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Kumamoto vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 73-77
8-22 19-20 19-17 27-18
Position#8
Record3-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Aomori 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record8-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game87.5
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kumamoto v Aomori
15 Dec 2024
KUMA88
AOMO87
14 Dec 2024
KUMA73
AOMO77
26 Nov 2023
KUMA95
AOMO88
25 Nov 2023
KUMA89
AOMO100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
L
73-92
73
92
-19
65avg 74
A09/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
78-94
78
94
-16
66avg 74
A10/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
71avg 74
A16/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
84-100
84
100
-16
74avg 74
A17/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
42avg 74
H25/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
63avg 74
H26/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
74-88
74
88
-14
63avg 74
A30/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 74
A01/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
67-85
67
85
-18
60avg 74
A07/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
77-104
77
104
-27
73avg 74
A08/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
21-23
13-19
21-24
17-27
24-20
19-25
18-22
17-14
18-16
23-27
16-17
24-30
23-21
20-28
17-21
11-10
17-13
19-19
4-18
15-17
18-23
28-18
13-13
28-17
8-26
21-28
17-17
15-23
25-11
12-12
21-23
20-23
14-23
17-15
16-24
23-28
12-25
21-26
21-25
157.9Avg total
73.1Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.687.0161.6-12.514%
Season at home (9)76.184.7160.8-8.622%
Season away (12)73.488.8162.2-15.48%
Last 10 (10)73.184.8157.9-11.720%
Last 5 (5)73.083.4156.4-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.897.2170.0-24.50%
vs Similar (21)78.386.6164.9-8.314%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)95.083.0178.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
66avg 75
H09/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
57avg 75
H10/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
81-75 OT
81
75
+6
69avg 75
H16/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
80-112
80
112
-32
73avg 75
H17/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
88-103
88
103
-15
76avg 75
A23/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
77-111
77
111
-34
66avg 75
A24/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
56-77
56
77
-21
48avg 75
A29/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
66avg 75
A30/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 75
H07/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
65-96
65
96
-31
47avg 75
H08/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
22-24
20-13
13-22
15-21
13-20
20-21
21-17
18-14
14-15
24-18
12-21
6-27
22-37
31-27
21-21
28-25
17-29
16-21
27-28
13-29
19-33
19-27
26-22
20-15
11-21
13-26
12-15
25-21
21-32
15-18
19-23
26-17
23-19
14-24
19-15
15-28
19-19
13-17
18-32
165.6Avg total
76.0Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.187.5165.6-9.338%
Season at home (11)77.685.9163.5-8.345%
Season away (10)78.789.2167.9-10.530%
Last 10 (10)76.089.6165.6-13.630%
Last 5 (5)72.090.6162.6-18.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.588.0166.5-9.536%
vs Similar (8)86.590.5177.0-4.025%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
KumamotoAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A09/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A10/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A16/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A17/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H25/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H26/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A30/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A01/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A07/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A08/12
B2.League
78.4Avg total
36.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.046.285.3-7.223%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.646.186.7-5.538%-
Last 30 away (17)37.846.484.2-8.512%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.678.4-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.643.278.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.153.889.9-17.60%-
vs Similar (21)39.743.583.1-3.829%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)49.044.093.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H09/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H10/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H16/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
28-64
28
64
-36
H17/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A23/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-62
32
62
-30
A24/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A29/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A30/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H07/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H08/12
B2.League
83.5Avg total
37.4Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.244.485.6-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.542.582.9-2.046%-
Last 30 away (17)41.845.987.6-4.135%-
Last 10 (10)37.446.183.5-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.446.885.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.144.584.7-4.436%-
vs Similar (8)44.144.088.1+0.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.921.0
47.8%
51.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.6
30.4%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws13.09.2
70.8%
70.7%9.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.1
48.9%
51.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.3
32.4%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.611.5
65.3%
70.7%11.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LLWLWLLLLL
Aomori
LWLLLLLWLW
#8
League position
#12
-19.4
Net rating
-16.1
96.3
Offensive rating
95.0
115.7
Defensive rating
111.1
47.1%
Effective FG%
48.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.4%
3-point %
32.4%
64.9%
Assist %
70.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 95.0Defence115.7 · 111.1Shooting47.1% · 48.8%3-point %30.4% · 32.4%Ball care19.0% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.3% · 21.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kumamoto wins
3
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
31/03/24Aomori v Kumamoto98-89
30/03/24Aomori v Kumamoto90-73
26/11/23Kumamoto v Aomori95-88
25/11/23Kumamoto v Aomori89-100
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AToyama77-104
07/12/24AToyama67-85
01/12/24ANara73-69
30/11/24ANara74-88
26/11/24HShizuoka74-71
25/11/24HShizuoka51-60
17/11/24AYamagata Wyverns84-100
16/11/24AYamagata Wyverns80-85 OT
10/11/24AKobe78-94
09/11/24AKobe73-92
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HKagoshima Rebnise65-96
07/12/24HKagoshima Rebnise82-75
30/11/24AFukuoka80-94
29/11/24AFukuoka56-77
24/11/24AAltiri Chiba77-111
23/11/24AAltiri Chiba88-103
17/11/24HShinshu80-112
16/11/24HShinshu81-75 OT
10/11/24HShizuoka69-79
09/11/24HShizuoka82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL14%
HomeWLLLW22%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %14%22%8%
Points / game74.676.173.4
Allowed / game87.084.788.8
Point differential-12.5-8.6-15.4
Avg total161.6160.8162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLWLWL45%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%45%30%
Points / game78.177.678.7
Allowed / game87.585.989.2
Point differential-9.3-8.3-10.5
Avg total165.6163.5167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2120195%92.775.8+16.9
2 Toyama2116576%87.678.2+9.4
3 Shinshu2115671%88.874.7+14.1
4 Fukuoka2115671%84.574.6+9.9
5 Fukui2115671%83.077.5+5.4
6 Kagoshima Rebnise2113862%81.178.3+2.8
7 Shizuoka21111052%75.675.5+0.1
8 Nara2191243%76.578.2-1.7
9 Kobe2191243%83.285.9-2.7
10 Yamagata Wyverns2181338%80.084.1-4.1
11 Aomori2181338%78.187.5-9.3
12 Fukushima2141719%73.082.4-9.4
13 Kumamoto2131814%74.687.0-12.5
14 Ehime Orange Vikings211205%73.992.9-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto819192773
Aomori2220171877
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