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Appalachian State vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 61-54
33-27 28-27
Position#156
Record12-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game63.3
vs
Position#101
Record13-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Appalachian State v Arkansas State
10 Mar 2024
APPA65
ARKA67
01 Mar 2024
APPA80
ARKA57
28 Jan 2023
APPA63
ARKA51
27 Jan 2022
APPA61
ARKA54
16 Jan 2020
APPA83
ARKA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#12
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A17/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
50-70
50
70
-20
A22/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
55-71
55
71
-16
H30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H01/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H13/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
A15/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-50
30-42
27-35
23-35
19-43
36-28
32-38
45-31
39-28
33-36
29-30
24-38
39-32
22-28
38-35
32-35
35-27
26-33
37-29
33-33
134.2Avg total
65.0Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)67.563.3130.8+4.157%
Season at home (11)70.456.8127.2+13.573%
Season away (10)64.370.5134.8-6.240%
Last 10 (10)65.069.2134.2-4.260%
Last 5 (5)65.865.2131.0+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.271.0137.2-4.840%
vs Similar ◀ (17)63.966.8130.8-2.947%
vs Weaker (8)75.655.5131.1+20.188%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#342
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A09/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#364
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A15/12
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
68-46
68
46
+22
H19/12
NCAA
Lyon
#421
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A08/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H21/01
NCAA
Texas State
#40
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-48
46-25
33-34
49-43
28-45
34-30
34-24
34-22
45-35
43-31
27-22
47-34
30-35
43-38
42-51
48-32
26-35
49-35
32-32
35-28
145.6Avg total
76.7Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.068.9143.9+6.176%
Season at home (10)75.562.8138.3+12.790%
Season away (7)74.377.6151.9-3.357%
Last 10 (10)76.768.9145.6+7.880%
Last 5 (5)76.670.4147.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.270.6133.8-7.440%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.071.4141.4-1.438%
vs Weaker (9)78.468.7147.1+9.8100%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +11.0+11.0
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +11.0+11.0
Appalachian StateArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#12
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A17/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A22/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
19-43
19
43
-24
H30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H01/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A07/01
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A08/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H13/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A22/01
NCAA
67.9Avg total
33.2Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.131.662.7-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.029.261.2+2.854%-
Last 30 away (17)30.433.563.9-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)33.234.767.9-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.630.666.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.235.667.8-3.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)29.232.461.6-3.241%-
vs Weaker (8)34.527.562.0+7.062%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#342
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A09/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#364
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A15/12
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H19/12
NCAA
Lyon
#421
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H01/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A08/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Texas State
#40
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H22/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
33.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.966.6+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.729.564.2+5.271%-
Last 30 away (13)32.537.269.8-4.723%-
Last 10 (10)33.536.169.6-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.435.066.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.638.269.8-6.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.730.861.5-0.246%-
vs Weaker (9)37.033.870.8+3.256%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Appalachian State wins
0
Arkansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22AGeorgia Southern70-62
21/01/22AGeorgia State61-60
15/01/22ACoastal Carolina84-76 OT
13/01/22HCoastal Carolina61-60
08/01/22ATroy53-68
07/01/22ASouth Alabama72-64
01/01/22HLouisiana Monroe77-69
30/12/21HLouisiana Lafayette55-71
22/12/21ANorth Carolina50-70
17/12/21ADuke67-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22HTexas State67-60
21/01/22HUT Arlington75-70
08/01/22ALouisiana Monroe90-83
07/01/22ALouisiana Lafayette77-83 OT
01/01/22HGeorgia Southern74-56
21/12/21HLyon88-66
19/12/21HAir Force68-46
15/12/21ATexas Tech62-75
11/12/21AMiss. Valley St.82-77
09/12/21AArkansas-Pine Bluff84-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%73%40%
Points / game67.570.464.3
Allowed / game63.356.870.5
Point differential+4.1+13.5-6.2
Avg total130.8127.2134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %76%90%57%
Points / game75.075.574.3
Allowed / game68.962.877.6
Point differential+6.1+12.7-3.3
Avg total143.9138.3151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%70%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State1713476%75.068.9+6.1
2 South Alabama1914574%74.663.8+10.8
3 Texas State1712571%72.863.4+9.4
4 James Madison1712571%78.870.4+8.5
5 Troy1913668%71.564.7+6.8
6 Coastal Carolina1911858%75.866.1+9.7
7 Appalachian State2112957%67.563.3+4.1
8 Louisiana Lafayette179853%71.269.4+1.9
9 Louisiana Monroe20101050%75.275.8-0.6
10 Georgia Southern178947%70.064.7+5.3
11 Georgia State157847%73.067.3+5.7
12 Old Dominion1971237%66.567.2-0.7
13 Marshall1971237%74.776.0-1.3
14 Southern Miss1861233%63.571.2-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Appalachian State332861
Arkansas State272754
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