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Lavrio vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 93-84
24-25 21-16 20-19 28-24
Position#12
Record3-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game83.8
Lavrio 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#7
Record4-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game79.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 9· Sports Center Lavrio
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Lavrio v Aris
05 Apr 2025
LAV75
ARI89
07 Dec 2024
LAV93
ARI84
23 Dec 2023
LAV91
ARI86
18 Mar 2023
LAV81
ARI70
19 Mar 2022
LAV68
ARI64
09 Dec 2020
LAV92
ARI71
11 Apr 2020
LAV v ARI
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
LAV70
ARI73
21 Oct 2017
LAV70
ARI71
08 Apr 2017
LAV75
ARI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lavrio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
L
76-90
76
90
-14
68avg 71
H22/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
104-66
104
66
+38
112avg 71
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
62avg 71
H07/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 71
A14/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 71
H20/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
72avg 71
A28/10
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
74avg 71
H04/11
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
96-71
96
71
+25
94avg 71
H09/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 71
A17/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 71
A30/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
16-18
23-19
23-26
27-20
24-13
20-17
33-16
22-19
21-21
21-29
11-24
22-16
23-24
21-27
18-26
19-20
24-9
15-32
16-21
26-18
16-22
23-13
17-31
17-17
22-23
17-19
16-13
21-7
20-17
27-22
28-25
15-16
26-17
12-26
31-21
18-24
26-19
15-17
11-27
165.5Avg total
82.9Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.183.8164.9-2.638%
Season at home (4)82.281.5163.8+0.850%
Season away (4)80.086.0166.0-6.025%
Last 10 (10)82.982.6165.5+0.340%
Last 5 (5)83.280.4163.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.286.9163.1-10.726%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.179.9158.0-1.838%
vs Weaker (3)82.070.7152.7+11.367%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
84avg 65
A26/10
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
W
91-88
91
88
+3
83avg 65
A30/10
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
64avg 65
H02/11
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
59-63
59
63
-4
46avg 65
H06/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
L
72-74
72
74
-2
53avg 65
H09/11
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
69-93
69
93
-24
54avg 65
A12/11
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
62-79
62
79
-17
54avg 65
A16/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
79-87
79
87
-8
45avg 65
A28/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
74avg 65
H01/12
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
57avg 65
H04/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
13-20
30-24
27-17
21-22
20-20
15-16
35-30
10-16
28-19
10-18
29-18
19-19
14-16
11-17
15-11
14-24
18-17
21-13
19-20
14-24
24-30
21-18
10-21
16-18
11-26
15-15
20-20
19-26
19-16
19-21
22-24
26-30
21-18
17-9
24-25
18-30
22-17
18-15
16-19
155.8Avg total
75.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.179.6154.8-4.550%
Season at home (5)76.474.4150.8+2.060%
Season away (3)73.088.3161.3-15.333%
Last 10 (10)75.680.2155.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)74.484.4158.8-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)72.880.9153.7-8.126%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.477.6151.0-4.143%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
LavrioAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H22/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A14/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H20/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A28/10
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H04/11
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H09/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A17/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/11
Basket League
78.6Avg total
41.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.877.8-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.539.678.1-1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)37.340.177.4-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.778.6+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.077.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.040.979.9-1.942%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.839.275.0-3.538%-
vs Weaker (3)37.034.771.7+2.333%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A26/10
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A30/10
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/11
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H06/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/11
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A12/11
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A16/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/12
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H04/12
Eurocup
79.3Avg total
36.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.939.175.0-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.236.572.7-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)35.741.777.3-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)36.243.179.3-6.910%-
Last 5 (5)38.047.085.0-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.738.374.0-2.635%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.741.978.6-5.129%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.5
51.9%
53.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.9
31.1%
34.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.415.2
74.5%
73.3%15.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.317.5
54.2%
53.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.8
30.2%
34.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
73.3%13.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lavrio
LWWWLLLLWL
Aris
LWLLLLLWWW
#12
League position
#7
+0.4
Net rating
-6.5
108.7
Offensive rating
104.7
108.3
Defensive rating
111.1
49.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
18.5%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.1%
3-point %
30.2%
63.6%
Assist %
46.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 104.7Defence108.3 · 111.1Shooting49.9% · 50.0%3-point %31.1% · 30.2%Ball care13.9% · 18.5%Off. rebounds28.5% · 30.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Lavrio   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lavrio wins
4
Aris wins
DateGameScore
23/03/24Aris v Lavrio84-60
23/12/23Lavrio v Aris91-86 OT
18/03/23Lavrio v Aris81-70
04/12/22Aris v Lavrio87-61
19/03/22Lavrio v Aris68-64
30/10/21Aris v Lavrio69-73
06/02/21Aris v Lavrio89-94
09/12/20Lavrio v Aris92-71
21/12/19Aris v Lavrio81-70
19/01/19Aris v Lavrio84-70
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24AAS Karditsas70-87
17/11/24AMaroussi84-80
09/11/24HPAOK96-71
04/11/24HPanionios84-80 OT
28/10/24APeristeri82-84
20/10/24HKolossos Rhodes74-82
14/10/24APromitheas84-93
07/10/24HOlympiacos75-93
27/04/24AApollon Patras104-66
22/04/24HMaroussi76-90
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HVenezia74-81
01/12/24HPAOK88-82
28/11/24ACluj-Napoca79-87
16/11/24APanionios62-79
12/11/24AHamburg69-93
09/11/24HMaroussi72-74
06/11/24HValencia59-63
02/11/24HPeristeri77-71
30/10/24AJL Bourg91-88
26/10/24AKolossos Rhodes85-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lavrio
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL38%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game81.182.280.0
Allowed / game83.881.586.0
Point differential-2.6+0.8-6.0
Avg total164.9163.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Aris
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game75.176.473.0
Allowed / game79.674.488.3
Point differential-4.5+2.0-15.3
Avg total154.8150.8161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos880100%91.974.6+17.2
2 Olympiacos87188%89.970.9+19.0
3 Promitheas85362%80.483.4-3.0
4 Panionios84450%73.970.5+3.4
5 AEK Athens84450%79.578.9+0.6
6 AS Karditsas84450%75.878.2-2.5
7 Aris84450%75.179.6-4.5
8 Lavrio83538%81.183.8-2.6
9 Peristeri83538%75.681.2-5.6
10 PAOK83538%77.084.6-7.6
11 Maroussi82625%74.181.6-7.5
12 Kolossos Rhodes81712%74.281.1-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lavrio2421202893
Aris2516192484
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