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Kumamoto vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 89-100
17-31 31-20 21-24 20-25
Position#5
Record9-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Aomori 🏆
Japan
Position#8
Record9-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game85.5
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Aomori
15 Dec 2024
KUMA88
AOMO87
14 Dec 2024
KUMA73
AOMO77
26 Nov 2023
KUMA95
AOMO88
25 Nov 2023
KUMA89
AOMO100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
77-78
77
78
-1
73avg 76
A22/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
64-62
64
62
+2
52avg 76
H25/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 76
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
78-71
78
71
+7
79avg 76
H29/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
103-73
103
73
+30
102avg 76
H04/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
97-89
97
89
+8
95avg 76
H05/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
67-90
67
90
-23
49avg 76
A11/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
59-95
59
95
-36
37avg 76
A12/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
99-75
99
75
+24
98avg 76
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
81avg 76
A18/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-13
18-25
29-19
20-21
17-12
20-15
16-17
11-18
16-21
24-16
20-18
18-15
20-17
17-19
23-14
18-21
27-14
21-18
35-21
20-20
29-18
29-19
20-25
19-27
13-27
19-34
19-15
16-14
22-28
9-24
15-20
13-23
27-16
19-18
28-17
25-24
23-24
21-15
14-21
25-31
159.9Avg total
80.5Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.781.2163.9+1.560%
Season at home (7)85.378.6163.9+6.786%
Season away (8)80.483.5163.9-3.138%
Last 10 (10)80.579.4159.9+1.160%
Last 5 (5)81.088.0169.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)69.585.4154.9-15.97%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.376.5159.8+6.869%
vs Weaker (1)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
W
85-80
85
80
+5
68avg 65
A22/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
110-112
110
112
-2
81avg 65
A25/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
63-79
63
79
-16
40avg 65
H28/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
89-74
89
74
+15
76avg 65
H29/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 65
H04/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
43avg 65
H05/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
no box
A13/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
59avg 65
A14/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
91-84
91
84
+7
82avg 65
H18/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
58avg 65
H19/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
22-20
31-21
18-20
30-31
30-19
24-39
26-23
15-23
21-24
13-17
14-15
18-12
31-24
20-26
20-12
19-18
22-22
23-18
17-20
16-29
10-13
16-27
19-18
22-21
25-32
25-12
21-28
19-23
16-16
17-17
23-15
28-18
27-25
19-26
17-15
14-22
22-24
23-22
22-26
170.4Avg total
83.8Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.785.5170.1-0.860%
Season at home (8)78.480.4158.8-2.062%
Season away (7)91.991.3183.1+0.657%
Last 10 (10)83.886.6170.4-2.850%
Last 5 (5)82.088.6170.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.785.4161.2-9.728%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.784.7171.3+2.067%
vs Weaker (3)82.761.7144.3+21.0100%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
KumamotoAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H25/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H05/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A11/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A12/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/11
B2.League
79.4Avg total
40.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.277.3-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.137.877.9+2.364%-
Last 30 away (16)36.540.476.9-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.379.4+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.686.8-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.942.077.9-6.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.935.776.6+5.269%-
vs Weaker (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A25/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H28/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H29/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H04/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H05/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A13/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A14/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H18/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H19/11
B2.League
85.6Avg total
42.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.341.880.1-3.536%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.939.377.2-1.553%-
Last 30 away (13)38.844.683.4-5.815%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.585.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.684.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.743.078.7-7.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.943.687.4+0.333%-
vs Weaker (3)35.330.065.3+5.3100%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.8
52.9%
52.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.4
34.4%
33.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.414.7
72.1%
71.0%14.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.5
55.6%
52.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.0
30.9%
33.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.513.3
68.2%
71.0%13.3
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LWLLWWWWWL
Aomori
LWWLLWWLLW
#5
League position
#8
+1.0
Net rating
-2.1
108.1
Offensive rating
109.0
107.2
Defensive rating
111.2
52.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.7%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.4%
3-point %
30.9%
69.5%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 109.0Defence107.2 · 111.2Shooting52.4% · 52.0%3-point %34.4% · 30.9%Ball care16.2% · 15.7%Off. rebounds25.6% · 30.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kumamoto wins
0
Aomori wins
No previous meetings.
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23AFukuoka83-91
17/11/23AFukuoka99-75
12/11/23AKoshigaya Alphas59-95
11/11/23AKoshigaya Alphas67-90
05/11/23HEhime Orange Vikings97-89
04/11/23HEhime Orange Vikings103-73
29/10/23HIwate78-71
28/10/23HIwate78-70
25/10/23HNara64-62
22/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings77-78
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HShiga81-94
18/11/23HShiga91-84
14/11/23AFukuoka75-71
13/11/23AFukuoka102-107 OT
05/11/23HAltiri Chiba61-87
04/11/23HAltiri Chiba81-78
29/10/23HEhime Orange Vikings89-74
28/10/23HEhime Orange Vikings63-79
25/10/23AYamagata Wyverns110-112
22/10/23AFukushima85-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL60%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%86%38%
Points / game82.785.380.4
Allowed / game81.278.683.5
Point differential+1.5+6.7-3.1
Avg total163.9163.9163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL60%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game84.778.491.9
Allowed / game85.580.491.3
Point differential-0.8-2.0+0.6
Avg total170.1158.8183.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1513287%88.877.0+11.8
2 Fukuoka1512380%80.975.1+5.8
3 Koshigaya Alphas1712571%85.773.1+12.6
4 Shiga159660%83.576.2+7.3
5 Kobe159660%78.176.3+1.9
6 Kumamoto159660%82.781.2+1.5
7 Aomori159660%84.785.5-0.8
8 Shizuoka158753%80.976.1+4.8
9 Yamagata Wyverns178947%80.084.0-4.0
10 Fukushima1551033%81.384.4-3.1
11 Ehime Orange Vikings1551033%77.384.7-7.4
12 Nara1651131%71.978.5-6.6
13 Iwate1631319%70.178.2-8.1
14 Niigata151147%68.383.9-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto1731212089
Aomori31202425100
← all games of the day
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