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Appalachian State vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 58-45
25-20 33-25
Position#203
Record9-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game65.1
vs
Position#115
Record12-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game64.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Appalachian State v Troy
31 Dec 2026
APPA v TROY
upcoming
02 Jan 2025
APPA61
TROY69
14 Jan 2023
APPA58
TROY45
17 Feb 2022
APPA61
TROY67
02 Jan 2021
APPA90
TROY59
01 Jan 2021
APPA56
TROY69
22 Feb 2020
APPA68
TROY59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#149
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A03/12
NCAA
Carlow University
#616
W
103-43
103
43
+60
H06/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A15/12
NCAA
Regent University
#636
W
100-32
100
32
+68
H17/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H21/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
53-79
53
79
-26
A30/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H05/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-31
20-40
51-24
52-19
37-31
29-36
48-17
52-15
29-27
21-34
28-35
25-44
33-30
37-46
29-28
34-34
39-24
32-38
33-33
32-34
132.3Avg total
70.3Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.865.1138.8+8.750%
Season at home (11)79.262.4141.5+16.855%
Season away (7)65.369.3134.6-4.043%
Last 10 (10)70.362.0132.3+8.340%
Last 5 (5)64.469.2133.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.564.2127.8-0.850%
vs Similar ◀ (15)63.866.0129.8-2.227%
vs Weaker (11)82.260.2142.4+22.091%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H10/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A17/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H22/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A30/12
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-41
38-37
33-29
22-31
43-30
44-34
37-37
40-34
32-41
47-41
23-26
37-38
20-22
35-30
38-32
40-39
31-27
35-27
30-27
35-26
134.3Avg total
69.4Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.464.4139.8+11.067%
Season at home (8)85.561.9147.4+23.688%
Season away (10)67.366.4133.7+0.950%
Last 10 (10)69.464.9134.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)64.858.8123.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.068.0145.0+9.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)64.967.7132.6-2.833%
vs Weaker (13)70.962.8133.7+8.285%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.9+8.91st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +3.6+3.6
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.9+8.91st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +3.6+3.6
Appalachian StateTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#149
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A03/12
NCAA
Carlow University
#616
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H06/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A15/12
NCAA
Regent University
#636
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H17/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A30/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H05/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H12/01
NCAA
64.9Avg total
36.9Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.230.264.4+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.329.463.7+4.856%-
Last 30 away (12)34.131.265.3+2.867%-
Last 10 (10)36.928.064.9+8.980%-
Last 5 (5)32.430.062.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.027.556.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.031.563.5+0.560%-
vs Weaker (11)39.129.468.5+9.764%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A06/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A30/12
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
20-22
20
22
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A13/01
NCAA
63.3Avg total
32.1Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.030.464.5+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.429.265.6+7.267%-
Last 30 away (15)31.731.763.3+0.053%-
Last 10 (10)32.131.263.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)28.426.855.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.022.053.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.831.463.2+0.350%-
vs Weaker (13)32.529.562.0+3.162%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Appalachian State wins
5
Troy wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23HGeorgia Southern65-67
08/01/23AJames Madison71-62
05/01/23HCoastal Carolina63-62
31/12/22ASouthern Miss70-76
30/12/22AMarshall53-79
21/12/22HUC Santa Barbara50-61
17/12/22HRegent University100-32
15/12/22AWake Forest66-67
06/12/22HCarlow University103-43
03/12/22ACharlotte62-71
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/23AGeorgia State65-53
07/01/23HArkansas State66-54
06/01/23HOld Dominion78-71
31/12/22ATexas State55-52
30/12/22ASouthern Miss60-64
22/12/22HMercer79-82
17/12/22ASE Louisiana77-71
10/12/22HTennessee Tech87-64
06/12/22ASan Diego State55-60
03/12/22ASiu Edwardsville72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWLWL55%
AwayLLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %50%55%43%
Points / game73.879.265.3
Allowed / game65.162.469.3
Point differential+8.7+16.8-4.0
Avg total138.8141.5134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %6%9%0%
Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %67%88%50%
Points / game75.485.567.3
Allowed / game64.461.966.4
Point differential+11.0+23.6+0.9
Avg total139.8147.4133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1915479%75.563.2+12.4
2 Marshall1814478%82.169.0+13.1
3 Louisiana Lafayette1713476%81.371.6+9.6
4 Troy1812667%75.464.4+11.0
5 James Madison1811761%85.165.3+19.8
6 Georgia Southern1811761%69.164.6+4.5
7 Old Dominion1710759%68.666.3+2.4
8 Texas State1910953%64.864.3+0.6
9 Appalachian State189950%73.865.1+8.7
10 Georgia State189950%68.264.3+3.9
11 Arkansas State1991047%65.465.3+0.1
12 Coastal Carolina178947%74.570.4+4.2
13 South Alabama178947%68.165.9+2.2
14 Louisiana Monroe1981142%70.269.1+1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Appalachian State253358
Troy202545
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