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Aomori vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 93-81
21-14 23-18 23-27 26-22
Position#8
Record17-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game87.0
Aomori 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#9
Record15-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.0
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aomori v Shizuoka
10 Nov 2024
AOMO69
SHIZ79
09 Nov 2024
AOMO82
SHIZ74
28 Jan 2024
AOMO93
SHIZ81
27 Jan 2024
AOMO82
SHIZ86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
93-99
93
99
-6
92avg 71
H20/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 71
A23/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 71
A24/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
73-75
73
75
-2
72avg 71
A30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 71
A31/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
72-100
72
100
-28
50avg 71
H06/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
62-90
62
90
-28
42avg 71
H07/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
84avg 71
A20/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 71
A21/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 71
H27/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
18-22
25-25
29-24
17-16
18-26
18-22
29-26
20-16
17-20
25-19
13-21
26-22
16-23
15-10
16-20
19-13
16-20
22-19
28-28
13-29
19-27
19-21
21-23
14-21
20-22
10-27
18-20
24-24
23-19
21-22
17-28
27-26
19-19
23-24
22-12
23-25
19-21
21-24
19-16
167.0Avg total
80.0Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)84.887.0171.8-2.252%
Season at home (16)80.185.6165.7-5.450%
Season away (17)89.288.4177.6+0.853%
Last 10 (10)80.087.0167.0-7.020%
Last 5 (5)78.490.0168.4-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.687.1162.7-11.643%
vs Similar ◀ (19)87.888.7176.5-0.947%
vs Weaker (4)86.282.5168.8+3.875%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
96-79
96
79
+17
100avg 73
A20/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
57-76
57
76
-19
53avg 73
H23/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
90avg 73
H24/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
A29/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
74-97
74
97
-23
62avg 73
A30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
92-103 OT
92
103
-11
no box
H06/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
74-81
74
81
-7
63avg 73
H07/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
66-75
66
75
-9
57avg 73
H20/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
70avg 73
H21/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 73
A27/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-10
21-25
28-19
19-25
15-24
15-17
12-22
15-13
16-20
24-16
25-18
23-20
21-22
18-23
28-17
14-19
18-15
20-21
21-36
15-25
20-19
18-29
24-19
26-21
16-28
21-21
16-24
21-8
10-19
12-17
20-19
24-20
26-20
26-12
10-20
13-19
25-23
21-19
24-21
16-19
163.3Avg total
80.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)80.080.0160.0-0.045%
Season at home (19)80.578.8159.4+1.753%
Season away (14)79.281.6160.8-2.436%
Last 10 (10)80.083.3163.3-3.340%
Last 5 (5)78.682.4161.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.594.2174.7-13.70%
vs Similar ◀ (23)79.276.1155.3+3.157%
vs Weaker (1)72.070.0142.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
AomoriShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H20/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A24/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H06/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A20/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H27/01
B2.League
82.8Avg total
38.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.485.3-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.844.985.7-4.143%-
Last 30 away (16)42.942.185.0+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.943.982.8-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.246.686.8-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.344.081.3-6.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)43.243.386.5-0.247%-
vs Weaker (4)44.242.887.0+1.575%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A20/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H23/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H24/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A29/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H06/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H20/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H21/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A27/01
B2.League
79.1Avg total
39.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.778.3+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.937.277.1+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)39.340.479.7-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.079.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.480.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.244.285.3-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)39.537.877.3+1.752%-
vs Weaker (1)34.027.061.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.5
55.2%
52.4%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.8
30.2%
33.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.711.6
65.5%
71.0%11.6
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.2
52.5%
52.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.9
34.6%
33.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws12.89.5
74.2%
71.0%9.5
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
LWLLLWLLLL
Shizuoka
WWLLLLLWLW
#8
League position
#9
-9.5
Net rating
-7.9
101.2
Offensive rating
108.1
110.7
Defensive rating
116.0
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.20
30.2%
3-point %
34.6%
60.4%
Assist %
66.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 108.1Defence110.7 · 116.0Shooting51.8% · 52.3%3-point %30.2% · 34.6%Ball care19.0% · 15.9%Off. rebounds25.8% · 28.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Aomori   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aomori wins
1
Shizuoka wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Aomori v Shizuoka82-86
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HShizuoka82-86
21/01/24AYamagata Wyverns91-81
20/01/24AYamagata Wyverns85-93
07/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas62-90
06/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas72-100
31/12/23ANiigata85-80
30/12/23ANiigata73-75
24/12/23ANara75-76
23/12/23ANara82-90
20/12/23HYamagata Wyverns93-99
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AAomori86-82
21/01/24HNara75-71
20/01/24HNara66-75
07/01/24HYamagata Wyverns74-81
06/01/24HYamagata Wyverns92-103 OT
30/12/23AShiga74-97
29/12/23AShiga92-95 OT
24/12/23HFukuoka88-74
23/12/23HFukuoka57-76
20/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings96-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayLLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %52%50%53%
Points / game84.880.189.2
Allowed / game87.085.688.4
Point differential-2.2-5.4+0.8
Avg total171.8165.7177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%6%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)75% (4)55% (11)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW45%
HomeWLLLW53%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %45%53%36%
Points / game80.080.579.2
Allowed / game80.078.881.6
Point differential-0.0+1.7-2.4
Avg total160.0159.4160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%26%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)60% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %12%11%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3431391%88.075.2+12.8
2 Shiga3425974%88.379.9+8.4
3 Kumamoto34241071%85.281.1+4.1
4 Fukuoka34221265%78.074.8+3.2
5 Koshigaya Alphas34211362%83.274.1+9.1
6 Yamagata Wyverns34181653%82.685.3-2.7
7 Aomori33171652%84.887.0-2.2
8 Shizuoka33151845%80.080.0-0.0
9 Kobe34151944%78.478.8-0.4
10 Nara34142041%73.077.6-4.6
11 Fukushima34132138%80.884.9-4.1
12 Ehime Orange Vikings3492526%79.586.7-7.2
13 Iwate3482624%69.575.1-5.6
14 Niigata3452915%72.183.0-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori2123232693
Shizuoka1418272281
← all games of the day
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