Aris vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 May 2017

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 77-84

14-24 27-19 14-24 22-17

Position#5

Record17-12

FormLWWWL

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game72.0

Aris

Olympiacos 🏆

Position#2

Record26-1

FormLLWWW

Points / game80.7

Allowed / game63.1

Basket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Aris v Olympiacos

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olympiacos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aris

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAris

Date

Competition

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#11

67-81

-14

no box

A07/03

Champions League

Lefkadas

#14

78-70

no box

H11/03

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

84-85

-1

no box

A18/03

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

#11

80-77 OT

no box

A25/03

Basket League

Apollon Patras

#13

79-70

no box

H01/04

Basket League

Lavrio

70-75

-5

no box

A08/04

Basket League

AEK Athens

81-77

no box

H13/04

Basket League

PAOK

69-65 OT

no box

H29/04

Basket League

PAOK

84-75

no box

A03/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

54-84

-30

no box

A10/05

Basket League

25-22

8-26

10-21

24-12

19-26

18-16

28-10

13-18

15-24

20-26

21-23

28-12

13-20

22-5

22-25

14-21

25-14

23-14

17-22

14-20

23-22

15-17

15-21

17-15

15-24

22-23

17-10

27-20

16-20

17-17

14-13

14-11

25-18

27-22

11-19

21-16

17-21

14-23

7-20

16-20

150.5Avg total

74.6Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	75.1	72.0	147.1	+3.2	59%
Season at home (14)	79.4	68.3	147.6	+11.1	79%
Season away (15)	71.2	75.4	146.6	-4.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	75.9	150.5	-1.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	71.6	75.2	146.8	-3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	63.7	76.2	139.8	-12.5	33%
vs Similar (14)	75.0	71.7	146.7	+3.3	43%
vs Weaker (10)	78.9	71.2	150.1	+7.7	70%

This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olympiacos Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOlympiacos

Date

Competition

PAOK

84-59

+25

no box

H02/04

Basket League

CSKA Moscow

86-90

-4

110avg 105

A07/04

Euroleague

Promitheas

72-53

+19

no box

A10/04

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

#11

93-45

+48

no box

H13/04

Basket League

Anadolu Efes

87-72

+15

119avg 105

H19/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

71-73

-2

98avg 105

H21/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

60-64

-4

90avg 105

A26/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

74-62

+12

98avg 105

A28/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

87-78

115avg 105

H02/05

Euroleague

Aris

84-54

+30

no box

H10/05

Basket League

26-16

25-15

16-18

17-10

15-25

22-22

26-24

23-19

18-12

14-16

21-10

19-15

29-6

21-13

15-13

28-13

18-11

24-20

25-19

20-22

22-23

22-14

10-14

17-22

17-14

10-19

10-18

23-13

14-21

21-17

20-16

19-8

25-21

12-20

26-17

24-20

21-17

23-14

20-7

20-16

144.8Avg total

79.8Scored

65.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	80.7	63.1	143.9	+17.6	96%
Season at home (14)	82.8	58.6	141.4	+24.1	100%
Season away (13)	78.5	67.9	146.5	+10.6	92%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	65.0	144.8	+14.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	66.2	141.4	+9.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	86.0	90.0	176.0	-4.0	0%
vs Similar (5)	68.6	71.0	139.6	-2.4	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	78.2	66.1	144.2	+12.1	79%

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ArisOlympiacos

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	19.4	37.2	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.8	20.8	38.7	-3.0	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.9	17.6	38.5	+3.3	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	15.6	36.3	+5.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	14.7	36.9	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	16.5	35.6	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	16.6	37.1	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	25.0	40.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.8	16.0	36.8	+4.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.9	15.1	36.0	+5.8	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.8	39.9	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.0	18.9	34.9	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.9	37.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.7	23.3	39.0	-7.7	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.2	16.1	35.3	+3.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	16.7	36.8	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.8	34.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	14.6	15.6	30.2	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.5	50%	-

ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#11

33-48

-15

A07/03

Champions League

Lefkadas

#14

37-42

-5

H11/03

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

35-50

-15

A18/03

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

#11

35-25

+10

A25/03

Basket League

Apollon Patras

#13

48-28

+20

H01/04

Basket League

Lavrio

38-39

-1

A08/04

Basket League

AEK Athens

37-47

-10

H13/04

Basket League

PAOK

33-37

-4

H29/04

Basket League

PAOK

52-40

+12

A03/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

31-44

-13

A10/05

Basket League

77.9Avg total

37.9Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	37.3	74.8	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.8	36.1	77.9	+5.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.9	38.2	72.1	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	40.0	77.9	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	41.4	79.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	33.5	44.2	77.7	-10.7	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.5	36.9	74.4	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.1	33.7	73.8	+6.4	70%	-

This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

PAOK

51-31

+20

H02/04

Basket League

CSKA Moscow

37-47

-10

A07/04

Euroleague

Promitheas

32-28

A10/04

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

#11

50-19

+31

H13/04

Basket League

Anadolu Efes

42-31

+11

H19/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

44-37

H21/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

27-33

-6

A26/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

35-38

-3

A28/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

37-41

-4

H02/05

Euroleague

Aris

44-31

+13

H10/05

Basket League

73.5Avg total

39.9Scored

33.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	33.4	72.9	+6.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	31.4	73.7	+10.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	35.3	72.0	+1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	33.6	73.5	+6.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	36.0	73.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	47.0	84.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	35.4	31.6	67.0	+3.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	40.5	33.2	73.6	+7.3	67%	-

