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Nagasaki vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 81-83 (OT)
26-24 17-18 16-19 16-14 6-8
Position#16
Record7-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Alvark 🏆
Japan
Position#4
Record15-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game68.8
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Alvark
24 Jan 2027
NAGA v ALVA
upcoming
08 May 2026
NAGA96
ALVA56
07 May 2026
NAGA93
ALVA78
08 Mar 2026
NAGA70
ALVA91
07 Mar 2026
NAGA78
ALVA93
08 Dec 2024
NAGA81
ALVA83
07 Dec 2024
NAGA52
ALVA89
17 Dec 2023
NAGA84
ALVA94
16 Dec 2023
NAGA62
ALVA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
L
50-82
50
82
-32
34avg 68
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 68
H27/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
91avg 68
H02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 68
H03/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
67-80
67
80
-13
54avg 68
A06/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
68-71
68
71
-3
51avg 68
H09/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
54-55
54
55
-1
44avg 68
H10/11
B League
Saga
#18
L
51-80
51
80
-29
37avg 68
A01/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
88avg 68
A02/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
52-89
52
89
-37
37avg 68
H07/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
15-19
11-21
11-17
15-22
12-21
27-24
21-12
30-18
17-17
25-23
15-10
21-23
18-23
16-17
19-20
19-19
19-23
9-16
20-22
20-12
16-25
20-14
12-20
22-21
9-8
13-13
10-13
13-23
12-15
10-22
16-20
21-17
22-23
18-20
32-18
17-19
12-26
14-20
9-24
143.6Avg total
67.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.373.7143.0-4.441%
Season at home (10)67.073.2140.2-6.230%
Season away (7)72.674.4147.0-1.957%
Last 10 (10)67.176.5143.6-9.420%
Last 5 (5)63.674.6138.2-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.778.9151.6-6.238%
vs Similar (12)72.871.6144.3+1.258%
vs Weaker (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
73avg 76
H26/10
B League
Saga
#18
W
79-66
79
66
+13
78avg 76
H27/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
78-59
78
59
+19
77avg 76
A02/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
65-76
65
76
-11
58avg 76
A03/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
80-77
80
77
+3
69avg 76
A06/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
71-56
71
56
+15
68avg 76
H09/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
95-79
95
79
+16
88avg 76
H10/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
88-66
88
66
+22
93avg 76
A30/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
80-62
80
62
+18
82avg 76
A01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
89-52
89
52
+37
88avg 76
A07/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
11-15
21-17
20-21
24-10
22-18
21-22
12-16
25-17
17-18
23-9
13-15
11-16
15-23
22-23
17-14
16-17
13-13
28-23
23-24
27-16
14-13
8-15
22-12
26-17
22-17
24-20
23-25
22-20
21-16
24-14
21-16
11-18
22-14
20-14
27-16
19-17
26-12
20-14
24-9
147.1Avg total
80.4Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.468.8149.2+11.688%
Season at home (7)81.668.7150.3+12.9100%
Season away (10)79.668.9148.5+10.780%
Last 10 (10)80.466.7147.1+13.790%
Last 5 (5)84.663.0147.6+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
vs Similar (4)72.269.0141.2+3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.869.1149.9+11.688%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
NagasakiAlvark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H27/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H09/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H10/11
B League
Saga
#18
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A01/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H07/12
B League
74.2Avg total
34.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.577.5-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.238.774.9-2.543%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.279.8-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)34.339.974.2-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.870.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.343.479.7-7.123%-
vs Similar (12)38.237.375.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker (5)42.034.876.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H26/10
B League
Saga
#18
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H27/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A02/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A03/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A06/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H09/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H10/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A30/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A07/12
B League
71.9Avg total
39.1Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.834.074.9+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.931.974.7+11.087%-
Last 30 away (15)38.836.275.0+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)39.132.871.9+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.032.074.0+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (4)36.237.573.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.333.274.5+8.179%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.1
48.5%
51.2%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.0
30.2%
33.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.410.3
71.5%
72.7%10.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.0
51.8%
51.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.8
33.6%
33.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.612.8
72.7%
72.7%12.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LWLLLLLWLL
Alvark
WWWWWWLWWW
#16
League position
#4
-12.5
Net rating
+18.1
94.4
Offensive rating
112.1
106.9
Defensive rating
94.0
47.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
21.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.2%
3-point %
33.6%
53.1%
Assist %
75.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence94.4 · 112.1Defence106.9 · 94.0Shooting47.1% · 51.2%3-point %30.2% · 33.6%Ball care21.3% · 16.3%Off. rebounds29.8% · 36.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Alvark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
3
Alvark wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Nagasaki v Alvark52-89
17/12/23Nagasaki v Alvark84-94
16/12/23Nagasaki v Alvark62-71
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HAlvark52-89
02/12/24ASaga93-78
01/12/24ASaga51-80
10/11/24HAkita54-55
09/11/24HAkita68-71
06/11/24AKoshigaya Alphas67-80
03/11/24HDiamond Dolphins74-83
02/11/24HDiamond Dolphins87-68
27/10/24HChiba75-79
26/10/24HChiba50-82
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24ANagasaki89-52
01/12/24ABrave Thunders80-62
30/11/24ABrave Thunders88-66
10/11/24HHiroshima D.95-79
09/11/24HHiroshima D.71-56
06/11/24AYokohama80-77
03/11/24ASeaHorses Mikawa65-76
02/11/24ASeaHorses Mikawa78-59
27/10/24HSaga79-66
26/10/24HSaga79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL41%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %41%30%57%
Points / game69.367.072.6
Allowed / game73.773.274.4
Point differential-4.4-6.2-1.9
Avg total143.0140.2147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%10%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)20% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvark
B League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %88%100%80%
Points / game80.481.679.6
Allowed / game68.868.768.9
Point differential+11.6+12.9+10.7
Avg total149.2150.3148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1715288%80.468.8+11.6
2 NeoPhoenix1815383%92.778.9+13.8
3 Chiba1814478%83.675.0+8.6
4 Utsunomiya Brex1814478%82.774.6+8.2
5 Shimane1813572%82.174.3+7.8
6 SeaHorses Mikawa1813572%80.173.4+6.6
7 Ryukyu1712571%85.277.7+7.5
8 Gunma1812667%80.472.1+8.4
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya1811761%76.470.7+5.8
10 Osaka1810856%82.179.9+2.2
11 Akita1810856%73.874.2-0.3
12 Diamond Dolphins178947%81.182.3-1.2
13 Kyoto1881044%79.379.4-0.1
14 Nagasaki1771041%69.373.7-4.4
15 Saga1871139%74.575.2-0.7
16 Yokohama1871139%73.478.8-5.4
17 Koshigaya Alphas1861233%76.281.1-4.9
18 Hiroshima D.1861233%75.582.4-6.9
19 Hokkaido1861233%72.879.9-7.2
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1861233%74.182.1-7.9
21 Ibaraki Robots1851328%76.183.7-7.6
22 Sendai1841422%73.080.6-7.6
23 Brave Thunders1841422%74.886.1-11.3
24 Shiga181176%72.786.7-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Nagasaki26171616681
Alvark24181914883
← all games of the day
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