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Aris vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 88-82
26-30 21-18 17-9 24-25
Position#7
Record3-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game79.3
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#6
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game84.1
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 8· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Aris v PAOK
30 Jan 2027
ARI v PAK
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
ARI73
PAK78
01 Dec 2024
ARI88
PAK82
11 Feb 2024
ARI77
PAK63
22 Jan 2023
ARI77
PAK70
20 Apr 2022
ARI77
PAK76
20 Mar 2021
ARI71
PAK77
29 Sep 2019
ARI85
PAK82
23 Mar 2019
ARI58
PAK62
21 Mar 2018
ARI65
PAK66
04 Oct 2017
ARI70
PAK63
29 Apr 2017
ARI69
PAK65
22 Oct 2016
ARI62
PAK66
17 Jun 2015
ARI76
PAK77
09 Jun 2015
ARI92
PAK88
01 Feb 2015
ARI62
PAK57
19 Oct 2013
ARI75
PAK79
24 Nov 2012
ARI63
PAK72
14 Mar 2012
ARI81
PAK71
05 Jun 2011
ARI80
PAK91
29 May 2011
ARI73
PAK70
06 Nov 2010
ARI81
PAK68
06 Feb 2010
ARI69
PAK59
15 Nov 2008
ARI87
PAK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
W
86-75
86
75
+11
87avg 65
H19/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
75-82
75
82
-7
62avg 65
H23/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
84avg 65
A26/10
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
W
91-88
91
88
+3
83avg 65
A30/10
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
64avg 65
H02/11
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
59-63
59
63
-4
46avg 65
H06/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
L
72-74
72
74
-2
53avg 65
H09/11
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
69-93
69
93
-24
54avg 65
A12/11
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
62-79
62
79
-17
54avg 65
A16/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
79-87
79
87
-8
45avg 65
A28/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
20-26
19-16
24-22
24-23
24-14
13-17
14-28
15-23
13-20
30-24
27-17
21-22
20-20
15-16
35-30
10-16
28-19
10-18
29-18
19-19
14-16
11-17
15-11
14-24
18-17
21-13
19-20
14-24
24-30
21-18
10-21
16-18
11-26
15-15
20-20
19-26
19-16
19-21
22-24
155.1Avg total
75.5Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.379.3152.6-6.043%
Season at home (4)73.572.5146.0+1.050%
Season away (3)73.088.3161.3-15.333%
Last 10 (10)75.579.6155.1-4.140%
Last 5 (5)68.279.2147.4-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)72.981.0154.0-8.126%
vs Similar ◀ (6)71.076.8147.8-5.833%
vs Weaker (1)84.060.0144.0+24.0100%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#7
W
89-70
89
70
+19
90avg 70
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
L
62-73
62
73
-11
55avg 70
A19/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
82-66
82
66
+16
84avg 70
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
82avg 70
H26/10
Basket League
Limburg
#26
W
94-76
94
76
+18
95avg 70
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 70
A02/11
Basket League
FC Porto
#7
L
64-99
64
99
-35
41avg 70
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lavrio
#12
L
71-96
71
96
-25
60avg 70
A09/11
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
92-69
92
69
+23
96avg 70
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
60-90
60
90
-30
43avg 70
H17/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
20-21
22-24
21-7
20-15
11-19
19-20
12-19
24-19
17-13
21-8
20-26
19-24
29-25
17-12
22-21
23-15
28-18
19-22
24-21
23-17
12-14
24-17
22-32
6-22
17-20
12-30
29-27
7-21
17-20
22-27
25-28
17-15
22-19
20-15
33-20
13-29
13-24
17-24
17-13
158.3Avg total
78.2Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.384.1160.4-7.943%
Season at home (3)80.089.3169.3-9.333%
Season away (4)73.580.2153.8-6.850%
Last 10 (10)78.280.1158.3-1.960%
Last 5 (5)73.686.8160.4-13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.489.0168.4-9.620%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.080.2156.2-4.242%
vs Weaker (7)83.972.9156.7+11.086%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
ArisPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H19/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H23/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A26/10
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A30/10
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/11
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H06/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/11
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A12/11
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A16/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/11
Eurocup
77.6Avg total
36.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.638.574.1-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.335.170.4+0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)35.841.577.3-5.719%-
Last 10 (10)36.641.077.6-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.643.276.8-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.637.973.5-2.335%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.040.875.8-5.833%-
vs Weaker (1)38.038.076.0+0.00%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A19/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H26/10
Basket League
Limburg
#26
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A02/11
Basket League
FC Porto
#7
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lavrio
#12
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A09/11
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H17/11
Basket League
75.2Avg total
36.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.979.3-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.939.181.0+2.869%-
Last 30 away (14)36.640.977.4-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.875.2-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)29.440.269.6-10.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.946.287.1-5.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.837.775.4+0.158%-
vs Weaker (7)39.636.476.0+3.171%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.917.2
53.9%
53.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.2
32.9%
34.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.5
71.0%
73.3%12.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.9
51.8%
53.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.4
31.1%
34.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
73.3%15.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLLLLWWWLW
PAOK
LWLLWWWWLW
#7
League position
#6
-5.8
Net rating
-2.5
105.1
Offensive rating
102.8
110.9
Defensive rating
105.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
49.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.8%
Turnover %
19.0%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.9%
3-point %
31.1%
50.8%
Assist %
63.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 102.8Defence110.9 · 105.3Shooting51.8% · 49.8%3-point %32.9% · 31.1%Ball care19.8% · 19.0%Off. rebounds30.9% · 31.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Aris   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Aris wins
6
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
15/02/24PAOK v Aris74-76
11/02/24Aris v PAOK77-63
18/11/23PAOK v Aris82-76
22/01/23Aris v PAOK77-70
15/10/22PAOK v Aris88-66
20/04/22Aris v PAOK77-76
11/12/21PAOK v Aris96-64
20/03/21Aris v PAOK71-77
13/12/20PAOK v Aris75-64
05/01/20PAOK v Aris101-84
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24ACluj-Napoca79-87
16/11/24APanionios62-79
12/11/24AHamburg69-93
09/11/24HMaroussi72-74
06/11/24HValencia59-63
02/11/24HPeristeri77-71
30/10/24AJL Bourg91-88
26/10/24AKolossos Rhodes85-84
23/10/24HCedevita Olimpija75-82
19/10/24HPromitheas86-75
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HOlympiacos60-90
13/11/24ASzolnoki Olaj92-69
09/11/24ALavrio71-96
06/11/24AFC Porto64-99
02/11/24AMaroussi81-80
30/10/24HLimburg94-76
26/10/24HAEK Athens87-82
23/10/24HSzolnoki Olaj82-66
19/10/24APanionios62-73
16/10/24HFC Porto89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game73.373.573.0
Allowed / game79.372.588.3
Point differential-6.0+1.0-15.3
Avg total152.6146.0161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game76.380.073.5
Allowed / game84.189.380.2
Point differential-7.9-9.3-6.8
Avg total160.4169.3153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos880100%91.974.6+17.2
2 Olympiacos87188%89.970.9+19.0
3 Promitheas85362%80.483.4-3.0
4 Panionios84450%73.970.5+3.4
5 AEK Athens84450%79.578.9+0.6
6 AS Karditsas84450%75.878.2-2.5
7 Aris73443%73.379.3-6.0
8 PAOK73443%76.384.1-7.9
9 Lavrio83538%81.183.8-2.6
10 Peristeri83538%75.681.2-5.6
11 Maroussi82625%74.181.6-7.5
12 Kolossos Rhodes81712%74.281.1-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2621172488
PAOK301892582
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