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Aris vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-88
22-16 20-30 14-25 21-17
Position#7
Record4-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Position#2
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game74.1
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 13· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Aris v Olympiacos
15 Nov 2026
ARI v OLY
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
ARI84
OLY95
04 Jan 2025
ARI77
OLY88
08 Oct 2023
ARI72
OLY81
22 Apr 2023
ARI58
OLY82
24 Oct 2022
ARI66
OLY83
07 Feb 2022
ARI76
OLY87
29 Oct 2018
ARI64
OLY68
05 Nov 2017
ARI49
OLY56
29 Oct 2017
ARI55
OLY80
13 May 2017
ARI77
OLY84
07 Nov 2016
ARI63
OLY70
04 Jun 2015
ARI62
OLY79
02 Jun 2015
ARI84
OLY74
06 May 2015
ARI58
OLY69
08 May 2014
ARI59
OLY74
17 Mar 2014
ARI59
OLY64
25 Mar 2013
ARI68
OLY84
04 Dec 2011
ARI70
OLY71
12 Oct 2011
ARI59
OLY80
21 May 2011
ARI76
OLY102
23 Oct 2010
ARI65
OLY78
03 May 2010
ARI75
OLY85
24 Oct 2009
ARI78
OLY85
21 Jan 2009
ARI73
OLY77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
79-87
79
87
-8
45avg 64
A28/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
74avg 64
H01/12
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
57avg 64
H04/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#12
L
84-93
84
93
-9
72avg 64
A07/12
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#8
L
77-87
77
87
-10
62avg 64
A11/12
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
55avg 64
H14/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
W
81-66
81
66
+15
75avg 64
H17/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-126
74
126
-52
59avg 64
A22/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 64
A28/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
76avg 64
A02/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
19-16
19-21
22-24
26-30
21-18
17-9
24-25
18-30
22-17
18-15
16-19
25-24
16-21
19-20
24-28
22-14
21-31
17-18
17-24
11-19
18-24
17-25
23-28
18-19
14-15
24-20
25-12
24-33
15-24
18-36
17-33
18-23
24-31
28-22
19-26
19-18
22-19
30-26
14-27
171.0Avg total
80.0Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.487.8164.2-11.433%
Season at home (6)75.278.0153.2-2.850%
Season away (6)77.797.7175.3-20.017%
Last 10 (10)80.091.0171.0-11.020%
Last 5 (5)79.696.0175.6-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)74.683.7158.3-9.018%
vs Similar (8)75.982.9158.8-7.038%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
L
90-96
90
96
-6
84avg 82
H06/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
86avg 82
A08/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
73-87
73
87
-14
70avg 82
A13/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 82
A15/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
87-77
87
77
+10
85avg 82
H18/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
90-85
90
85
+5
80avg 82
H20/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
106-94
106
94
+12
112avg 82
H22/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
82avg 82
A26/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 82
H29/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
92-85
92
85
+7
86avg 82
A02/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
23-28
16-24
30-23
24-8
22-17
24-26
18-22
17-19
21-20
15-28
20-20
20-16
20-19
16-18
28-25
29-17
14-29
21-10
23-21
26-19
18-22
25-21
21-23
26-27
30-20
26-22
24-25
19-19
22-21
23-20
20-23
23-19
23-26
25-14
16-18
18-22
22-30
27-19
25-14
171.6Avg total
88.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)90.374.1164.4+16.292%
Season at home (6)92.777.5170.2+15.283%
Season away (6)88.070.7158.7+17.3100%
Last 10 (10)88.183.5171.6+4.680%
Last 5 (5)91.884.8176.6+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)82.580.8163.2+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.077.7167.6+12.391%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
ArisOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/12
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H04/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/12
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/12
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H14/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A22/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A28/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/01
Eurocup
84.4Avg total
39.2Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.641.678.2-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.137.673.7-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)37.045.182.1-8.119%-
Last 10 (10)39.245.284.4-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)36.645.081.6-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.540.977.4-4.432%-
vs Similar (8)36.943.480.2-6.525%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H06/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A08/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A13/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H18/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H20/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H22/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H29/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A02/01
Euroleague
85.7Avg total
43.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.938.582.4+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.039.084.0+6.067%-
Last 30 away (15)42.838.180.9+4.767%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.985.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.090.4+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)40.539.279.8+1.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.138.383.4+6.968%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.6
51.6%
53.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.5
28.4%
34.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.015.1
71.9%
73.3%15.1
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.121.6
63.3%
53.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.3
34.8%
34.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.716.4
75.6%
73.3%16.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLLWLLLLWL
Olympiacos
WWWWWWWLWL
#7
League position
#2
-15.5
Net rating
+6.7
102.6
Offensive rating
121.9
118.0
Defensive rating
115.2
48.0%
Effective FG%
58.5%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
61.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.4%
3-point %
34.8%
51.2%
Assist %
66.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 121.9Defence118.0 · 115.2Shooting48.0% · 58.5%3-point %28.4% · 34.8%Ball care17.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.7% · 34.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Aris   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
10
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
13/10/24Olympiacos v Aris102-72
31/03/24Olympiacos v Aris85-77
31/12/23Olympiacos v Aris85-71
08/10/23Aris v Olympiacos72-81
22/04/23Aris v Olympiacos58-82
20/04/23Olympiacos v Aris97-73
17/02/23Olympiacos v Aris82-51
29/01/23Olympiacos v Aris89-75
24/10/22Aris v Olympiacos66-83
07/04/22Olympiacos v Aris89-67
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25AHapoel Jerusalem85-90
28/12/24AAEK Athens89-102
22/12/24APanathinaikos74-126
17/12/24HLietkabelis81-66
14/12/24HAS Karditsas69-96
11/12/24ATurk Telekom77-87
07/12/24ALavrio84-93
04/12/24HVenezia74-81
01/12/24HPAOK88-82
28/11/24ACluj-Napoca79-87
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas92-85
29/12/24HLavrio87-77
26/12/24AOlimpia Milano84-83
22/12/24HMaroussi106-94
20/12/24HAlba Berlin90-85
18/12/24HVirtus Bologna87-77
15/12/24APanionios84-78
13/12/24ACrvena zvezda73-87
08/12/24AKolossos Rhodes88-73
06/12/24HParis90-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game76.475.277.7
Allowed / game87.878.097.7
Point differential-11.4-2.8-20.0
Avg total164.2153.2175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%83%100%
Points / game90.392.788.0
Allowed / game74.177.570.7
Point differential+16.2+15.2+17.3
Avg total164.4170.2158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos12120100%93.974.5+19.4
2 Olympiacos1211192%90.374.1+16.2
3 AEK Athens127558%83.381.3+2.0
4 PAOK127558%80.381.2-0.9
5 AS Karditsas126650%78.378.8-0.5
6 Promitheas126650%78.882.6-3.8
7 Panionios125742%75.575.1+0.4
8 Peristeri125742%76.981.3-4.4
9 Lavrio124833%81.185.2-4.2
10 Aris124833%76.487.8-11.4
11 Maroussi123925%76.282.5-6.2
12 Kolossos Rhodes1221017%74.881.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2220142177
Olympiacos1630251788
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