Aris vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 63-70

20-21 14-23 17-14 12-12

Position#5

Record2-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game71.5

Allowed / game69.8

Aris

Olympiacos 🏆

Position#2

Record4-0

FormWWWWL

Points / game86.5

Allowed / game72.5

Basket LeagueRound 5

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Aris v Olympiacos

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olympiacos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aris

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAris

Date

Competition

Neptunas

#20

68-72

-4

no box

A03/02

Eurocup

Olimpia Milano

#13

83-68

+15

no box

H10/02

Eurocup

G.S. Kymis

98-62

+36

no box

H05/10

Greek Cup

Trikala

#10

75-65

+10

no box

H08/10

Basket League

Rethymno

60-69

-9

no box

A15/10

Basket League

Helios Domzale

#46

62-54

no box

A18/10

Champions League

PAOK

62-66

-4

no box

H22/10

Basket League

Bakken Bears

#45

82-66

+16

no box

H26/10

Champions League

Promitheas

89-79

+10

no box

A29/10

Basket League

Ironi Nahariya

#32

85-53

+32

no box

A02/11

Champions League

16-21

25-22

9-7

18-22

26-21

20-26

22-12

15-9

25-18

38-9

10-18

25-17

25-15

20-14

20-13

10-23

21-14

13-16

10-20

16-19

18-12

12-15

19-15

13-12

18-16

14-17

11-15

19-18

31-14

25-26

8-14

18-12

19-23

24-16

20-18

26-22

19-6

21-21

26-15

19-11

141.8Avg total

76.4Scored

65.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	71.5	69.8	141.2	+1.8	50%
Season at home (2)	68.5	65.5	134.0	+3.0	50%
Season away (2)	74.5	74.0	148.5	+0.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	65.4	141.8	+11.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	63.6	139.6	+12.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	71.1	75.3	146.4	-4.1	43%
vs Similar (15)	71.7	71.8	143.5	-0.1	47%
vs Weaker (7)	78.4	61.9	140.3	+16.6	100%

This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olympiacos Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOlympiacos

Date

Competition

Kolossos Rhodes

#10

99-48

+51

no box

H05/10

Greek Cup

Koroivos

#12

88-66

+22

no box

A08/10

Basket League

Real Madrid

65-83

-18

92avg 112

A12/10

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

88-63

+25

no box

H17/10

Basket League

Anadolu Efes

90-66

+24

121avg 112

H20/10

Euroleague

Lefkadas

#14

95-94

no box

A22/10

Basket League

Olimpia Milano

#16

91-81

+10

118avg 112

H25/10

Euroleague

Baskonia

95-90

126avg 112

A27/10

Euroleague

Kolossos Rhodes

75-67

no box

H30/10

Basket League

CSKA Moscow

75-81

-6

106avg 112

H03/11

Euroleague

25-10

28-14

26-14

20-10

21-10

24-17

16-12

27-27

17-24

23-18

13-20

12-21

23-17

27-15

18-17

20-14

28-16

13-17

21-20

28-13

26-26

26-19

29-20

14-29

25-19

21-22

24-20

21-20

22-27

25-25

25-22

23-16

25-25

15-21

17-11

18-10

21-25

7-19

23-22

24-15

160.0Avg total

86.1Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	86.5	72.5	159.0	+14.0	100%
Season at home (2)	81.5	65.0	146.5	+16.5	100%
Season away (2)	91.5	80.0	171.5	+11.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	86.1	73.9	160.0	+12.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	82.6	168.8	+3.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	85.3	90.7	176.0	-5.3	0%
vs Similar (16)	77.4	77.2	154.7	+0.2	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	80.0	70.8	150.8	+9.2	90%

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ArisOlympiacos

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	16.8	38.3	+4.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	17.4	33.5	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	16.0	37.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	14.2	35.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	15.0	19.9	34.9	-4.9	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.7	12.1	34.9	+10.6	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.7	38.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.9	43.2	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	24.4	48.2	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	25.3	45.7	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.4	18.4	36.9	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.3	37.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	17.1	38.1	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.5	36.8	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.0	17.3	36.3	+1.7	57%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.3	17.0	39.3	+5.3	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	19.7	34.7	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	50%	-

ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neptunas

#20

41-43

-2

A03/02

Eurocup

Olimpia Milano

#13

46-47

-1

H10/02

Eurocup

G.S. Kymis

63-27

+36

H05/10

Greek Cup

Trikala

#10

45-29

+16

H08/10

Basket League

Rethymno

34-30

A15/10

Basket League

Helios Domzale

#46

30-27

A18/10

Champions League

PAOK

32-33

-1

H22/10

Basket League

Bakken Bears

#45

56-40

+16

H26/10

Champions League

Promitheas

43-39

A29/10

Basket League

Ironi Nahariya

#32

40-27

+13

A02/11

Champions League

77.2Avg total

43.0Scored

34.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	35.4	73.4	+2.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	33.9	76.4	+8.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.4	36.9	70.3	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	34.2	77.2	+8.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	33.2	73.4	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	34.0	37.1	71.1	-3.1	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	36.7	37.5	74.1	-0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	45.0	29.1	74.1	+15.9	100%	-

