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Aomori vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 90-73
26-12 18-18 20-18 26-25
Position#8
Record26-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game87.1
Aomori 🏆
Japan
vs
Kumamoto
Japan
Position#5
Record32-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game84.3
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aomori v Kumamoto
02 Mar 2025
AOMO59
KUMA89
01 Mar 2025
AOMO95
KUMA99
31 Mar 2024
AOMO98
KUMA89
30 Mar 2024
AOMO90
KUMA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
93-84
93
84
+9
87avg 74
A27/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
91avg 74
H02/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
76avg 74
H03/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
93-95
93
95
-2
95avg 74
A09/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
no box
A10/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-100
95
100
-5
89avg 74
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 74
A17/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
78-96
78
96
-18
73avg 74
H23/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
56avg 74
H24/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
49avg 74
A27/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
32-23
20-22
23-17
26-18
24-23
19-22
23-21
11-23
25-19
21-15
28-25
22-23
23-25
23-22
25-25
12-26
22-17
19-8
20-22
22-21
29-24
16-27
28-28
14-21
26-20
18-17
20-27
23-33
15-23
25-22
15-18
21-21
19-17
17-17
13-25
15-27
20-23
15-18
17-23
171.2Avg total
83.5Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)84.887.1171.9-2.350%
Season at home (26)81.987.3169.2-5.346%
Season away (26)87.787.0174.7+0.854%
Last 10 (10)83.587.7171.2-4.240%
Last 5 (5)77.690.4168.0-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.296.4177.6-15.112%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.985.3169.2-1.441%
vs Weaker (5)85.678.4164.0+7.280%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-106
95
106
-11
90avg 77
A25/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
no box
H02/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
78avg 77
H03/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 77
A09/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 77
A10/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
69avg 77
A16/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
87-84
87
84
+3
86avg 77
A17/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
83-109
83
109
-26
70avg 77
H23/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
79-99
79
99
-20
67avg 77
H24/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
89-93
89
93
-4
82avg 77
H27/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
24-27
26-28
18-26
21-22
13-18
22-21
26-21
26-25
20-10
22-27
18-23
24-15
28-23
14-21
12-17
15-20
23-28
25-16
25-30
13-21
22-18
22-23
20-25
22-24
19-33
26-13
20-14
28-28
18-27
19-27
18-27
23-26
17-28
16-22
23-23
24-27
25-26
14-22
26-18
180.4Avg total
87.0Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)85.284.3169.6+0.962%
Season at home (26)89.084.0173.0+5.081%
Season away (26)81.584.7166.2-3.242%
Last 10 (10)87.093.4180.4-6.440%
Last 5 (5)83.094.4177.4-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.896.2181.0-11.422%
vs Similar ◀ (21)86.181.2167.3+4.971%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
AomoriKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A27/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H02/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H03/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A09/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A10/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H23/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H24/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A27/03
B2.League
86.8Avg total
41.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.385.3-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.945.187.0-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)42.041.583.5+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.944.986.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.086.8-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.247.689.9-5.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.842.283.0-1.441%-
vs Weaker (5)45.240.485.6+4.880%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A25/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H02/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H03/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A09/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A10/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A16/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A17/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H23/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H24/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H27/03
B2.League
90.3Avg total
43.2Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.485.2+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.941.186.9+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)40.243.683.8-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)43.247.190.3-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)42.251.693.8-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.049.492.4-6.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)42.839.482.1+3.457%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.6
53.4%
52.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.4
35.7%
33.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.012.3
68.3%
71.0%12.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.7
56.6%
52.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.8
30.6%
33.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.614.5
70.4%
71.0%14.5
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
LLLLLWLWWW
Kumamoto
LLLWLLWWWL
#8
League position
#5
-4.2
Net rating
-13.8
108.8
Offensive rating
109.0
113.0
Defensive rating
122.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.4%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
30.6%
67.1%
Assist %
66.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 109.0Defence113.0 · 122.8Shooting53.5% · 51.8%3-point %35.7% · 30.6%Ball care15.5% · 17.4%Off. rebounds24.7% · 32.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Aomori   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aomori wins
1
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Kumamoto v Aomori95-88
25/11/23Kumamoto v Aomori89-100
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24AKoshigaya Alphas67-91
24/03/24HYamagata Wyverns70-80
23/03/24HYamagata Wyverns78-96
17/03/24AAltiri Chiba78-85
16/03/24AAltiri Chiba95-100
10/03/24AIwate84-80 OT
09/03/24AIwate93-95
03/03/24HFukushima85-82
02/03/24HFukushima92-84
27/02/24ANiigata93-84
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HShiga89-93
24/03/24HAltiri Chiba79-99
23/03/24HAltiri Chiba83-109
17/03/24ANara87-84
16/03/24ANara77-87
10/03/24AYamagata Wyverns88-94
09/03/24AYamagata Wyverns78-76
03/03/24HShizuoka86-85
02/03/24HShizuoka108-101 OT
25/02/24AAltiri Chiba95-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeLWWLL46%
AwayLWLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %50%46%54%
Points / game84.881.987.7
Allowed / game87.187.387.0
Point differential-2.3-5.3+0.8
Avg total171.9169.2174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (21)83% (6)53% (15)
Overtime %10%8%12%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL62%
HomeWWLLL81%
AwayLWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %62%81%42%
Points / game85.289.081.5
Allowed / game84.384.084.7
Point differential+0.9+5.0-3.2
Avg total169.6173.0166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)83% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5248492%91.877.2+14.6
2 Shiga53381572%86.979.9+7.0
3 Fukuoka53351866%78.074.5+3.5
4 Kumamoto52322062%85.284.3+0.9
5 Koshigaya Alphas52312160%83.374.4+8.9
6 Aomori52262650%84.887.1-2.3
7 Yamagata Wyverns52262650%81.585.1-3.6
8 Kobe52252748%79.678.2+1.4
9 Shizuoka52232944%80.581.2-0.7
10 Fukushima52213140%81.084.4-3.4
11 Nara53203338%73.977.1-3.2
12 Ehime Orange Vikings53193436%79.084.3-5.3
13 Iwate52153729%71.475.8-4.4
14 Niigata5274513%73.587.1-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori2618202690
Kumamoto1218182573
← all games of the day
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