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Niigata vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 08:40
Final 82-90
24-27 16-20 14-19 28-24
Position#14
Record1-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#5
Record12-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game81.5
JapanB2.League· City Hall Plaza Aore Nagaoka
Other2023-24
Meetings · Niigata v Kumamoto
10 Dec 2023
NIIG72
KUMA80
09 Dec 2023
NIIG82
KUMA90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
L
81-94
81
94
-13
77avg 57
A04/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
67-85
67
85
-18
59avg 57
A05/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
66-82
66
82
-16
55avg 57
A11/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
56-77
56
77
-21
50avg 57
A12/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
62-76
62
76
-14
49avg 57
H20/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
77-82 OT
77
82
-5
no box
H21/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
52-81
52
81
-29
42avg 57
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
54-78
54
78
-24
36avg 57
A26/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
76-88
76
88
-12
74avg 57
H02/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 57
H03/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-26
22-24
24-18
12-31
18-14
20-21
17-19
20-28
20-20
11-18
15-16
10-21
15-20
13-22
18-14
15-15
10-27
19-19
18-15
15-23
21-21
22-10
13-17
17-20
7-23
9-15
19-23
11-19
13-15
14-31
16-13
17-27
27-25
14-16
18-20
19-18
17-22
21-20
12-20
148.3Avg total
66.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.183.5150.6-16.45%
Season at home (8)68.481.2149.6-12.912%
Season away (11)66.285.1151.3-18.90%
Last 10 (10)66.082.3148.3-16.30%
Last 5 (5)65.681.8147.4-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)70.983.1154.0-12.214%
vs Similar (2)91.583.0174.5+8.5100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
103-73
103
73
+30
102avg 76
H04/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
97-89
97
89
+8
95avg 76
H05/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
67-90
67
90
-23
49avg 76
A11/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
59-95
59
95
-36
37avg 76
A12/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
99-75
99
75
+24
98avg 76
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
81avg 76
A18/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 76
H25/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
91avg 76
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
69-65
69
65
+4
57avg 76
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 76
H03/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
21-18
35-21
20-20
29-18
29-19
20-25
19-27
13-27
19-34
19-15
16-14
22-28
9-24
15-20
13-23
27-16
19-18
28-17
25-24
23-24
21-15
14-21
25-31
17-31
31-20
21-24
20-25
22-16
25-23
21-10
27-39
19-16
16-12
12-23
22-14
22-23
14-20
26-19
19-16
168.6Avg total
84.2Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.881.5164.4+1.363%
Season at home (11)84.680.1164.7+4.582%
Season away (8)80.483.5163.9-3.138%
Last 10 (10)84.284.4168.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)83.484.4167.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.485.8155.2-16.47%
vs Similar (15)84.778.6163.3+6.173%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.5-7.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.5-7.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
NiigataKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A04/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A05/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A11/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A12/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H20/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H21/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A26/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H02/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/12
B2.League
76.0Avg total
31.9Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.941.876.8-6.920%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.241.576.7-6.320%-
Last 30 away (15)34.742.276.9-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)31.944.176.0-12.20%-
Last 5 (5)32.842.675.4-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)34.542.577.0-8.018%-
vs Similar (2)41.532.574.0+9.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H05/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A11/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A12/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H25/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/12
B2.League
84.1Avg total
42.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.079.1-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.838.579.2+2.365%-
Last 30 away (13)37.042.079.0-5.038%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.684.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.082.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.042.478.4-6.443%-
vs Similar (15)42.137.679.7+4.567%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 66.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.615.0
43.4%
52.4%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.1
31.9%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.111.9
69.6%
71.0%11.9
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.8
53.0%
52.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
33.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.314.9
73.4%
71.0%14.9
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niigata
LLLLLLLLLL
Kumamoto
WWWLLWLLWW
#14
League position
#5
-21.0
Net rating
-0.5
92.5
Offensive rating
108.9
113.4
Defensive rating
109.4
45.2%
Effective FG%
51.3%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
22.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.9%
3-point %
32.4%
59.7%
Assist %
64.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 108.9Defence113.4 · 109.4Shooting45.2% · 51.3%3-point %31.9% · 32.4%Ball care22.2% · 16.0%Off. rebounds32.4% · 30.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Niigata   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Niigata wins
0
Kumamoto wins
No previous meetings.
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HIwate69-80
02/12/23HIwate76-88
26/11/23AAltiri Chiba54-78
25/11/23AAltiri Chiba52-81
21/11/23HNara77-82 OT
20/11/23HNara62-76
12/11/23AShiga56-77
11/11/23AShiga66-82
05/11/23AFukushima67-85
04/11/23AFukushima81-94
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HShizuoka81-78
02/12/23HShizuoka69-65
26/11/23HAomori95-88
25/11/23HAomori89-100
18/11/23AFukuoka83-91
17/11/23AFukuoka99-75
12/11/23AKoshigaya Alphas59-95
11/11/23AKoshigaya Alphas67-90
05/11/23HEhime Orange Vikings97-89
04/11/23HEhime Orange Vikings103-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %5%12%0%
Points / game67.168.466.2
Allowed / game83.581.285.1
Point differential-16.4-12.9-18.9
Avg total150.6149.6151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%12%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW63%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %63%82%38%
Points / game82.884.680.4
Allowed / game81.580.183.5
Point differential+1.3+4.5-3.1
Avg total164.4164.7163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%9%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2018290%87.575.2+12.2
2 Fukuoka2015575%79.273.7+5.5
3 Shiga2014670%85.176.0+9.1
4 Koshigaya Alphas2013765%83.272.2+11.0
5 Kumamoto1912763%82.881.5+1.3
6 Kobe2012860%79.876.5+3.4
7 Aomori2012860%85.586.7-1.1
8 Shizuoka2011955%80.176.1+4.0
9 Yamagata Wyverns2081240%80.485.5-5.1
10 Nara2071335%71.577.5-6.0
11 Fukushima2061430%81.084.0-3.1
12 Iwate2051525%70.776.8-6.2
13 Ehime Orange Vikings2051525%77.086.5-9.6
14 Niigata191185%67.183.5-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niigata2416142882
Kumamoto2720192490
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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