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Aris vs Apollon Patras Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-63
17-14 18-17 21-10 20-22
Position#8
Record6-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game76.8
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#17
Record2-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game83.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 13· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Aris v Apollon Patras
06 Jan 2024
ARI76
APA63
05 Nov 2022
ARI70
APA57
22 Jan 2022
ARI70
APA56
01 Apr 2017
ARI79
APA70
25 Oct 2014
ARI69
APA64
24 Feb 2014
ARI67
APA75
02 Mar 2013
ARI68
APA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apollon Patras winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 67
H25/11
Basket League
Trento
#16
L
67-69
67
69
-2
54avg 67
A29/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
79avg 67
A03/12
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
65-93
65
93
-28
54avg 67
A06/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
81-73
81
73
+8
85avg 67
H10/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
W
69-60
69
60
+9
57avg 67
H12/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#15
W
95-85
95
85
+10
88avg 67
A19/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#13
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
no box
A23/12
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 67
H27/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 67
A31/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
6-20
17-24
28-14
17-17
15-15
11-21
24-16
27-15
17-19
28-19
17-31
17-29
21-20
12-23
15-21
18-12
19-18
22-16
22-27
18-16
17-8
12-20
22-16
24-21
22-20
20-18
29-26
20-21
9-24
20-15
27-16
22-11
27-22
22-17
22-21
11-20
16-21
27-18
17-26
157.7Avg total
78.9Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.876.8153.6+0.150%
Season at home (6)72.571.8144.3+0.750%
Season away (6)81.281.7162.8-0.550%
Last 10 (10)78.978.8157.7+0.150%
Last 5 (5)82.878.4161.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.079.8147.8-11.89%
vs Similar (14)79.176.4155.6+2.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.871.8159.6+16.080%
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apollon PatrasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPatras
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#9
L
70-100
70
100
-30
53avg 58
A21/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
69-87
69
87
-18
59avg 58
H28/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
60-112
60
112
-52
43avg 58
A06/11
Basket League
PAOK
#10
L
54-67
54
67
-13
46avg 58
H11/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
68-106
68
106
-38
56avg 58
A19/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
69-75
69
75
-6
59avg 58
H26/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
57-90
57
90
-33
48avg 58
A03/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
71-60
71
60
+11
68avg 58
H09/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
65-84
65
84
-19
49avg 58
A24/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
74-76
74
76
-2
69avg 58
A30/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
25-17
18-26
11-26
16-27
26-12
8-27
19-21
12-33
15-29
15-27
18-23
16-17
10-15
18-15
10-20
27-28
17-33
11-21
13-24
14-13
21-19
19-22
15-21
17-17
17-27
8-29
15-17
14-9
20-14
17-11
20-26
17-33
11-18
18-15
19-18
21-15
16-20
19-16
18-25
151.4Avg total
65.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)66.683.8150.3-17.217%
Season at home (6)67.572.8140.3-5.333%
Season away (6)65.794.7160.3-29.00%
Last 10 (10)65.785.7151.4-20.010%
Last 5 (5)67.277.0144.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)67.283.1150.3-16.016%
vs Similar (3)68.069.3137.3-1.333%
vs Weaker (2)84.072.5156.5+11.550%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -6.3-6.3
ArisApollon Patras
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H25/11
Basket League
Trento
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A29/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A03/12
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A06/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H10/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H12/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#15
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#13
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A23/12
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H27/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#3
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A31/12
Basket League
73.3Avg total
36.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.275.6-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.535.172.5+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)37.241.478.6-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.873.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.874.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.539.472.9-5.836%-
vs Similar (14)37.937.575.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.237.882.0+6.480%-
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apollon PatrasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A21/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H28/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
27-62
27
62
-35
A06/11
Basket League
PAOK
#10
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H11/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A19/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A03/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H09/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A24/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A30/12
Basket League
77.5Avg total
34.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.841.275.9-6.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.036.271.2-1.250%-
Last 30 away (16)34.645.580.1-10.912%-
Last 10 (10)34.842.777.5-7.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.070.6-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)34.641.976.5-7.328%-
vs Similar (3)31.736.368.0-4.733%-
vs Weaker (2)41.539.581.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.4
49.3%
52.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.2
38.5%
33.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.912.7
75.1%
71.5%12.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apollon Patrastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apollon Patras: 64.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.116.5
45.7%
52.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.5
28.4%
33.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.612.0
64.5%
71.5%12.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LWLWWWLWLL
Apollon Patras
LLWLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#17
-0.9
Net rating
-28.6
105.3
Offensive rating
90.3
106.3
Defensive rating
118.9
52.9%
Effective FG%
44.5%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
19.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.5%
3-point %
28.4%
51.1%
Assist %
63.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 90.3Defence106.3 · 118.9Shooting52.9% · 44.5%3-point %38.5% · 28.4%Ball care19.7% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.2% · 22.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Aris   ■ Apollon Patras
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Aris wins
3
Apollon Patras wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Apollon Patras v Aris70-77
12/02/23Apollon Patras v Aris74-82
05/11/22Aris v Apollon Patras70-57
14/05/22Apollon Patras v Aris74-73
22/01/22Aris v Apollon Patras70-56
01/04/17Aris v Apollon Patras79-70
17/12/16Apollon Patras v Aris64-79
14/02/15Apollon Patras v Aris76-60
25/10/14Aris v Apollon Patras69-64
24/02/14Aris v Apollon Patras67-75 OT
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23AOlympiacos71-85
27/12/23HSlask Wroclaw93-71
23/12/23ALavrio86-91 OT
19/12/23ATurk Telekom95-85
12/12/23HLietkabelis69-60
10/12/23HPeristeri81-73
06/12/23AGran Canaria65-93
03/12/23AMaroussi89-84
29/11/23ATrento67-69
25/11/23HPromitheas73-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AAS Karditsas74-76
24/12/23AOlympiacos65-84
09/12/23HLavrio71-60
03/12/23APeristeri57-90
26/11/23HMaroussi69-75
19/11/23APromitheas68-106
11/11/23HPAOK54-67
06/11/23APanathinaikos60-112
28/10/23HKolossos Rhodes69-87
21/10/23AAEK Athens70-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.872.581.2
Allowed / game76.871.881.7
Point differential+0.1+0.7-0.5
Avg total153.6144.3162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Apollon Patras
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game66.667.565.7
Allowed / game83.872.894.7
Point differential-17.2-5.3-29.0
Avg total150.3140.3160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W550100%86.866.4+20.4
2 Panathinaikos12120100%84.568.6+15.9
3 Olympiacos1211192%85.967.2+18.7
4 Kibirkstis Vilnius W54180%95.268.4+26.8
5 Promitheas138562%87.583.2+4.3
6 Klaipedos Neptunas W53260%75.864.2+11.6
7 Peristeri127558%81.874.9+6.8
8 AEK Athens126650%87.882.8+5.0
9 Aris126650%76.876.8+0.1
10 PAOK136746%76.179.2-3.1
11 Aistes LSU Kaunas W52340%56.475.0-18.6
12 Maroussi135838%83.089.0-6.0
13 Kolossos Rhodes124833%81.287.3-6.1
14 Lavrio124833%77.888.8-10.9
15 AS Karditsas1331023%71.978.5-6.6
16 Apollon Patras1221017%66.683.8-17.2
17 Siauliai W4040%64.880.8-16.0
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1718212076
Apollon Patras1417102263
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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