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Argentino vs Penarol Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 09 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.8
ArgentinaLiga A· El Fortín de las Morochas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Argentino v Penarol
09 Apr 2027
ARGE v PENA
upcoming
12 Jan 2026
ARGE84
PENA83
21 Oct 2024
ARGE83
PENA85
11 Nov 2023
ARGE81
PENA66
10 Dec 2022
ARGE72
PENA73
16 Apr 2022
ARGE92
PENA66
27 Sep 2021
ARGE70
PENA90
19 Mar 2021
ARGE88
PENA87
25 Mar 2020
ARGE v PENA
upcoming
31 Jan 2019
ARGE77
PENA75
14 Oct 2018
ARGE72
PENA82
18 Apr 2018
ARGE74
PENA70
13 Oct 2017
ARGE79
PENA65
08 Dec 2016
ARGE69
PENA65
27 Oct 2016
ARGE83
PENA70
25 Apr 2016
ARGE80
PENA69
19 Nov 2015
ARGE69
PENA59
07 May 2015
ARGE83
PENA84
10 Nov 2014
ARGE87
PENA81
22 Jan 2014
ARGE75
PENA78
08 Nov 2013
ARGE84
PENA75
07 Mar 2013
ARGE90
PENA86
30 Sep 2012
ARGE67
PENA75
30 Jan 2011
ARGE48
PENA76
15 Oct 2010
ARGE66
PENA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Argentino win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArgentinoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArgentino
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
W
61-53
61
53
+8
51avg 66
H10/05
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
88-77
88
77
+11
78avg 66
H13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
79-68
79
68
+11
59avg 66
H01/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
82-79
82
79
+3
70avg 66
H11/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
67avg 66
H12/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 66
H22/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 66
H24/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
L
57-75
57
75
-18
no box
A04/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
84-98
84
98
-14
no box
A06/11
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
18-23
12-8
16-9
17-25
26-20
21-14
24-18
21-17
23-20
14-22
21-9
28-24
17-16
15-16
22-23
21-19
24-18
23-29
14-21
25-24
21-19
12-17
26-22
23-20
15-26
20-14
18-18
12-23
18-15
14-22
13-15
15-20
29-30
21-23
19-25
21-21
25-22
15-14
18-12
153.8Avg total
77.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.979.5157.4-1.650%
Season at home (6)80.377.2157.5+3.267%
Season away (2)70.586.5157.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)77.276.6153.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)76.080.4156.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)76.985.9162.8-9.032%
vs Similar (4)74.877.5152.2-2.850%
vs Weaker (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 75
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 75
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
62-57
62
57
+5
54avg 75
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 75
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 75
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
95-76
95
76
+19
86avg 75
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A13/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
18-23
25-21
22-11
19-22
23-26
10-22
16-14
17-14
13-15
14-6
18-22
18-26
27-17
26-23
13-11
28-22
17-22
26-18
21-23
23-11
25-21
24-25
23-19
19-15
11-23
20-21
23-19
20-17
23-18
24-23
20-16
19-17
29-24
16-15
15-19
22-20
13-19
15-18
35-19
156.9Avg total
81.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.174.8156.9+7.488%
Season at home (2)78.566.5145.0+12.0100%
Season away (6)83.377.5160.8+5.883%
Last 10 (10)81.275.7156.9+5.580%
Last 5 (5)83.875.8159.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.581.0152.5-9.550%
vs Similar (19)82.580.7163.2+1.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.076.6158.6+5.478%
This opponent (Argentino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
ArgentinoPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArgentinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H10/05
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H01/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H11/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H12/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H24/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A04/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A06/11
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/11
Liga A
82.9Avg total
41.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.284.9-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.242.183.3-0.944%-
Last 30 away (12)39.947.387.2-7.425%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.582.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.084.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)40.444.785.2-4.332%-
vs Similar (4)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)45.040.085.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/11
Liga A
79.8Avg total
40.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.481.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.238.676.8-0.442%-
Last 30 away (18)42.143.285.3-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.279.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (19)40.342.182.4-1.737%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.439.680.0+0.967%-
This opponent (Argentino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Argentinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Argentino: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.4
47.0%
54.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
32.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.817.0
71.4%
72.7%17.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.5
68.4%
72.7%17.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Argentino
WLLLWLWWWW
Penarol
WWWLWWWWLW
#9
League position
#2
-1.2
Net rating
+4.1
108.5
Offensive rating
113.4
109.7
Defensive rating
109.3
49.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.42
35.2%
3-point %
32.3%
35.9%
Assist %
48.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 113.4Defence109.7 · 109.3Shooting49.4% · 52.9%3-point %35.2% · 32.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Argentino   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Argentino wins
6
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Penarol v Argentino69-74
13/01/26Argentino v Penarol84-83
06/02/25Penarol v Argentino94-62
22/10/24Argentino v Penarol83-85
11/05/24Penarol v Argentino84-77
12/11/23Argentino v Penarol81-66
13/01/23Penarol v Argentino92-82
11/12/22Argentino v Penarol72-73
16/04/22Argentino v Penarol92-66
05/03/22Penarol v Argentino73-71
Argentinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRegatas79-69
06/11/26AObera TC84-98
04/11/26ALa Union57-75
24/10/26HQuimsa76-78
22/10/26HBoca Juniors84-82
12/10/26HGimnasia82-87
11/10/26HSan Martin82-79
01/10/26HFerro79-68
13/05/26HAtenas88-77
10/05/26HAtenas61-53
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AFerro85-76
11/11/26APlatense79-75
03/11/26AOlimpico87-74
31/10/26AQuimsa73-78
28/10/26HSan Martin95-76
17/10/26ASan Lorenzo92-85
14/10/26ALanus84-77
30/09/26HGimnasia62-57
03/05/26HFerro68-84
01/05/26HFerro87-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Argentino
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game77.980.370.5
Allowed / game79.577.286.5
Point differential-1.6+3.2-16.0
Avg total157.4157.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %88%100%83%
Points / game82.178.583.3
Allowed / game74.866.577.5
Point differential+7.4+12.0+5.8
Avg total156.9145.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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