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Alvark vs Shimane Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record9-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game94.1
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#18
Record4-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.5
JapanB League· Toyota Arena Tokyo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alvark v Shimane
03 Apr 2027
ALVA v SHIM
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
ALVA70
SHIM68
11 Apr 2026
ALVA65
SHIM52
15 Dec 2024
ALVA63
SHIM74
14 Dec 2024
ALVA78
SHIM74
03 Mar 2024
ALVA90
SHIM80
02 Mar 2024
ALVA79
SHIM87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#20
W
96-71
96
71
+25
A04/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H08/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
W
94-82
94
82
+12
A10/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
103-78
103
78
+25
A12/10
B League
Xac Broncos
#12
W
113-78
113
78
+35
H14/10
EASL
Gunma
#9
W
100-86
100
86
+14
A17/10
B League
Akita
#21
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H19/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
112-88
112
88
+24
A26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
25-21
27-14
22-18
29-15
15-19
22-22
24-18
17-19
26-24
30-21
21-18
26-17
25-21
27-19
25-21
35-13
12-13
26-31
40-21
33-32
19-23
25-16
23-15
23-20
21-14
24-25
22-15
19-19
22-21
14-15
11-14
19-23
18-21
18-15
27-32
33-13
28-17
21-30
30-28
173.7Avg total
94.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)94.183.5177.6+10.675%
Season at home (6)81.077.7158.7+3.350%
Season away (6)107.289.3196.5+17.8100%
Last 10 (10)94.679.1173.7+15.580%
Last 5 (5)90.081.6171.6+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.094.5161.5-27.50%
vs Similar (6)91.292.5183.7-1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.076.8165.8+12.186%
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#13
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A25/09
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H03/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H04/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H07/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A10/10
B League
Chiba
#20
L
78-97
78
97
-19
A17/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H19/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A24/10
B League
Sendai
#8
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
H31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
17-19
27-16
18-21
21-20
10-27
20-23
22-15
10-26
17-21
30-23
23-20
28-16
12-25
29-24
26-18
15-18
17-30
16-27
21-15
16-23
30-23
15-22
17-29
18-26
23-15
19-10
20-18
17-20
20-29
16-14
26-19
23-26
21-18
25-17
16-25
24-23
23-22
16-23
25-27
166.7Avg total
81.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.983.5165.5-1.636%
Season at home (6)83.584.7168.2-1.233%
Season away (5)80.082.2162.2-2.240%
Last 10 (10)81.285.5166.7-4.330%
Last 5 (5)82.085.8167.8-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.184.1157.2-11.09%
vs Similar (16)81.880.7162.4+1.156%
vs Weaker (3)74.090.0164.0-16.033%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
AlvarkShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#20
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A04/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H08/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A10/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A12/10
B League
Xac Broncos
#12
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H14/10
EASL
Gunma
#9
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A17/10
B League
Akita
#21
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H19/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
61-30
61
30
+31
A26/10
B League
85.0Avg total
46.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.984.3+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.736.980.6+6.967%-
Last 30 away (15)45.143.088.1+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)46.738.385.0+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)47.040.687.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.575.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (6)45.546.792.2-1.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.938.683.5+6.362%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A25/09
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H03/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H04/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H07/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A10/10
B League
Chiba
#20
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A17/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A24/10
B League
Sendai
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H31/10
B League
83.4Avg total
38.5Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.482.2-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.742.381.9-2.639%-
Last 30 away (12)39.942.782.6-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.544.983.4-6.410%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.088.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.343.478.6-8.118%-
vs Similar (16)42.141.483.4+0.750%-
vs Weaker (3)44.044.788.7-0.733%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.8
56.2%
53.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.412.2
36.5%
32.7%36.6
🏀 Free throws22.816.9
74.1%
73.7%16.9
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.8
51.9%
53.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.6
33.0%
32.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws15.911.7
73.6%
73.7%11.7
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WLLWWWWWWW
Shimane
LLLWLLWLLW
#5
League position
#18
+13.7
Net rating
-0.9
105.0
Offensive rating
92.7
91.2
Defensive rating
93.6
55.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
11.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.5%
3-point %
33.0%
59.1%
Assist %
58.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 92.7Defence91.2 · 93.6Shooting55.5% · 50.8%3-point %36.5% · 33.0%Ball care11.8% · 13.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Alvark   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alvark wins
4
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Alvark v Shimane70-68
11/04/26Alvark v Shimane65-52
15/12/24Alvark v Shimane63-74
14/12/24Alvark v Shimane78-74 OT
03/03/24Alvark v Shimane90-80
02/03/24Alvark v Shimane79-87
15/05/23Shimane v Alvark82-83
13/05/23Shimane v Alvark72-82
12/05/23Shimane v Alvark86-71
12/02/23Shimane v Alvark66-59
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/26ASaga112-88
24/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa82-91
22/10/26HIbaraki Robots66-69
19/10/26HAkita90-74
17/10/26AGunma100-86
14/10/26HXac Broncos113-78
12/10/26AOsaka103-78
10/10/26ABrave Thunders94-82
08/10/26HSaga90-74
04/10/26AChiba96-71
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HHiroshima D.88-95
26/10/26HSendai85-86
24/10/26AToyama79-82
19/10/26HBrave Thunders80-69
17/10/26AChiba78-97
10/10/26ARyukyu69-90
07/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido95-83
04/10/26HDiamond Dolphins80-90
03/10/26HDiamond Dolphins73-85
25/09/26ANagasaki85-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game94.181.0107.2
Allowed / game83.577.789.3
Point differential+10.6+3.3+17.8
Avg total177.6158.7196.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%0%17%
Shimane
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game81.983.580.0
Allowed / game83.584.782.2
Point differential-1.6-1.2-2.2
Avg total165.5168.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins990100%93.174.7+18.4
2 Hiroshima D.1211192%92.680.2+12.4
3 NeoPhoenix76186%87.179.1+8.0
4 SeaHorses Mikawa86275%90.177.6+12.5
5 Alvark129375%94.183.5+10.6
6 Kyoto118373%86.477.7+8.6
7 Tokyo Sunrockers139469%90.278.7+11.5
8 Sendai139469%85.580.1+5.5
9 Gunma117464%78.975.2+3.7
10 Levanga Hokkaido106460%97.893.9+3.9
11 Toyama127558%83.886.3-2.6
12 Ryukyu116555%84.981.2+3.7
13 Nagasaki136746%76.279.5-3.3
14 Utsunomiya Brex115645%81.482.0-0.6
15 Shiga115645%87.589.5-2.1
16 Ibaraki Robots125742%81.879.2+2.7
17 Yokohama125742%79.686.1-6.5
18 Shimane114736%81.983.5-1.6
19 Brave Thunders114736%81.885.6-3.8
20 Chiba124833%91.698.2-6.6
21 Akita124833%78.685.4-6.8
22 Shinshu134931%84.587.5-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba134931%78.486.5-8.1
24 Kobe1221017%78.086.0-8.0
25 Saga111109%75.594.4-18.8
26 Osaka111109%69.388.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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