This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kolossos Rhodes

#10

53-24

+29

H05/10

Greek Cup

Koroivos

#12

45-27

+18

A08/10

Basket League

Real Madrid

40-42

-2

A12/10

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

50-32

+18

H17/10

Basket League

Anadolu Efes

41-33

H20/10

Euroleague

Lefkadas

#14

52-45

A22/10

Basket League

Olimpia Milano

#16

46-41

H25/10

Euroleague

Baskonia

47-52

-5

A27/10

Euroleague

Kolossos Rhodes

40-46

-6

H30/10

Basket League

CSKA Moscow

28-44

-16

H03/11

Euroleague

82.8Avg total

44.2Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	37.1	76.5	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.5	35.1	74.6	+4.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	39.4	78.6	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	38.6	82.8	+5.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	45.6	88.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.3	45.0	80.3	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	38.8	37.2	75.9	+1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	40.2	36.0	76.2	+4.2	70%	-

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	16.4	32.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.8	16.2	32.0	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	16.6	33.7	+0.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	14.7	30.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	15.4	32.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.3	16.0	33.3	+1.3	57%	-
vs Similar (15)	16.7	16.5	33.3	+0.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	15.1	17.3	32.4	-2.1	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	17.4	38.1	+3.3	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.0	42.6	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.0	20.3	45.3	+4.7	100%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.9	16.1	37.0	+4.8	90%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	15.9	34.9	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.7	37.1	-2.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	16.5	34.4	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.4	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.3	15.4	33.7	+2.9	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	18.0	39.3	+3.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.5	38.2	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.0	25.3	50.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.6	34.2	68.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.8	32.1	66.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.4	36.3	70.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.4	31.2	64.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	30.4	66.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	35.7	36.9	72.6	-1.1	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	35.1	34.3	69.4	+0.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	33.4	32.7	66.1	+0.7	29%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	38.0	77.9	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.0	35.4	77.4	+6.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	40.9	78.5	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	35.3	77.2	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	37.0	80.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	50.0	45.7	95.7	+4.3	100%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.8	39.4	77.1	-1.6	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	39.8	34.8	74.6	+5.0	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 82.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	19.2	51.3%	53.4%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	8.8	36.7%	34.8%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	23.0	17.6	76.5%	74.0%	17.6

They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.6	19.8	42.5%	53.4%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	9.0	42.5%	34.8%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.0	12.4	68.9%	74.0%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.6	19.8	42.5%	53.4%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	9.0	42.5%	34.8%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.0	12.4	68.9%	74.0%	12.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aris wins

Olympiacos wins

Date	Game	Score
04/06/15	Aris v Olympiacos	62-79
02/06/15	Aris v Olympiacos	84-74
29/05/15	Olympiacos v Aris	92-57
27/05/15	Olympiacos v Aris	98-53
06/05/15	Aris v Olympiacos	58-69
12/01/15	Olympiacos v Aris	84-68
08/05/14	Aris v Olympiacos	59-74
06/05/14	Olympiacos v Aris	77-44
17/03/14	Aris v Olympiacos	59-64
30/11/13	Olympiacos v Aris	93-61

Arislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/16	A	Ironi Nahariya	85-53
29/10/16	A	Promitheas	89-79
26/10/16	H	Bakken Bears	82-66
22/10/16	H	PAOK	62-66
18/10/16	A	Helios Domzale	62-54
15/10/16	A	Rethymno	60-69
08/10/16	H	Trikala	75-65
05/10/16	H	G.S. Kymis	98-62
10/02/16	H	Olimpia Milano	83-68
03/02/16	A	Neptunas	68-72

Olympiacoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/11/16	H	CSKA Moscow	75-81
30/10/16	H	Kolossos Rhodes	75-67
27/10/16	A	Baskonia	95-90
25/10/16	H	Olimpia Milano	91-81
22/10/16	A	Lefkadas	95-94
20/10/16	H	Anadolu Efes	90-66
17/10/16	H	Panathinaikos	88-63
12/10/16	A	Real Madrid	65-83
08/10/16	A	Koroivos	88-66
05/10/16	H	Kolossos Rhodes	99-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLW	50%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	71.5	68.5	74.5
Allowed / game	69.8	65.5	74.0
Point differential	+1.8	+3.0	+0.5
Avg total	141.2	134.0	148.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Olympiacos

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	86.5	81.5	91.5
Allowed / game	72.5	65.0	80.0
Point differential	+14.0	+16.5	+11.5
Avg total	159.0	146.5	171.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	AEK Athens	5	5	0	100%	82.4	58.2	+24.2
2	Olympiacos	4	4	0	100%	86.5	72.5	+14.0
3	Panathinaikos	5	4	1	80%	81.0	64.4	+16.6
4	PAOK	5	4	1	80%	77.2	73.0	+4.2
5	Rethymno	5	3	2	60%	74.2	74.2	+0.0
6	Aris	4	2	2	50%	71.5	69.8	+1.8
7	Kolossos Rhodes	5	2	3	40%	74.4	76.2	-1.8
8	Promitheas	5	2	3	40%	70.8	73.8	-3.0
9	Lavrio	5	2	3	40%	71.8	76.4	-4.6
10	G.S. Kymis	5	2	3	40%	69.4	77.0	-7.6
11	Apollon Patras	5	1	4	20%	68.2	74.2	-6.0
12	Lefkadas	5	1	4	20%	73.0	79.6	-6.6
13	Trikala	5	1	4	20%	62.4	75.4	-13.0
14	Koroivos	5	1	4	20%	72.6	87.6	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aris	20	14	17	12	63
Olympiacos	21	23	14	12	70

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Aris vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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