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Aomori vs Kagoshima Rebnise Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 65-96
15-28 19-19 13-17 18-32
Position#12
Record8-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#4
Record12-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game79.0
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aomori v Kagoshima Rebnise
08 Dec 2024
AOMO65
KAGO96
07 Dec 2024
AOMO82
KAGO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kagoshima Rebnise winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#13
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 76
A03/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
66avg 76
H09/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
57avg 76
H10/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
81-75 OT
81
75
+6
69avg 76
H16/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
80-112
80
112
-32
73avg 76
H17/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
88-103
88
103
-15
76avg 76
A23/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
77-111
77
111
-34
66avg 76
A24/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
56-77
56
77
-21
48avg 76
A29/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
66avg 76
A30/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 76
H07/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
23-17
14-20
27-24
27-15
22-24
20-13
13-22
15-21
13-20
20-21
21-17
18-14
14-15
24-18
12-21
6-27
22-37
31-27
21-21
28-25
17-29
16-21
27-28
13-29
19-33
19-27
26-22
20-15
11-21
13-26
12-15
25-21
21-32
15-18
19-23
26-17
23-19
14-24
19-15
166.2Avg total
78.0Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.887.0165.8-8.240%
Season at home (10)78.984.9163.8-6.050%
Season away (10)78.789.2167.9-10.530%
Last 10 (10)78.088.2166.2-10.240%
Last 5 (5)76.692.0168.6-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.187.7166.8-8.538%
vs Similar (9)87.890.3178.1-2.633%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kagoshima RebniseJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRebnise
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
L
64-90
64
90
-26
50avg 72
H03/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
65-87
65
87
-22
49avg 72
A09/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 72
A10/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
78-56
78
56
+22
69avg 72
A16/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
75-66
75
66
+9
70avg 72
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
63avg 72
H23/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
56avg 72
H24/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
96-71
96
71
+25
96avg 72
H30/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
89-76
89
76
+13
86avg 72
H01/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 72
A07/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-32
28-22
14-17
13-19
11-26
24-18
18-24
12-19
21-27
24-17
18-24
15-18
17-19
20-14
23-10
18-13
18-19
24-15
16-10
17-22
14-20
20-19
20-17
23-30
26-19
17-27
15-17
13-21
22-26
22-16
30-15
22-14
20-22
15-23
25-14
29-17
17-26
19-23
24-14
15-19
155.2Avg total
76.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.479.0159.4+1.460%
Season at home (10)81.981.0162.9+0.960%
Season away (10)78.977.0155.9+1.960%
Last 10 (10)76.878.4155.2-1.640%
Last 5 (5)81.679.8161.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.381.7156.0-7.333%
vs Similar (6)79.084.3163.3-5.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.073.0159.0+13.088%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
AomoriKagoshima Rebnise
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A03/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H09/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H10/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H16/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
28-64
28
64
-36
H17/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A23/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-62
32
62
-30
A24/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A29/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A30/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H07/12
B2.League
83.6Avg total
38.4Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.985.7-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.741.483.1+0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)41.845.987.6-4.135%-
Last 10 (10)38.445.283.6-6.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.648.288.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.444.484.9-4.038%-
vs Similar (9)44.842.887.6+2.056%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kagoshima RebniseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H03/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A09/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A10/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A16/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H23/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H24/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H01/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/12
B2.League
81.8Avg total
38.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)39.942.482.2-2.545%-
Last 30 at home (10)39.745.084.7-5.330%-
Last 30 away (10)40.139.779.8+0.460%-
Last 10 (10)38.843.081.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.444.282.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.541.281.7-0.750%-
vs Similar (6)38.047.885.8-9.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.939.180.0+1.875%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.1
50.0%
51.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.1
33.3%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.711.8
66.7%
70.7%11.8
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kagoshima Rebnisetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kagoshima Rebnise: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.116.8
45.3%
51.0%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.6
34.2%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.813.9
73.9%
70.7%13.9
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
WLLLLLWLWW
Kagoshima Rebnise
LWWLLWWLLL
#12
League position
#4
-12.4
Net rating
-2.5
97.1
Offensive rating
105.6
109.5
Defensive rating
108.1
50.0%
Effective FG%
47.9%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
34.2%
70.9%
Assist %
61.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 105.6Defence109.5 · 108.1Shooting50.0% · 47.9%3-point %33.3% · 34.2%Ball care19.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds22.7% · 32.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Aomori   ■ Kagoshima Rebnise
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aomori wins
0
Kagoshima Rebnise wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Aomori v Kagoshima Rebnise82-75
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HKagoshima Rebnise82-75
30/11/24AFukuoka80-94
29/11/24AFukuoka56-77
24/11/24AAltiri Chiba77-111
23/11/24AAltiri Chiba88-103
17/11/24HShinshu80-112
16/11/24HShinshu81-75 OT
10/11/24HShizuoka69-79
09/11/24HShizuoka82-74
03/11/24AFukushima85-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AAomori75-82
01/12/24HYamagata Wyverns89-76
30/11/24HYamagata Wyverns96-71
24/11/24HFukuoka71-84
23/11/24HFukuoka77-86
17/11/24ANara75-66
16/11/24ANara78-56
10/11/24AAltiri Chiba78-86
09/11/24AAltiri Chiba65-87
03/11/24HToyama64-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%50%30%
Points / game78.878.978.7
Allowed / game87.084.989.2
Point differential-8.2-6.0-10.5
Avg total165.8163.8167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Kagoshima Rebnise
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL60%
HomeLLLWW60%
AwayLLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game80.481.978.9
Allowed / game79.081.077.0
Point differential+1.4+0.9+1.9
Avg total159.4162.9155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2120195%92.775.8+16.9
2 Toyama2116576%87.678.2+9.4
3 Shinshu2115671%88.874.7+14.1
4 Fukuoka2115671%84.574.6+9.9
5 Fukui2115671%83.077.5+5.4
6 Kagoshima Rebnise2012860%80.479.0+1.4
7 Shizuoka21111052%75.675.5+0.1
8 Nara2191243%76.578.2-1.7
9 Kobe2191243%83.285.9-2.7
10 Aomori2081240%78.887.0-8.2
11 Yamagata Wyverns2181338%80.084.1-4.1
12 Fukushima2141719%73.082.4-9.4
13 Kumamoto2131814%74.687.0-12.5
14 Ehime Orange Vikings211205%73.992.9-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori1519131865
Kagoshima Rebnise2819173296
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