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Neptunas vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-68
21-16 22-25 7-9 22-18
Position#20
Record7-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#11
Record9-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game71.4
EuropeEurocupRound 5
European cup2015
Meetings · Neptunas v Aris
18 Nov 2025
NEP87
ARI93
03 Feb 2016
NEP72
ARI68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H03/01
LKL
Aris
#11
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A06/01
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A10/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#26
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H13/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H16/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A19/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H23/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H24/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H26/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
57-89
57
89
-32
A31/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
24-21
11-16
32-17
5-25
17-21
22-17
14-21
11-19
16-6
9-20
19-13
20-9
18-20
12-23
23-13
13-22
26-16
13-19
18-17
20-24
12-17
22-12
17-26
24-16
12-18
14-15
18-24
32-18
28-19
17-19
24-18
15-16
11-20
26-28
21-10
13-28
16-21
13-19
15-21
146.5Avg total
71.6Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.979.2158.1-0.450%
Season at home (7)83.481.3164.7+2.157%
Season away (7)74.377.1151.4-2.943%
Last 10 (10)71.674.9146.5-3.330%
Last 5 (5)74.077.8151.8-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.079.8149.8-9.820%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.376.0150.3-1.742%
vs Weaker (13)82.673.5156.1+9.277%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#21
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H18/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#28
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A25/11
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H02/12
Eurocup
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#42
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A09/12
Eurocup
Banvit
#16
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H15/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A27/12
Greek Cup
Neptunas
#20
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H06/01
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
54-95
54
95
-41
A12/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#26
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A19/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#26
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H27/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
18-17
13-11
25-23
6-24
15-24
16-13
19-14
13-20
19-14
24-21
20-15
18-8
21-21
15-22
23-16
16-17
17-12
18-17
21-7
16-24
21-14
11-31
21-21
25-5
21-17
17-22
21-14
17-24
10-33
15-14
12-24
20-21
17-17
21-20
9-24
15-19
27-15
13-20
18-9
142.9Avg total
70.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.271.4143.6+0.964%
Season at home (7)75.462.4137.9+13.0100%
Season away (7)69.080.3149.3-11.329%
Last 10 (10)70.672.3142.9-1.760%
Last 5 (5)69.477.6147.0-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)67.077.5144.5-10.538%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.271.7142.9-0.555%
vs Weaker (2)73.566.5140.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
NeptunasAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/01
LKL
Aris
#11
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A06/01
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A10/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#26
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H13/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H16/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A19/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H24/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H26/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A31/01
LKL
73.7Avg total
35.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.674.9+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.236.277.4+4.981%-
Last 30 away (14)35.136.972.1-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.173.7-2.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.476.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.039.876.8-2.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.238.173.3-2.858%-
vs Weaker (13)41.833.975.7+7.885%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#21
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#28
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A25/11
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H02/12
Eurocup
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#42
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A09/12
Eurocup
Banvit
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H15/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/12
Greek Cup
Neptunas
#20
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H06/01
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
27-57
27
57
-30
A12/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#26
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A19/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#26
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H27/01
Eurocup
71.9Avg total
35.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.837.572.3-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.635.173.8+3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)30.540.170.6-9.614%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.571.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.875.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.539.873.2-6.219%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.636.271.8-0.555%-
vs Weaker (2)40.527.067.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
1
Aris wins
DateGameScore
06/01/16Aris v Neptunas84-58
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/16AZalgiris Kaunas57-89
26/01/16HOlimpia Milano73-74
24/01/16HJuventus101-74
23/01/16HSiauliai68-73
19/01/16AOlimpia Milano71-79
16/01/16HLietkabelis70-74
13/01/16HAlba Berlin73-65
10/01/16AAlytaus Dzukija55-58
06/01/16AAris58-84
03/01/16HPieno Zvaigzdes90-79
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/16HAlba Berlin73-63
19/01/16AAlba Berlin67-82
12/01/16AOlimpia Milano54-95
06/01/16HNeptunas84-58
27/12/15APanathinaikos69-90
15/12/15HBanvit72-53
09/12/15ABC Steaua Bucuresti77-67
02/12/15HUnics Kazan76-70
25/11/15ABuducnost56-75
18/11/15HTrabzonspor78-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game78.983.474.3
Allowed / game79.281.377.1
Point differential-0.4+2.1-2.9
Avg total158.1164.7151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Aris
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%100%29%
Points / game72.275.469.0
Allowed / game71.462.480.3
Point differential+0.9+13.0-11.3
Avg total143.6137.9149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Strasbourg440100%79.072.5+6.5
2 Valencia1412286%81.072.4+8.6
3 Unics Kazan1512380%81.573.9+7.6
4 Gran Canaria1411379%84.575.9+8.6
5 Zenit Petersburg1411379%82.075.6+6.4
6 Olimpia Milano43175%78.870.2+8.5
7 Bayern43175%83.579.5+4.0
8 Galatasaray1410471%86.174.9+11.1
9 Bilbao1410471%85.175.4+9.7
10 Trento1410471%84.980.9+3.9
11 Aris149564%72.271.4+0.9
12 Tecnyconta Zaragoza149564%76.876.4+0.4
13 Saratov148657%92.086.1+5.9
14 Ludwigsburg148657%80.175.1+5.0
15 Banvit148657%80.176.4+3.7
16 Reggiana148657%78.177.1+1.0
17 Nizhny Novgorod158753%79.778.5+1.2
18 Limoges42250%81.878.5+3.2
19 Alba Berlin147750%76.276.4-0.2
20 Neptunas147750%78.979.2-0.4
21 Maccabi Tel Aviv42250%79.881.5-1.8
22 AEK Athens105550%79.481.2-1.8
23 Zielona Gora42250%78.581.0-2.5
24 Oldenburg147750%78.981.8-2.9
25 Sassari42250%76.079.8-3.8
26 Trabzonspor157847%74.376.7-2.4
27 Venezia146843%75.177.6-2.5
28 PAOK146843%75.982.0-6.1
29 Karsiyaka52340%77.872.0+5.8
30 Buducnost104640%74.772.5+2.2
31 Nanterre104640%77.280.1-2.9
32 Besiktas104640%81.084.2-3.2
33 Hapoel M. Jerusalem145936%79.180.9-1.7
34 Petrol Olimpija145936%78.782.8-4.1
35 Szolnoki Olaj145936%73.082.2-9.2
36 Spirou Charleroi103730%73.178.2-5.1
37 Le Mans103730%72.178.5-6.4
38 Ulm1441029%78.682.3-3.7
39 Rytas102820%85.688.4-2.8
40 Nancy102820%71.475.9-4.5
41 Bonn102820%83.889.9-6.1
42 BC Steaua Bucuresti102820%67.681.4-13.8
43 Brindisi101910%71.081.5-10.5
44 Volgograd101910%79.791.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas212272272
Aris162591868
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