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Aomori vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 95-90
24-18 25-29 23-23 23-20
Position#8
Record13-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game87.0
Aomori 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#14
Record1-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game83.6
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aomori v Niigata
17 Dec 2023
AOMO92
NIIG85
16 Dec 2023
AOMO95
NIIG90
08 Feb 2015
AOMO69
NIIG73
07 Feb 2015
AOMO80
NIIG70
20 Oct 2013
AOMO57
NIIG67
19 Oct 2013
AOMO80
NIIG66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
no box
A13/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
59avg 67
A14/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
91-84
91
84
+7
82avg 67
H18/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
58avg 67
H19/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
100-89
100
89
+11
81avg 67
A25/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
88-95
88
95
-7
71avg 67
A26/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
76-100
76
100
-24
51avg 67
H02/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
63avg 67
H03/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 67
A09/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
A10/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
25-32
25-12
21-28
19-23
16-16
17-17
23-15
28-18
27-25
19-26
17-15
14-22
22-24
23-22
22-26
31-17
20-31
24-21
25-20
16-22
23-25
10-21
39-27
16-21
24-29
15-22
21-28
18-21
23-16
16-24
26-15
22-17
19-24
30-16
23-34
19-22
25-9
23-25
16-27
179.1Avg total
89.0Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.287.0173.2-0.862%
Season at home (10)78.681.9160.5-3.360%
Season away (11)93.291.6184.8+1.564%
Last 10 (10)89.090.1179.1-1.160%
Last 5 (5)88.291.2179.4-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.786.1162.7-9.433%
vs Similar (15)88.187.1175.2+0.967%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
66-82
66
82
-16
55avg 57
A11/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
56-77
56
77
-21
50avg 57
A12/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
62-76
62
76
-14
49avg 57
H20/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
77-82 OT
77
82
-5
no box
H21/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
52-81
52
81
-29
42avg 57
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
54-78
54
78
-24
36avg 57
A26/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
76-88
76
88
-12
74avg 57
H02/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 57
H03/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
67avg 57
H09/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
57avg 57
H10/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
20-20
11-18
15-16
10-21
15-20
13-22
18-14
15-15
10-27
19-19
18-15
15-23
21-21
22-10
13-17
17-20
7-23
9-15
19-23
11-19
13-15
14-31
16-13
17-27
27-25
14-16
18-20
19-18
17-22
21-20
12-20
24-27
16-20
14-19
28-24
19-19
14-18
18-22
21-21
148.0Avg total
66.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)68.083.6151.7-15.65%
Season at home (10)70.182.0152.1-11.910%
Season away (11)66.285.1151.3-18.90%
Last 10 (10)66.681.4148.0-14.80%
Last 5 (5)70.683.2153.8-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)70.983.6154.5-12.811%
vs Similar (2)91.583.0174.5+8.5100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aomori) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
AomoriNiigata
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A13/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A14/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H18/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H19/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A25/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A26/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H02/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H03/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A10/12
B2.League
86.4Avg total
42.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.643.484.0-2.836%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.841.581.4-1.746%-
Last 30 away (15)41.344.986.2-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.586.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.282.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.443.781.1-6.331%-
vs Similar (15)43.443.186.5+0.340%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A11/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A12/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H20/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H21/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A26/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H02/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H09/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H10/12
B2.League
75.5Avg total
32.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.942.076.9-7.217%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.141.977.1-6.812%-
Last 30 away (14)34.642.176.7-7.621%-
Last 10 (10)32.742.875.5-10.10%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.077.4-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)34.442.777.1-8.314%-
vs Similar (2)41.532.574.0+9.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aomori) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.1
53.0%
52.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.8
32.1%
33.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.912.8
67.7%
71.0%12.8
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 64.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.515.4
44.6%
52.4%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.2
28.9%
33.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.912.4
69.3%
71.0%12.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
WWWLLWLWWL
Niigata
LLLLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#14
-4.1
Net rating
-22.2
106.3
Offensive rating
89.3
110.5
Defensive rating
111.5
51.3%
Effective FG%
44.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
22.3%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.1%
3-point %
28.9%
68.0%
Assist %
54.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 89.3Defence110.5 · 111.5Shooting51.3% · 44.1%3-point %32.1% · 28.9%Ball care16.4% · 22.3%Off. rebounds29.2% · 29.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Aomori   ■ Niigata
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Aomori wins
5
Niigata wins
DateGameScore
19/04/15Niigata v Aomori86-49
18/04/15Niigata v Aomori78-72
08/02/15Aomori v Niigata69-73
07/02/15Aomori v Niigata80-70
13/04/14Niigata v Aomori94-76
12/04/14Niigata v Aomori72-85
20/10/13Aomori v Niigata57-67
19/10/13Aomori v Niigata80-66
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings100-94 OT
09/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings94-91
03/12/23HFukushima83-76
02/12/23HFukushima76-100
26/11/23AKumamoto88-95
25/11/23AKumamoto100-89
19/11/23HShiga81-94
18/11/23HShiga91-84
14/11/23AFukuoka75-71
13/11/23AFukuoka102-107 OT
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HKumamoto72-80
09/12/23HKumamoto82-90
03/12/23HIwate69-80
02/12/23HIwate76-88
26/11/23AAltiri Chiba54-78
25/11/23AAltiri Chiba52-81
21/11/23HNara77-82 OT
20/11/23HNara62-76
12/11/23AShiga56-77
11/11/23AShiga66-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeLWLLW60%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%60%64%
Points / game86.278.693.2
Allowed / game87.081.991.6
Point differential-0.8-3.3+1.5
Avg total173.2160.5184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (2)62% (8)
Overtime %14%10%18%
Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %5%10%0%
Points / game68.070.166.2
Allowed / game83.682.085.1
Point differential-15.6-11.9-18.9
Avg total151.7152.1151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2119290%88.075.8+12.2
2 Fukuoka2216673%80.475.1+5.3
3 Shiga2316770%86.578.0+8.5
4 Koshigaya Alphas2114767%82.871.9+10.9
5 Kumamoto2114767%83.081.1+2.0
6 Aomori2113862%86.287.0-0.8
7 Kobe23131057%81.678.6+3.0
8 Shizuoka21111052%80.076.7+3.2
9 Yamagata Wyverns2181338%80.786.2-5.5
10 Nara2281436%72.577.9-5.4
11 Fukushima2271532%80.684.1-3.5
12 Ehime Orange Vikings2261627%78.887.5-8.6
13 Iwate2151624%70.476.7-6.3
14 Niigata211205%68.083.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori2425232395
Niigata1829232090
← all games of the day
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