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Olympiacos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 85-71
20-11 21-16 18-27 26-17
Position#3
Record10-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game66.9
vs
Position#8
Record6-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game76.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 12· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Olympiacos v Aris
18 Apr 2027
OLY v ARI
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
OLY92
ARI81
13 Oct 2024
OLY102
ARI72
31 Mar 2024
OLY85
ARI77
31 Dec 2023
OLY85
ARI71
20 Apr 2023
OLY97
ARI73
17 Feb 2023
OLY82
ARI51
29 Jan 2023
OLY89
ARI75
07 Apr 2022
OLY89
ARI67
04 Mar 2019
OLY76
ARI67
05 Mar 2018
OLY86
ARI66
25 May 2017
OLY79
ARI65
10 May 2017
OLY84
ARI54
15 Feb 2017
OLY69
ARI55
29 May 2015
OLY92
ARI57
27 May 2015
OLY98
ARI53
12 Jan 2015
OLY84
ARI68
06 May 2014
OLY77
ARI44
30 Nov 2013
OLY93
ARI61
03 Dec 2012
OLY100
ARI65
25 Feb 2012
OLY85
ARI66
23 May 2011
OLY87
ARI64
19 May 2011
OLY95
ARI63
23 Jan 2011
OLY97
ARI70
01 May 2010
OLY75
ARI63
31 Jan 2010
OLY82
ARI77
18 Oct 2008
OLY74
ARI57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
71avg 82
A30/11
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
96-54
96
54
+42
107avg 82
A02/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
57avg 82
H05/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
77-69
77
69
+8
71avg 82
H08/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
83-54
83
54
+29
83avg 82
A11/12
Basket League
Valencia
#14
L
56-63
56
63
-7
46avg 82
H15/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
66avg 82
A19/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
89avg 82
A22/12
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
84-65
84
65
+19
65avg 82
H24/12
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
94-67
94
67
+27
103avg 82
A29/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
22-16
20-20
18-27
26-19
24-6
25-11
21-18
19-23
17-14
21-24
14-16
24-8
17-21
13-15
23-25
22-13
22-15
21-13
18-13
15-14
11-21
12-12
18-16
19-17
21-11
15-19
12-22
25-18
24-19
22-20
14-16
33-17
18-11
15-18
18-19
19-25
21-18
27-8
27-16
146.6Avg total
79.0Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.066.9152.9+19.191%
Season at home (5)79.270.2149.4+9.080%
Season away (6)91.764.2155.8+27.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.067.6146.6+11.460%
Last 5 (5)77.267.4144.6+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)73.173.0146.1+0.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.568.9153.4+15.685%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Ulm
#9
L
88-99 OT
88
99
-11
67avg 67
H22/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 67
H25/11
Basket League
Trento
#16
L
67-69
67
69
-2
54avg 67
A29/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
79avg 67
A03/12
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
65-93
65
93
-28
54avg 67
A06/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
81-73
81
73
+8
85avg 67
H10/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
W
69-60
69
60
+9
57avg 67
H12/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#15
W
95-85
95
85
+10
88avg 67
A19/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#13
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
no box
A23/12
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 67
H27/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
21-22
17-14
22-26
22-19
6-20
17-24
28-14
17-17
15-15
11-21
24-16
27-15
17-19
28-19
17-31
17-29
21-20
12-23
15-21
18-12
19-18
22-16
22-27
18-16
17-8
12-20
22-16
24-21
22-20
20-18
29-26
20-21
9-24
20-15
27-16
22-11
27-22
22-17
22-21
160.8Avg total
80.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.476.0153.4+1.455%
Season at home (6)72.571.8144.3+0.750%
Season away (5)83.281.0164.2+2.260%
Last 10 (10)80.680.2160.8+0.450%
Last 5 (5)84.876.0160.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)67.779.3147.0-11.610%
vs Similar (14)79.176.4155.6+2.764%
vs Weaker (6)84.873.3158.2+11.567%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
OlympiacosAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A30/11
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A02/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H05/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A11/12
Basket League
Valencia
#14
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H15/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A19/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A22/12
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H24/12
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A29/12
Euroleague
74.4Avg total
