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Appalachian State vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-80 (OT)
39-38 33-34 11-8
Position#150
Record6-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#253
Record7-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Appalachian State v Arkansas State
10 Mar 2024
APPA65
ARKA67
01 Mar 2024
APPA80
ARKA57
28 Jan 2023
APPA63
ARKA51
27 Jan 2022
APPA61
ARKA54
16 Jan 2020
APPA83
ARKA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Andrews
#429
W
90-58
90
58
+32
H04/12
NCAA
Howard
#352
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A14/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#85
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A20/12
NCAA
Troy
#304
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A21/12
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A29/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#91
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H03/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#110
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#271
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H07/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#230
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A10/01
NCAA
Texas State
#77
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-30
41-28
42-30
39-29
37-39
44-32
39-45
31-20
26-35
34-37
23-40
37-29
29-39
45-33
46-39
27-42
25-33
31-33
20-41
37-41
139.7Avg total
70.2Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)69.669.0138.6+0.650%
Season at home (5)72.267.0139.2+5.260%
Season away (7)67.770.4138.1-2.743%
Last 10 (10)70.269.5139.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)64.074.0138.0-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.076.3138.3-14.30%
vs Similar ◀ (6)68.069.5137.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (2)75.562.0137.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#82
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A12/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#271
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H19/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#317
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A21/12
NCAA
Freed-Hardeman Univ.
#362
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H28/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#230
L
52-73
52
73
-21
H03/01
NCAA
Texas State
#77
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H04/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#91
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H07/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#85
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A10/01
NCAA
Troy
#304
W
76-68 OT
76
68
+8
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-30
31-33
16-34
37-41
37-35
42-32
23-29
39-30
42-32
42-41
24-37
28-36
34-41
33-29
41-52
49-35
24-38
35-37
28-26
33-35
139.8Avg total
68.8Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)68.671.6140.2-3.058%
Season at home (8)72.973.4146.2-0.562%
Season away (4)60.068.0128.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)68.871.0139.8-2.260%
Last 5 (5)68.874.6143.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.474.1137.6-10.729%
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.866.8140.5+7.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +2.0+2.0
Appalachian StateArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Andrews
#429
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H04/12
NCAA
Howard
#352
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A14/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#85
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A20/12
NCAA
Troy
#304
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A21/12
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A29/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#91
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H03/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#110
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#271
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H07/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#230
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Texas State
#77
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A11/01
NCAA
70.7Avg total
33.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)32.435.167.5-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (5)35.433.068.4+2.460%-
Last 30 away (7)30.336.666.9-6.314%-
Last 10 (10)33.637.170.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)28.638.467.0-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)22.038.060.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.233.765.8-1.533%-
vs Weaker (2)40.537.578.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#82
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
16-34
16
34
-18
A12/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#271
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H19/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#317
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A21/12
NCAA
Freed-Hardeman Univ.
#362
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H28/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#230
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H03/01
NCAA
Texas State
#77
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#91
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H07/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#85
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A10/01
NCAA
Troy
#304
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H11/01
NCAA
65.8Avg total
30.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)29.734.764.3-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (8)32.235.667.9-3.438%-
Last 30 away (4)24.532.857.2-8.225%-
Last 10 (10)30.435.465.8-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.238.869.0-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.737.466.1-8.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)28.230.558.8-2.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Appalachian State wins
0
Arkansas State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/20ATexas State57-82
10/01/20AUT Arlington56-66
07/01/20HLouisiana Lafayette73-81
04/01/20HGeorgia Southern74-72
03/01/20HGeorgia State60-69
29/12/19ANC State60-72
21/12/19ATroy70-65
20/12/19ASouth Alabama81-71
14/12/19AHoward81-59
04/12/19HSt. Andrews90-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/20HTroy76-68 OT
10/01/20ASouth Alabama59-75
07/01/20HGeorgia State90-87
04/01/20HTexas State67-70
03/01/20HUT Arlington52-73
28/12/19HFreed-Hardeman Univ.84-73
21/12/19ALouisiana Monroe62-59
19/12/19HLouisiana Lafayette79-67
12/12/19AMissouri State53-75
07/12/19ATulsa66-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%60%43%
Points / game69.672.267.7
Allowed / game69.067.070.4
Point differential+0.6+5.2-2.7
Avg total138.6139.2138.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%62%50%
Points / game68.672.960.0
Allowed / game71.673.468.0
Point differential-3.0-0.5-8.0
Avg total140.2146.2128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia State1411379%79.669.6+9.9
2 Coastal Carolina149564%79.474.1+5.3
3 South Alabama138562%68.966.1+2.8
4 Georgia Southern138562%72.069.2+2.8
5 Arkansas State127558%68.671.6-3.0
6 Marshall137654%77.969.8+8.1
7 Texas State126650%72.766.8+5.8
8 Appalachian State126650%69.669.0+0.6
9 Troy136746%71.069.5+1.5
10 James Madison125742%75.879.2-3.3
11 Louisiana Monroe124833%65.068.5-3.5
12 Louisiana Lafayette1441029%68.674.8-6.1
13 Old Dominion113827%57.561.3-3.8
14 Southern Miss1331023%66.775.8-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Appalachian State39331183
Arkansas State3834880
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