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	17.8	34.5	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	15.5	34.3	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.0	19.8	34.8	-4.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	18.4	34.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.8	16.6	29.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	14.0	14.5	28.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.0	17.9	33.9	-1.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	30%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	16.5	35.0	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	17.3	36.3	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	15.8	33.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	15.6	34.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	14.4	31.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	24.0	50.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	18.2	15.7	33.9	+2.6	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	16.6	35.2	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	15.8	34.9	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	17.2	35.5	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	16.5	35.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.4	35.4	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.2	17.5	33.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	15.6	35.5	+4.4	79%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	16.8	35.6	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	15.8	36.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.8	36.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	13.8	19.0	32.8	-5.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.5	17.2	36.7	+2.2	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.4	34.3	69.8	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	31.3	69.2	+6.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.2	37.0	70.2	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	34.9	69.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	33.0	64.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	30.2	32.0	62.2	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.9	33.5	69.4	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	37.9	36.9	74.8	+1.0	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	34.1	71.2	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	34.1	71.9	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	34.2	70.5	+2.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	31.4	71.3	+8.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	30.2	68.0	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	49.0	43.0	92.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	31.6	38.2	69.8	-6.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	37.7	32.9	70.6	+4.8	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 75.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	19.8	50.0%	53.4%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	7.7	32.9%	34.8%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	17.6	12.8	72.7%	74.0%	12.8

They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.2	21.6	50.0%	53.4%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.6	5.5	29.6%	34.8%	16.5
🏀 Free throws	19.2	14.3	74.5%	74.0%	14.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	19.6	50.5%	53.4%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	7.9	34.3%	34.8%	23.6
🏀 Free throws	18.6	13.6	73.1%	74.0%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.7	19.8	46.4%	53.4%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.8	6.5	34.4%	34.8%	19.4
🏀 Free throws	17.2	13.1	76.4%	74.0%	13.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aris wins

Olympiacos wins

Date	Game	Score
10/05/17	Olympiacos v Aris	84-54
15/02/17	Olympiacos v Aris	69-55
07/11/16	Aris v Olympiacos	63-70
04/06/15	Aris v Olympiacos	62-79
02/06/15	Aris v Olympiacos	84-74
29/05/15	Olympiacos v Aris	92-57
27/05/15	Olympiacos v Aris	98-53
06/05/15	Aris v Olympiacos	58-69
12/01/15	Olympiacos v Aris	84-68
08/05/14	Aris v Olympiacos	59-74

Arislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/05/17	A	Olympiacos	54-84
03/05/17	A	PAOK	84-75
29/04/17	H	PAOK	69-65 OT
13/04/17	H	AEK Athens	81-77
08/04/17	A	Lavrio	70-75
01/04/17	H	Apollon Patras	79-70
25/03/17	A	G.S. Kymis	80-77 OT
18/03/17	A	Kolossos Rhodes	84-85
11/03/17	H	Lefkadas	78-70
07/03/17	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	67-81

Olympiacoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/05/17	H	Aris	84-54
02/05/17	H	Anadolu Efes	87-78
28/04/17	A	Anadolu Efes	74-62
26/04/17	A	Anadolu Efes	60-64
21/04/17	H	Anadolu Efes	71-73
19/04/17	H	Anadolu Efes	87-72
13/04/17	H	G.S. Kymis	93-45
10/04/17	A	Promitheas	72-53
07/04/17	A	CSKA Moscow	86-90
02/04/17	H	PAOK	84-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	59%
Home	WWWWW	79%
Away	LWLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	59%	79%	40%
Points / game	75.1	79.4	71.2
Allowed / game	72.0	68.3	75.4
Point differential	+3.2	+11.1	-4.2
Avg total	147.1	147.6	146.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	67% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	10%	7%	13%

Olympiacos

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	96%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	92%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	96%	100%	92%
Points / game	80.7	82.8	78.5
Allowed / game	63.1	58.6	67.9
Point differential	+17.6	+24.1	+10.6
Avg total	143.9	141.4	146.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	74%	93%	54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Panathinaikos	27	26	1	96%	84.7	65.8	+18.9
2	Olympiacos	27	26	1	96%	80.7	63.1	+17.6
3	AEK Athens	29	21	8	72%	79.2	71.1	+8.1
4	Aris	29	17	12	59%	75.1	72.0	+3.2
5	PAOK	30	16	14	53%	75.7	76.5	-0.8
6	Rethymno	31	15	16	48%	75.1	76.9	-1.8
7	Kolossos Rhodes	29	14	15	48%	71.4	72.9	-1.5
8	Lavrio	28	11	17	39%	72.4	75.6	-3.2
9	Promitheas	26	10	16	38%	71.4	74.2	-2.8
10	Trikala	26	10	16	38%	69.9	75.3	-5.5
11	G.S. Kymis	26	8	18	31%	70.0	77.8	-7.7
12	Koroivos	26	8	18	31%	72.3	82.8	-10.5
13	Apollon Patras	26	7	19	27%	69.2	75.3	-6.2
14	Lefkadas	26	4	22	15%	68.5	78.2	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aris	14	27	14	22	77
Olympiacos	24	19	24	17	84

← all games of the day

Aris vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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