PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aomori vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 98-89
20-19 30-14 24-27 24-29
Position#8
Record27-26
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game86.8
Aomori 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#5
Record32-21
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game84.5
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aomori v Kumamoto
02 Mar 2025
AOMO59
KUMA89
01 Mar 2025
AOMO95
KUMA99
31 Mar 2024
AOMO98
KUMA89
30 Mar 2024
AOMO90
KUMA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
91avg 74
H02/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
76avg 74
H03/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
93-95
93
95
-2
95avg 74
A09/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
no box
A10/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-100
95
100
-5
89avg 74
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 74
A17/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
78-96
78
96
-18
73avg 74
H23/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
56avg 74
H24/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
49avg 74
A27/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 74
H30/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
24-23
19-22
23-21
11-23
25-19
21-15
28-25
22-23
23-25
23-22
25-25
12-26
22-17
19-8
20-22
22-21
29-24
16-27
28-28
14-21
26-20
18-17
20-27
23-33
15-23
25-22
15-18
21-21
19-17
17-17
13-25
15-27
20-23
15-18
17-23
26-12
18-18
20-18
26-25
169.8Avg total
83.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)84.986.8171.8-1.951%
Season at home (27)82.286.7169.0-4.548%
Season away (26)87.787.0174.7+0.854%
Last 10 (10)83.286.6169.8-3.440%
Last 5 (5)76.685.0161.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.296.4177.6-15.112%
vs Similar ◀ (18)84.384.6168.9-0.344%
vs Weaker (4)84.076.8160.8+7.275%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
no box
H02/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
78avg 77
H03/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 77
A09/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 77
A10/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
69avg 77
A16/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
87-84
87
84
+3
86avg 77
A17/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
83-109
83
109
-26
70avg 77
H23/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
79-99
79
99
-20
67avg 77
H24/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
89-93
89
93
-4
82avg 77
H27/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
73-90
73
90
-17
63avg 77
A30/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
13-18
22-21
26-21
26-25
20-10
22-27
18-23
24-15
28-23
14-21
12-17
15-20
23-28
25-16
25-30
13-21
22-18
22-23
20-25
22-24
19-33
26-13
20-14
28-28
18-27
19-27
18-27
23-26
17-28
16-22
23-23
24-27
25-26
14-22
26-18
12-26
18-18
18-20
25-26
176.6Avg total
84.8Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)85.084.5169.5+0.560%
Season at home (26)89.084.0173.0+5.081%
Season away (27)81.284.9166.1-3.741%
Last 10 (10)84.891.8176.6-7.040%
Last 5 (5)82.295.0177.2-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.999.0183.9-14.112%
vs Similar ◀ (22)85.581.6167.1+3.968%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
AomoriKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H02/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H03/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A09/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A10/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H23/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H24/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A27/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/03
B2.League
84.7Avg total
41.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.884.5-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.444.185.5-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)42.041.583.5+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.484.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.082.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.247.689.9-5.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.041.582.5-0.544%-
vs Weaker (4)43.839.082.8+4.875%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H02/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H03/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A09/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A10/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A16/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A17/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H23/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H24/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H27/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A30/03
B2.League
87.4Avg total
41.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.584.9-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.241.187.2+5.162%-
Last 30 away (17)39.643.683.2-4.024%-
Last 10 (10)41.146.387.4-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)41.252.693.8-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.150.593.6-7.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)42.239.681.8+2.655%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.3
52.5%
52.4%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.7
36.2%
33.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.312.7
69.4%
71.0%12.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.1
55.5%
52.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.0
30.9%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.213.1
68.2%
71.0%13.1
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
WLLLLLWLWW
Kumamoto
LLLLWLLWWW
#8
League position
#5
-3.7
Net rating
-12.6
109.6
Offensive rating
108.4
113.3
Defensive rating
121.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.2%
3-point %
30.9%
66.1%
Assist %
66.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 108.4Defence113.3 · 121.0Shooting53.2% · 51.6%3-point %36.2% · 30.9%Ball care14.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds24.9% · 31.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Aomori   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aomori wins
1
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
30/03/24Aomori v Kumamoto90-73
26/11/23Kumamoto v Aomori95-88
25/11/23Kumamoto v Aomori89-100
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HKumamoto90-73
27/03/24AKoshigaya Alphas67-91
24/03/24HYamagata Wyverns70-80
23/03/24HYamagata Wyverns78-96
17/03/24AAltiri Chiba78-85
16/03/24AAltiri Chiba95-100
10/03/24AIwate84-80 OT
09/03/24AIwate93-95
03/03/24HFukushima85-82
02/03/24HFukushima92-84
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24AAomori73-90
27/03/24HShiga89-93
24/03/24HAltiri Chiba79-99
23/03/24HAltiri Chiba83-109
17/03/24ANara87-84
16/03/24ANara77-87
10/03/24AYamagata Wyverns88-94
09/03/24AYamagata Wyverns78-76
03/03/24HShizuoka86-85
02/03/24HShizuoka108-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW51%
HomeWWLLW48%
AwayLWLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532726
Win %51%48%54%
Points / game84.982.287.7
Allowed / game86.886.787.0
Point differential-1.9-4.5+0.8
Avg total171.8169.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%11%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (21)83% (6)53% (15)
Overtime %9%7%12%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL60%
HomeWWLLL81%
AwayWLLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532627
Win %60%81%41%
Points / game85.089.081.2
Allowed / game84.584.084.9
Point differential+0.5+5.0-3.7
Avg total169.5173.0166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)83% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5349492%91.977.5+14.4
2 Shiga54391572%86.879.7+7.1
3 Fukuoka54351965%78.074.7+3.3
4 Kumamoto53322160%85.084.5+0.5
5 Koshigaya Alphas54322259%83.474.8+8.6
6 Aomori53272651%84.986.8-1.9
7 Yamagata Wyverns54272750%81.685.1-3.5
8 Kobe54262848%79.878.4+1.4
9 Shizuoka54243044%80.781.3-0.6
10 Fukushima53213240%81.284.7-3.5
11 Nara54203437%73.777.1-3.4
12 Ehime Orange Vikings54203437%79.284.2-5.0
13 Iwate54173731%71.975.5-3.6
14 Niigata5474713%73.387.0-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori2030242498
Kumamoto1914272989
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.