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Alvik W vs Hogsbo W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game69.2
Alvik W
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
2.3/10
🧊 Cold
Hogsbo W
Sweden
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game60.3
Allowed / game86.2
SwedenBasketligan WRound 13· Akeshovshallen
Women2026-27
Meetings · Alvik W v Hogsbo W
09 Jan 2027
ALVI v HOGS
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
ALVI62
HOGS67
05 Jan 2025
ALVI75
HOGS81
24 Jan 2024
ALVI82
HOGS86
12 Nov 2022
ALVI109
HOGS78
30 Oct 2021
ALVI87
HOGS67
09 Apr 2021
ALVI79
HOGS78
05 Apr 2021
ALVI84
HOGS76
27 Jan 2021
ALVI93
HOGS65
07 Mar 2020
ALVI91
HOGS75
06 Oct 2018
ALVI93
HOGS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvik W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvik WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
L
58-91
58
91
-33
44avg 65
H21/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
61-94
61
94
-33
49avg 65
A01/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
42-74
42
74
-32
28avg 65
A05/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 65
H21/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
68avg 65
H04/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#10
W
78-67
78
67
+11
72avg 65
A10/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
86-53
86
53
+33
78avg 65
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
81-67
81
67
+14
73avg 65
A24/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H04/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
A07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
12-25
14-29
17-16
16-20
13-24
13-32
19-18
4-30
10-14
11-10
17-20
18-22
20-19
18-24
17-20
23-14
19-25
19-22
26-15
16-18
31-8
19-23
12-18
18-16
30-9
18-19
20-9
30-24
18-14
15-17
18-12
21-24
12-17
25-13
22-19
25-17
15-21
13-21
16-20
147.4Avg total
71.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.269.2149.3+11.083%
Season at home (2)83.574.5158.0+9.0100%
Season away (4)78.566.5145.0+12.075%
Last 10 (10)71.575.9147.4-4.450%
Last 5 (5)78.867.8146.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.683.6149.1-18.07%
vs Similar (4)81.285.5166.8-4.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.459.9140.3+20.592%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
106-76
106
76
+30
100avg 63
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 63
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
78avg 63
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
57-91
57
91
-34
no box
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
50-94
50
94
-44
11avg 63
A03/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
55avg 63
H10/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
47avg 63
A18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
L
66-94
66
94
-28
50avg 63
H24/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
43-108
43
108
-65
20avg 63
A30/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-21
36-14
24-25
16-26
20-14
20-12
10-19
27-25
14-20
13-21
25-13
8-18
10-21
24-21
15-31
9-19
13-30
10-22
18-23
18-16
8-31
23-19
18-12
16-19
13-28
18-13
17-16
11-23
18-25
19-21
18-25
13-32
11-28
4-18
15-30
16-15
17-15
14-20
25-17
154.4Avg total
68.8Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)60.386.2146.5-25.817%
Season at home (3)68.379.7148.0-11.333%
Season away (3)52.392.7145.0-40.30%
Last 10 (10)68.885.6154.4-16.820%
Last 5 (5)62.484.6147.0-22.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.787.6154.3-20.929%
vs Similar (9)79.080.8159.8-1.844%
vs Weaker (14)86.466.8153.1+19.686%
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -8.6-8.6Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -8.6-8.6Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
Alvik WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alvik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H21/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
14-44
14
44
-30
A05/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#10
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A10/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H04/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A07/11
Basketligan W
74.8Avg total
36.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.436.972.2-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.636.970.4-3.329%-
Last 30 away (16)36.936.973.8+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.274.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.233.676.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.941.272.1-10.414%-
vs Similar (4)36.242.278.5-6.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.330.070.3+10.375%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
18-39
18
39
-21
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A03/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H10/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H24/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
24-60
24
60
-36
A30/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H07/11
Basketligan W
74.6Avg total
30.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.575.8+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.436.076.4+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.975.2-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)30.444.274.6-13.820%-
Last 5 (5)28.246.474.6-18.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.946.977.7-16.014%-
vs Similar (9)38.436.975.3+1.656%-
vs Weaker (14)42.033.175.1+8.986%-
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik W: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.615.7
45.4%
46.8%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.17.8
27.8%
30.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.111.6
76.8%
71.1%11.6
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.315.8
43.5%
46.8%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.2
26.0%
30.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
71.1%15.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvik W
LWWWWWLLLL
Hogsbo W
WLLLLLLLLW
#4
League position
#10
-9.1
Net rating
-13.8
74.6
Offensive rating
74.5
83.7
Defensive rating
88.3
43.7%
Effective FG%
41.6%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
21.9%
Turnover %
20.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.8%
3-point %
26.0%
75.3%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence74.6 · 74.5Defence83.7 · 88.3Shooting43.7% · 41.6%3-point %27.8% · 26.0%Ball care21.9% · 20.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Alvik W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alvik W wins
6
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Hogsbo W v Alvik W67-78
01/03/26Hogsbo W v Alvik W94-61
14/02/26Alvik W v Hogsbo W62-67
05/01/25Alvik W v Hogsbo W75-81
28/09/24Hogsbo W v Alvik W106-71
24/01/24Alvik W v Hogsbo W82-86
14/10/23Hogsbo W v Alvik W74-61
11/03/23Hogsbo W v Alvik W59-81
12/11/22Alvik W v Hogsbo W109-78
26/02/22Hogsbo W v Alvik W60-75
Alvik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AOstersund W69-79
04/11/26HUppsala W80-73
24/10/26ASodertalje W81-67
18/10/26ABrahe W86-53
10/10/26AHogsbo W78-67
04/10/26HAIK Basket W87-76
21/03/26HLund W73-85
05/03/26AUppsala W42-74
01/03/26AHogsbo W61-94
21/02/26HNorrkoping W58-91
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBrahe W72-67
30/10/26ALulea W43-108
24/10/26HVisby W66-94
18/10/26ANorrkoping W64-76
10/10/26HAlvik W67-78
03/10/26AOnsala W50-94
30/03/26ASodertalje W57-91
28/03/26HSodertalje W97-101 OT
21/03/26AMalbas Malmo W66-71
07/03/26ABrahe W106-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvik W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game80.283.578.5
Allowed / game69.274.566.5
Point differential+11.0+9.0+12.0
Avg total149.3158.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game60.368.352.3
Allowed / game86.279.792.7
Point differential-25.8-11.3-40.3
Avg total146.5148.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W65183%97.556.2+41.3
2 Onsala W65183%88.264.0+24.2
3 Norrkoping W65183%76.563.5+13.0
4 Alvik W65183%80.269.2+11.0
5 Sodertalje W65183%73.066.5+6.5
6 Ostersund W64267%79.877.5+2.3
7 Uppsala W63350%76.271.0+5.2
8 Visby W62433%71.375.7-4.3
9 AIK Basket W61517%64.084.2-20.2
10 Hogsbo W61517%60.386.2-25.8
11 Lund W6060%59.578.3-18.8
12 Brahe W6060%57.591.8-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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