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Aomori vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 69-79
15-21 13-20 20-21 21-17
Position#12
Record6-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#6
Record7-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game76.3
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aomori v Shizuoka
10 Nov 2024
AOMO69
SHIZ79
09 Nov 2024
AOMO82
SHIZ74
28 Jan 2024
AOMO93
SHIZ81
27 Jan 2024
AOMO82
SHIZ86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
65avg 76
H12/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
56-95
56
95
-39
37avg 76
H13/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
52avg 76
A19/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
64avg 76
A20/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
71avg 76
H23/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
83-90
83
90
-7
68avg 76
H26/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
103-76
103
76
+27
107avg 76
H27/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 76
A02/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 76
A03/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
66avg 76
H09/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
22-22
10-26
17-29
15-26
17-19
8-24
16-26
12-20
17-19
8-19
29-16
13-19
15-28
23-24
22-18
27-22
11-7
21-18
19-29
18-17
13-28
19-22
33-23
32-19
31-16
22-18
18-23
21-21
19-16
14-22
21-28
21-21
23-17
14-20
27-24
27-15
22-24
20-13
13-22
161.6Avg total
77.6Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.284.6164.8-4.350%
Season at home (6)79.584.7164.2-5.250%
Season away (6)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)77.684.0161.6-6.440%
Last 5 (5)85.681.8167.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)80.686.9167.5-6.438%
vs Similar (14)86.188.4174.4-2.336%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
64avg 75
A12/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
55-73
55
73
-18
41avg 75
A13/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
81-62
81
62
+19
83avg 75
H19/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
79-81
79
81
-2
74avg 75
H20/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
76-60
76
60
+16
73avg 75
A23/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 75
H26/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
81avg 75
H27/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
63-87
63
87
-24
53avg 75
H02/11
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
92-86
92
86
+6
93avg 75
H03/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
74-82
74
82
-8
70avg 75
A09/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
17-31
20-14
21-20
16-23
10-17
16-18
13-15
24-17
21-18
20-11
16-16
16-16
22-22
18-19
23-24
16-21
20-9
24-14
16-16
28-16
16-22
18-17
27-20
15-19
22-17
20-24
25-15
15-19
14-20
19-28
15-20
26-18
19-22
18-17
29-29
15-27
24-22
13-20
22-13
153.7Avg total
76.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.376.3153.7+1.058%
Season at home (6)81.077.7158.7+3.367%
Season away (6)73.775.0148.7-1.350%
Last 10 (10)76.577.2153.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)80.081.0161.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.082.4158.4-6.433%
vs Similar (20)81.576.4157.9+5.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
AomoriShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H12/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H13/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A19/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A20/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H26/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H27/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A02/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A03/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H09/11
B2.League
79.8Avg total
40.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.186.1-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.941.084.9+2.958%-
Last 30 away (18)42.344.686.8-2.339%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.679.8+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.884.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)42.843.486.1-0.644%-
vs Similar (14)43.142.986.0+0.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A12/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A13/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H19/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H20/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A23/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H02/11
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H03/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A09/11
B2.League
77.4Avg total
37.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.079.2-0.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.539.079.5+1.569%-
Last 30 away (17)38.240.878.9-2.653%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.277.4-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.479.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.943.180.0-6.233%-
vs Similar (20)40.238.178.3+2.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)39.049.088.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.6
49.8%
51.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.5
30.6%
32.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.210.3
63.6%
70.7%10.3
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.6
49.9%
51.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.7
31.9%
32.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.214.7
69.3%
70.7%14.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
WWLWLWLLLL
Shizuoka
LWLWWWLWLL
#12
League position
#6
-8.2
Net rating
-0.4
98.8
Offensive rating
100.4
107.0
Defensive rating
100.8
48.2%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
19.5%
Turnover %
22.5%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.6%
3-point %
31.9%
66.0%
Assist %
66.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 100.4Defence107.0 · 100.8Shooting48.2% · 49.2%3-point %30.6% · 31.9%Ball care19.5% · 22.5%Off. rebounds32.0% · 34.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Aomori   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Aomori wins
2
Shizuoka wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Aomori v Shizuoka82-74
07/04/24Shizuoka v Aomori79-96
06/04/24Shizuoka v Aomori108-93
28/01/24Aomori v Shizuoka93-81
27/01/24Aomori v Shizuoka82-86
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HShizuoka82-74
03/11/24AFukushima85-82
02/11/24AFukushima75-87
27/10/24HYamagata Wyverns103-76
26/10/24HYamagata Wyverns83-90
23/10/24HFukui78-76
20/10/24AShinshu73-89
19/10/24AShinshu66-74
13/10/24HToyama56-95
12/10/24HToyama75-97
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24AAomori74-82
03/11/24HFukui92-86
02/11/24HFukui63-87
27/10/24HKumamoto82-75
26/10/24HKumamoto89-75
23/10/24AKobe76-60
20/10/24HKagoshima Rebnise79-81
19/10/24HKagoshima Rebnise81-62
13/10/24AAltiri Chiba55-73
12/10/24AAltiri Chiba74-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.279.581.0
Allowed / game84.684.784.5
Point differential-4.3-5.2-3.5
Avg total164.8164.2165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL58%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game77.381.073.7
Allowed / game76.377.775.0
Point differential+1.0+3.3-1.3
Avg total153.7158.7148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba13130100%90.475.9+14.5
2 Shinshu139469%85.576.4+9.2
3 Fukui117464%81.476.4+5.0
4 Toyama138562%85.780.4+5.3
5 Kagoshima Rebnise138562%80.581.5-0.9
6 Shizuoka127558%77.376.3+1.0
7 Kobe126650%83.381.9+1.4
8 Aomori126650%80.284.6-4.3
9 Fukuoka115645%80.477.5+2.8
10 Nara125742%80.280.4-0.2
11 Yamagata Wyverns114736%79.783.8-4.1
12 Fukushima124833%77.683.7-6.1
13 Ehime Orange Vikings111109%75.388.3-13.0
14 Kumamoto121118%75.789.3-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori1513202169
Shizuoka2120211779
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