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Aris vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-60
18-16 17-8 12-20 22-16
Position#11
Record3-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game75.2
Aris 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record4-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game88.6
EuropeEurocupRound 11· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2023
Meetings · Aris v Lietkabelis
17 Dec 2024
ARI81
LIE66
12 Dec 2023
ARI69
LIE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#13
W
65-63
65
63
+2
57avg 65
A08/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
58avg 65
H12/11
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
65-72
65
72
-7
54avg 65
A14/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
64avg 65
A18/11
Basket League
Ulm
#9
L
88-99 OT
88
99
-11
67avg 65
H22/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 65
H25/11
Basket League
Trento
#16
L
67-69
67
69
-2
54avg 65
A29/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
79avg 65
A03/12
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
65-93
65
93
-28
54avg 65
A06/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
81-73
81
73
+8
85avg 65
H10/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
23-19
17-17
14-7
15-14
18-18
11-23
21-20
8-25
26-12
15-16
16-19
22-30
12-24
25-14
17-14
21-19
21-22
17-14
22-26
22-19
6-20
17-24
28-14
17-17
15-15
11-21
24-16
27-15
17-19
28-19
17-31
17-29
21-20
12-23
15-21
18-12
19-18
22-16
22-27
152.1Avg total
73.4Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.775.2144.9-5.530%
Season at home (4)70.277.0147.2-6.825%
Season away (6)69.374.0143.3-4.733%
Last 10 (10)73.478.7152.1-5.330%
Last 5 (5)75.079.2154.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.679.6148.3-11.09%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.777.1155.8+1.658%
vs Weaker (6)81.571.7153.2+9.867%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
81avg 77
H04/11
LKL
JL Bourg
#2
W
100-96
100
96
+4
97avg 77
H07/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
W
91-88
91
88
+3
90avg 77
A11/11
LKL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
96avg 77
H14/11
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#7
W
82-64
82
64
+18
81avg 77
A18/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
75-71
75
71
+4
69avg 77
A22/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 77
A26/11
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
111-120 OT
111
120
-9
108avg 77
A29/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 77
H03/12
LKL
Buducnost
#13
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 77
H06/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
21-24
23-22
24-20
30-14
17-25
25-22
28-35
20-20
19-15
23-28
29-25
19-24
25-24
18-22
24-16
24-9
15-25
20-13
23-17
28-24
15-12
25-14
7-21
30-19
17-16
18-17
23-22
23-21
13-23
23-30
38-23
15-17
17-13
21-21
15-29
21-18
16-21
17-22
27-22
171.4Avg total
87.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.288.6173.8-3.440%
Season at home (5)90.086.4176.4+3.660%
Season away (5)80.490.8171.2-10.420%
Last 10 (10)87.384.1171.4+3.270%
Last 5 (5)84.685.6170.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.890.5172.2-8.833%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.179.9160.0+0.250%
vs Weaker (6)88.875.7164.5+13.2100%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
ArisLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/11
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A18/11
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H25/11
Basket League
Trento
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A29/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A03/12
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A06/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H10/12
Basket League
74.3Avg total
35.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.575.2-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.636.372.9+0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)36.840.477.1-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.774.3-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.872.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.339.273.5-4.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.438.375.8-0.942%-
vs Weaker (6)41.837.379.2+4.550%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H04/11
LKL
JL Bourg
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H07/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/11
LKL
Turk Telekom
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H14/11
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A18/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A26/11
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/12
LKL
Buducnost
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H06/12
Eurocup
77.8Avg total
40.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.280.9+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.640.582.1+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.839.879.6+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.777.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.875.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.240.979.2-2.742%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.340.581.8+0.842%-
vs Weaker (6)44.738.082.7+6.783%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.6
49.3%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.5
33.8%
35.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.512.7
72.6%
74.5%12.7
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.615.6
52.7%
54.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.112.4
41.2%
35.5%37.2
🏀 Free throws22.617.9
79.2%
74.5%17.9
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WLWLLLLLLW
Lietkabelis
LLLWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#17
-7.7
Net rating
+3.3
98.0
Offensive rating
119.6
105.7
Defensive rating
116.3
49.8%
Effective FG%
57.3%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
22.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.8%
3-point %
41.2%
45.6%
Assist %
74.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 119.6Defence105.7 · 116.3Shooting49.8% · 57.3%3-point %33.8% · 41.2%Ball care22.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.0% · 32.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Aris   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
1
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
10/10/23Lietkabelis v Aris84-74
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HPeristeri81-73
06/12/23AGran Canaria65-93
03/12/23AMaroussi89-84
29/11/23ATrento67-69
25/11/23HPromitheas73-77
22/11/23HUlm88-99 OT
18/11/23APAOK76-82
14/11/23AJL Bourg65-72
12/11/23HPanathinaikos65-75
08/11/23ABuducnost65-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HBuducnost81-83
03/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas68-80
29/11/23ACluj-Napoca111-120 OT
26/11/23ASiauliai88-74
22/11/23ASlask Wroclaw75-71
18/11/23AMazeikiai82-64
14/11/23HTurk Telekom93-86 OT
11/11/23AJuventus91-88
07/11/23HJL Bourg100-96
04/11/23HJonava84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%25%33%
Points / game69.770.269.3
Allowed / game75.277.074.0
Point differential-5.5-6.8-4.7
Avg total144.9147.2143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game85.290.080.4
Allowed / game88.686.490.8
Point differential-3.4+3.6-10.4
Avg total173.8176.4171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %20%20%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria10100100%89.772.5+17.2
2 Paris109190%97.480.8+16.6
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv108280%95.086.3+8.7
4 JL Bourg108280%83.077.0+6.0
5 London Lions108280%93.488.3+5.1
6 Cluj-Napoca118373%84.279.3+4.9
7 Ulm107370%88.784.9+3.8
8 Besiktas106460%78.474.6+3.8
9 Joventut Badalona105550%86.285.1+1.1
10 Prometey105550%85.486.5-1.1
11 Venezia104640%82.781.7+1.0
12 Lietkabelis104640%85.288.6-3.4
13 Buducnost104640%78.482.3-3.9
14 Trento104640%80.185.7-5.6
15 BC Wolves104640%84.591.3-6.8
16 Aris103730%69.775.2-5.5
17 Turk Telekom102820%77.884.2-6.4
18 Hamburg101910%78.396.9-18.6
19 Slask Wroclaw111109%76.283.1-6.9
20 Cedevita Olimpija100100%80.990.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1817122269
Lietkabelis168201660
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