41.6Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.034.575.5+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.433.773.1+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.635.377.9+7.373%-
Last 10 (10)41.632.874.4+8.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.234.275.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)36.835.572.3+1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.134.077.1+9.180%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H25/11
Basket League
Trento
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A29/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A03/12
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A06/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H10/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H12/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#15
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#13
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A23/12
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H27/12
Eurocup
74.8Avg total
38.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.275.9-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.535.172.5+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.379.2-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.874.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.673.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.239.273.4-5.040%-
vs Similar (14)37.937.575.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker (6)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.2
55.7%
52.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.5
35.6%
33.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.013.4
74.4%
71.5%13.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.7
50.0%
52.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.9
38.1%
33.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.113.7
75.7%
71.5%13.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWWLLWWLWL
Aris
WLWWWLWLLL
#3
League position
#8
+16.6
Net rating
+0.4
115.0
Offensive rating
106.2
98.4
Defensive rating
105.8
54.6%
Effective FG%
53.0%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
20.2%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.6%
3-point %
38.1%
74.7%
Assist %
49.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 106.2Defence98.4 · 105.8Shooting54.6% · 53.0%3-point %35.6% · 38.1%Ball care17.4% · 20.2%Off. rebounds34.1% · 28.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Olympiacos wins
0
Aris wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Aris v Olympiacos72-81
22/04/23Aris v Olympiacos58-82
20/04/23Olympiacos v Aris97-73
17/02/23Olympiacos v Aris82-51
29/01/23Olympiacos v Aris89-75
24/10/22Aris v Olympiacos66-83
07/04/22Olympiacos v Aris89-67
07/02/22Aris v Olympiacos76-87
04/03/19Olympiacos v Aris76-67
29/10/18Aris v Olympiacos64-68
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AAlba Berlin94-67
24/12/23HApollon Patras84-65
22/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne85-73
19/12/23AVirtus Bologna67-69
15/12/23HValencia56-63
11/12/23AAS Karditsas83-54
08/12/23HBayern77-69
05/12/23HReal Madrid71-77
02/12/23ALavrio96-54
30/11/23AMonaco77-85
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23HSlask Wroclaw93-71
23/12/23ALavrio86-91 OT
19/12/23ATurk Telekom95-85
12/12/23HLietkabelis69-60
10/12/23HPeristeri81-73
06/12/23AGran Canaria65-93
03/12/23AMaroussi89-84
29/11/23ATrento67-69
25/11/23HPromitheas73-77
22/11/23HUlm88-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %91%80%100%
Points / game86.079.291.7
Allowed / game66.970.264.2
Point differential+19.1+9.0+27.5
Avg total152.9149.4155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%60%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL55%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game77.472.583.2
Allowed / game76.071.881.0
Point differential+1.4+0.7+2.2
Avg total153.4144.3164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W550100%86.866.4+20.4
2 Panathinaikos11110100%83.867.6+16.2
3 Olympiacos1110191%86.066.9+19.1
4 Kibirkstis Vilnius W54180%95.268.4+26.8
5 Promitheas128467%88.881.7+7.1
6 Klaipedos Neptunas W53260%75.864.2+11.6
7 Peristeri127558%81.874.9+6.8
8 Aris116555%77.476.0+1.4
9 AEK Athens126650%87.882.8+5.0
10 PAOK126650%75.878.7-2.8
11 Aistes LSU Kaunas W52340%56.475.0-18.6
12 Maroussi114736%83.289.6-6.5
13 Kolossos Rhodes124833%81.287.3-6.1
14 Lavrio124833%77.888.8-10.9
15 AS Karditsas1221017%69.579.1-9.6
16 Apollon Patras1221017%66.683.8-17.2
17 Siauliai W4040%64.880.8-16.0
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2021182685
Aris1116271771
← all games of the day
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