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Appalachian State vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 65-67
29-39 36-28
Position#14
Record27-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game66.5
vs
Position#186
Record17-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game77.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Appalachian State v Arkansas State
10 Mar 2024
APPA65
ARKA67
01 Mar 2024
APPA80
ARKA57
28 Jan 2023
APPA63
ARKA51
27 Jan 2022
APPA61
ARKA54
16 Jan 2020
APPA83
ARKA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H17/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A23/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A24/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H28/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H01/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-41
39-33
26-29
30-34
46-47
44-43
31-29
42-29
37-39
48-34
36-29
46-38
23-29
42-29
51-26
38-38
43-29
37-28
41-31
35-45
151.7Avg total
80.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.966.5145.4+12.384%
Season at home (18)82.165.0147.1+17.194%
Season away (14)74.768.5143.2+6.271%
Last 10 (10)80.970.8151.7+10.190%
Last 5 (5)80.265.2145.4+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)71.663.4135.0+8.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)78.868.2147.0+10.588%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H03/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H10/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A16/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H23/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H24/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A29/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
57-37
38-43
22-35
51-42
51-39
49-48
34-41
48-30
36-31
40-42
39-28
40-43
47-36
48-42
38-31
33-29
29-43
28-37
48-33
41-29
155.6Avg total
81.7Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.377.1156.4+2.253%
Season at home (14)87.777.1164.8+10.679%
Season away (18)72.877.1149.9-4.333%
Last 10 (10)81.773.9155.6+7.880%
Last 5 (5)78.270.2148.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.079.2155.2-3.250%
vs Similar (14)79.176.4155.5+2.650%
vs Weaker (10)82.573.6156.1+8.970%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +3.1+3.1
Appalachian StateArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H17/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A23/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A24/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H28/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H09/03
NCAA
69.8Avg total
36.9Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.931.468.3+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.131.571.5+8.676%-
Last 30 away (13)32.731.464.1+1.354%-
Last 10 (10)36.932.969.8+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.828.867.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.628.259.8+3.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.032.669.7+4.462%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H03/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H10/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H23/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H24/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A29/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H09/03
NCAA
75.5Avg total
40.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.075.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.936.680.4+7.371%-
Last 30 away (16)35.635.571.1+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)40.135.475.5+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.274.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.839.273.0-5.333%-
vs Similar (14)38.937.776.6+1.157%-
vs Weaker (10)43.731.775.4+12.090%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Appalachian State wins
1
Arkansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HGeorgia Southern85-80 OT
01/03/24HArkansas State80-57
28/02/24HOld Dominion89-64
24/02/24AMarshall65-58
23/02/24AOld Dominion82-67
17/02/24HLouisiana Lafayette85-73
15/02/24HMarshall73-58
10/02/24HToledo109-104 OT
08/02/24ATexas State56-63
03/02/24AGeorgia Southern85-84 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HLouisiana Lafayette89-62
01/03/24AAppalachian State57-80
29/02/24ACoastal Carolina71-60
24/02/24HSouth Alabama95-78
23/02/24HTroy79-71
17/02/24ASouth Alabama76-73
16/02/24ATroy82-71
10/02/24HOhio100-87
08/02/24HJames Madison73-77
03/02/24HLouisiana Monroe95-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %84%94%71%
Points / game78.982.174.7
Allowed / game66.565.068.5
Point differential+12.3+17.1+6.2
Avg total145.4147.1143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %16%11%21%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW53%
HomeLWWWW79%
AwayLWWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %53%79%33%
Points / game79.387.772.8
Allowed / game77.177.177.1
Point differential+2.2+10.6-4.3
Avg total156.4164.8149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison3229391%84.569.2+15.3
2 Appalachian State3227584%78.966.5+12.3
3 Troy32201262%79.670.7+8.9
4 Louisiana Lafayette33191458%75.971.7+4.2
5 Arkansas State32171553%79.377.1+2.2
6 Texas State34171750%69.970.0-0.1
7 Southern Miss32161650%69.971.0-1.2
8 South Alabama32161650%74.075.7-1.7
9 Georgia State31141745%76.574.8+1.6
10 Marshall33132039%73.876.7-2.9
11 Louisiana Monroe30111937%69.974.4-4.6
12 Coastal Carolina3192229%73.578.5-5.0
13 Georgia Southern3392427%73.379.2-5.9
14 Old Dominion3272522%70.977.0-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Appalachian State293665
Arkansas State392867
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