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Shizuoka vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 89-75
28-16 16-22 18-17 27-20
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#8
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game90.0
JapanB2.League· Numazu City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shizuoka v Kumamoto
26 Mar 2025
SHIZ86
KUMA78
27 Oct 2024
SHIZ82
KUMA75
26 Oct 2024
SHIZ89
KUMA75
04 Feb 2024
SHIZ83
KUMA100
03 Feb 2024
SHIZ80
KUMA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shizuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
75-68
75
68
+7
76avg 75
A21/04
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
A03/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
76-93
76
93
-17
no box
A04/05
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
83-78 OT
83
78
+5
82avg 75
A05/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 75
A06/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
64avg 75
A12/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
55-73
55
73
-18
41avg 75
A13/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
81-62
81
62
+19
83avg 75
H19/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
79-81
79
81
-2
74avg 75
H20/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
76-60
76
60
+16
73avg 75
A23/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
26-18
13-12
18-21
17-25
29-18
16-28
16-20
17-24
22-23
17-27
20-19
15-18
27-17
12-17
16-18
23-18
16-18
23-17
18-13
16-26
17-31
20-14
21-20
16-23
10-17
16-18
13-15
24-17
21-18
20-11
16-16
16-16
22-22
18-19
23-24
16-21
20-9
24-14
16-16
152.0Avg total
75.7Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.473.0148.4+2.457%
Season at home (2)80.071.5151.5+8.550%
Season away (5)73.673.6147.2+0.060%
Last 10 (10)75.776.3152.0-0.650%
Last 5 (5)73.073.4146.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.082.4158.4-6.433%
vs Similar ◀ (21)84.078.1162.2+5.967%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
82avg 76
A21/04
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
no box
A03/05
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
80-108
80
108
-28
no box
A04/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
66avg 76
H05/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
85-107
85
107
-22
69avg 76
H06/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
52avg 76
A12/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
60-88
60
88
-28
42avg 76
A13/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
75avg 76
H19/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
64-78
64
78
-14
48avg 76
H20/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
95-83
95
83
+12
93avg 76
H23/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
18-27
17-19
23-22
16-28
25-28
13-22
16-22
17-30
13-28
24-21
26-29
21-27
20-27
22-24
15-18
26-34
12-32
22-24
25-17
24-23
12-30
8-24
21-13
17-22
17-22
10-24
16-20
24-27
24-19
24-17
9-25
14-20
14-21
15-17
21-20
27-19
22-25
24-13
22-26
168.3Avg total
76.1Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.490.0165.4-14.614%
Season at home (5)80.690.4171.0-9.820%
Season away (2)62.589.0151.5-26.50%
Last 10 (10)76.192.2168.3-16.110%
Last 5 (5)73.085.4158.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.999.5177.4-21.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)85.088.8173.8-3.839%
vs Weaker (1)95.083.0178.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -8.2-8.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -8.2-8.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
ShizuokaKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A21/04
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A03/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/05
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A05/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A06/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A12/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A13/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H19/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H20/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A23/10
B2.League
78.4Avg total
38.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.779.8+0.463%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.639.280.8+2.573%-
Last 30 away (19)39.240.079.2-0.858%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.678.4-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.075.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.943.180.0-6.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)41.438.279.7+3.276%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/04
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A03/05
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A04/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H05/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
38-66
38
66
-28
H06/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A12/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A13/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H19/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H20/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H23/10
B2.League
89.3Avg total
38.8Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.147.888.9-6.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.947.189.9-4.238%-
Last 30 away (14)39.148.687.7-9.67%-
Last 10 (10)38.850.589.3-11.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.684.6-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.454.094.4-13.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.144.285.3-3.133%-
vs Weaker (1)49.044.093.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.7
50.3%
51.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.5
32.3%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.413.4
69.1%
70.7%13.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.2
51.7%
51.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.7%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws13.79.3
67.9%
70.7%9.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shizuoka
WLWLLWWLLW
Kumamoto
WLLLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#8
+4.8
Net rating
-13.3
102.8
Offensive rating
105.1
98.1
Defensive rating
118.4
49.6%
Effective FG%
52.4%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
19.4%
Turnover %
17.7%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.3%
3-point %
35.7%
66.9%
Assist %
60.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 105.1Defence98.1 · 118.4Shooting49.6% · 52.4%3-point %32.3% · 35.7%Ball care19.4% · 17.7%Off. rebounds32.3% · 28.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Shizuoka   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shizuoka wins
5
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka86-85
02/03/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka108-101 OT
04/02/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto83-100
03/02/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto80-72
03/12/23Kumamoto v Shizuoka81-78
02/12/23Kumamoto v Shizuoka69-65
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24AKobe76-60
20/10/24HKagoshima Rebnise79-81
19/10/24HKagoshima Rebnise81-62
13/10/24AAltiri Chiba55-73
12/10/24AAltiri Chiba74-91
06/10/24AYamagata Wyverns80-66
05/10/24AYamagata Wyverns83-78 OT
04/05/24AAltiri Chiba76-93
03/05/24AAltiri Chiba78-91
21/04/24AFukuoka75-68
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24HEhime Orange Vikings95-83
20/10/24HKobe64-78
19/10/24HKobe81-88
13/10/24AFukuoka60-88
12/10/24AFukuoka65-90
06/10/24HAltiri Chiba85-107
05/10/24HAltiri Chiba78-96
04/05/24AKoshigaya Alphas80-108
03/05/24AKoshigaya Alphas70-100
21/04/24AKobe83-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shizuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %57%50%60%
Points / game75.480.073.6
Allowed / game73.071.573.6
Point differential+2.4+8.5+0.0
Avg total148.4151.5147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%20%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %14%20%0%
Points / game75.480.662.5
Allowed / game90.090.489.0
Point differential-14.6-9.8-26.5
Avg total165.4171.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba880100%91.075.9+15.1
2 Kagoshima Rebnise87188%85.481.0+4.4
3 Shinshu86275%87.677.1+10.5
4 Toyama85362%89.983.1+6.8
5 Kobe85362%85.681.1+4.5
6 Fukui85362%81.477.0+4.4
7 Shizuoka74357%75.473.0+2.4
8 Yamagata Wyverns83538%81.481.6-0.2
9 Aomori83538%77.287.0-9.8
10 Fukuoka72529%79.078.4+0.6
11 Nara72529%82.183.9-1.7
12 Fukushima82625%75.885.8-10.0
13 Kumamoto71614%75.490.0-14.6
14 Ehime Orange Vikings81712%74.588.5-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shizuoka2816182789
Kumamoto1622172075
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