172342%76.782.2-5.5
18 Nagasaki41162539%81.185.2-4.1
19 Osaka41152637%77.682.5-5.0
20 Kyoto41132832%77.684.3-6.7
21 Hokkaido40122830%74.580.5-5.9
22 Ibaraki Robots4173417%73.785.1-11.4
23 Shinshu4063415%71.084.0-13.0
24 Toyama4143710%74.085.5-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark2425172490
Shimane1525152580
← all games of the day
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