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Aomori vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 82-86
23-25 19-21 21-24 19-16
Position#8
Record17-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#9
Record14-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.9
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aomori v Shizuoka
10 Nov 2024
AOMO69
SHIZ79
09 Nov 2024
AOMO82
SHIZ74
28 Jan 2024
AOMO93
SHIZ81
27 Jan 2024
AOMO82
SHIZ86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
92-85
92
85
+7
92avg 70
H17/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
93-99
93
99
-6
92avg 70
H20/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 70
A23/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 70
A24/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
73-75
73
75
-2
72avg 70
A30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 70
A31/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
72-100
72
100
-28
50avg 70
H06/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
62-90
62
90
-28
42avg 70
H07/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
84avg 70
A20/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 70
A21/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
25-21
18-19
23-20
21-28
18-22
25-25
29-24
17-16
18-26
18-22
29-26
20-16
17-20
25-19
13-21
26-22
16-23
15-10
16-20
19-13
16-20
22-19
28-28
13-29
19-27
19-21
21-23
14-21
20-22
10-27
18-20
24-24
23-19
21-22
17-28
27-26
19-19
23-24
22-12
167.9Avg total
81.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)84.987.1171.9-2.253%
Season at home (15)80.085.5165.5-5.553%
Season away (17)89.288.4177.6+0.853%
Last 10 (10)81.086.9167.9-5.930%
Last 5 (5)79.088.8167.8-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.088.8166.8-10.838%
vs Similar ◀ (18)88.188.8176.9-0.750%
vs Weaker (4)86.282.5168.8+3.875%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-98
78
98
-20
70avg 72
A17/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
96-79
96
79
+17
100avg 72
A20/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
57-76
57
76
-19
53avg 72
H23/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
90avg 72
H24/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
A29/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
74-97
74
97
-23
62avg 72
A30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
92-103 OT
92
103
-11
no box
H06/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
74-81
74
81
-7
63avg 72
H07/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
66-75
66
75
-9
57avg 72
H20/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
70avg 72
H21/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-37
18-21
23-17
13-23
28-10
21-25
28-19
19-25
15-24
15-17
12-22
15-13
16-20
24-16
25-18
23-20
21-22
18-23
28-17
14-19
18-15
20-21
21-36
15-25
20-19
18-29
24-19
26-21
16-28
21-21
16-24
21-8
10-19
12-17
20-19
24-20
26-20
26-12
10-20
13-19
164.1Avg total
79.2Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.879.9159.7-0.244%
Season at home (19)80.578.8159.4+1.753%
Season away (13)78.781.5160.2-2.831%
Last 10 (10)79.284.9164.1-5.730%
Last 5 (5)76.285.4161.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.594.2174.7-13.70%
vs Similar ◀ (22)78.975.9154.8+3.055%
vs Weaker (2)81.572.5154.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
AomoriShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H17/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H20/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A24/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H06/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A20/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/01
B2.League
83.7Avg total
39.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.986.0-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.744.885.5-4.246%-
Last 30 away (17)43.243.286.4+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)39.843.983.7-4.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.082.8-5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.546.184.6-7.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)43.243.286.4+0.150%-
vs Weaker (4)44.242.887.0+1.575%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A17/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A20/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H23/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H24/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A29/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H06/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H20/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H21/01
B2.League
80.3Avg total
38.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.778.5+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.737.478.1+3.359%-
Last 30 away (13)38.840.379.1-1.546%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.680.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.277.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.244.285.3-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)39.237.676.8+1.650%-
vs Weaker (2)43.534.077.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.3
54.7%
52.4%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.8
29.8%
33.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.513.0
66.7%
71.0%13.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.6
51.6%
52.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.3
36.5%
33.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws12.59.0
72.0%
71.0%9.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
WLLLWLLLLW
Shizuoka
WLLLLLWLWL
#8
League position
#9
-8.1
Net rating
-9.6
102.3
Offensive rating
107.9
110.4
Defensive rating
117.6
51.2%
Effective FG%
52.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
29.8%
3-point %
36.5%
63.8%
Assist %
65.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 107.9Defence110.4 · 117.6Shooting51.2% · 52.8%3-point %29.8% · 36.5%Ball care18.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds26.5% · 28.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Aomori   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aomori wins
0
Shizuoka wins
No previous meetings.
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AYamagata Wyverns91-81
20/01/24AYamagata Wyverns85-93
07/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas62-90
06/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas72-100
31/12/23ANiigata85-80
30/12/23ANiigata73-75
24/12/23ANara75-76
23/12/23ANara82-90
20/12/23HYamagata Wyverns93-99
17/12/23HNiigata92-85
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HNara75-71
20/01/24HNara66-75
07/01/24HYamagata Wyverns74-81
06/01/24HYamagata Wyverns92-103 OT
30/12/23AShiga74-97
29/12/23AShiga92-95 OT
24/12/23HFukuoka88-74
23/12/23HFukuoka57-76
20/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings96-79
17/12/23AAltiri Chiba78-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeWWLLL53%
AwayLLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %53%53%53%
Points / game84.980.089.2
Allowed / game87.185.588.4
Point differential-2.2-5.5+0.8
Avg total171.9165.5177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%7%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)100% (3)55% (11)
Overtime %9%7%12%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWLLLW53%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %44%53%31%
Points / game79.880.578.7
Allowed / game79.978.881.5
Point differential-0.2+1.7-2.8
Avg total159.7159.4160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%26%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %12%11%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3229391%88.775.4+13.2
2 Shiga3325876%87.879.0+8.7
3 Kumamoto32221069%84.280.8+3.5
4 Koshigaya Alphas33211264%83.873.6+10.2
5 Fukuoka33211264%77.675.1+2.5
6 Yamagata Wyverns32181456%82.484.3-1.9
7 Aomori32171553%84.987.1-2.2
8 Shizuoka32141844%79.879.9-0.2
9 Kobe32141844%79.179.6-0.5
10 Nara32141844%73.177.6-4.6
11 Fukushima33122136%80.084.3-4.3
12 Iwate3272522%69.875.6-5.8
13 Ehime Orange Vikings3272522%78.687.0-8.4
14 Niigata3252716%71.582.3-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori2319211982
Shizuoka2521241686
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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